Vaprus vs Kuressaare Prediction

Vaprus
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Kuressaare
Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu·J. Jakobson 26/06/2026
VaprusVaprus
1-0
Finished
KuressaareKuressaare

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSTRONGModel39%SurpriseHighGap+11.5%
Vaprus Rest
10 days
Kuressaare Rest
10 days

Vaprus vs Kuressaare: the result in context

Vaprus beat Kuressaare 1-0 in the Meistriliiga on 26 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.85
X
27%3.52
2
28%3.50
Double Chance
1X
72%1.22
X2
55%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.61
Over 3.5
19%2.52
Under 1.5
37%4.10
Under 2.5
61%2.13
Under 3.5
81%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'K. Nomm
4'T. Pajo(Penalty)
61'J. Poder
67'J. Poder INV. Vallik out
72'G. Roivassepp INJ. Vahermagi out
74'H. Vainu
75'D. Andreas
79'S. Sinilaid INR. Lukas out
80'T. Pajo INR. Orm out
84'M. Villota
87'M. Lipp
88'M. Villota INS. Kolvart out
88'S. Viidas INK. Kauber out
88'K. Aloe INS. Aer out
90'E. Demidov INA. Visse out

Team Comparison

VaprusVaprus
KuressaareKuressaare
1485Elo Rating 1522
1.54Attack 1.09
0.32Defense 1.99
0%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

VaprusVaprus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KuressaareKuressaare
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VaprusVaprus4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
KuressaareKuressaare4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Meistriliiga21/04/2026
KuressaareVaprus
01
Meistriliiga21/10/2025
VaprusKuressaare
01
Meistriliiga20/07/2025
KuressaareVaprus
21
Meistriliiga01/06/2025
VaprusKuressaare
21
Meistriliiga18/04/2025
KuressaareVaprus
10
Meistriliiga06/10/2024
VaprusKuressaare
31
Meistriliiga28/07/2024
KuressaareVaprus
11
Meistriliiga28/05/2024
KuressaareVaprus
22
Meistriliiga17/03/2024
VaprusKuressaare
32
Meistriliiga11/11/2023
KuressaareVaprus
10

Recent Form

VaprusVaprus
5W2D3L
16/06/2026
VaprusFlora Tallinn
12
L
13/06/2026
TammekaVaprus
00
D
30/05/2026
VaprusKalju Nomme
31
W
24/05/2026
VaprusFC Levadia Tallinn
16
L
16/05/2026
LaagriVaprus
12
W
09/05/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
20
W
02/05/2026
VaprusNõmme United
23
L
26/04/2026
Kalju NommeVaprus
12
W
21/04/2026
KuressaareVaprus
01
W
18/04/2026
VaprusTammeka
00
D
KuressaareKuressaare
3W2D5L
16/06/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
00
D
13/06/2026
LaagriKuressaare
23
W
31/05/2026
PaideKuressaare
11
D
20/05/2026
KuressaareNõmme United
21
W
17/05/2026
KuressaareKalju Nomme
02
L
08/05/2026
TammekaKuressaare
10
L
02/05/2026
KuressaareFC Levadia Tallinn
12
L
25/04/2026
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
21
L
21/04/2026
KuressaareVaprus
01
L
18/04/2026
Trans NarvaKuressaare
12
W

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn34276191:24+6787WWWWW
2PaidePaide341861053:41+1260LWWWL
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn341911464:49+1558LLWLL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme341761158:34+2457WWLDL
5TammekaTammeka341621648:54-650LWLLW
6LaagriLaagri341521749:50-147LWWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United341212155:76-2137WWWLL
8VaprusVaprus341071746:68-2237DLLDD
9KuressaareKuressaare341061835:53-1836DLLWW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva34552426:76-5020LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3491:2487
2PaidePaide3453:4160
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3464:4958
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3458:3457
5TammekaTammeka3448:5450
6LaagriLaagri3449:5047
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3455:7637
8VaprusVaprus3446:6837
9KuressaareKuressaare3435:5336
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3426:7620
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Vaprus vs Kuressaare forecast

The forecasts for this Meistriliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vaprus and Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga table

Vaprus and Kuressaare are close in the Meistriliiga table, 8th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Vaprus 46-68, Kuressaare 35-53. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.