Vaprus vs Tammeka Prediction

Vaprus
5-1
Finished
HT 3-1
Tammeka
Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu 11/07/2026
VaprusVaprus
5-1
Finished
TammekaTammeka

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseHighGap+9.0%
Vaprus Rest
6 days
Tammeka Rest
5 days

Vaprus vs Tammeka: the result in context

Vaprus beat Tammeka 5-1 in the Meistriliiga on 11 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.55
X
29%3.42
2
30%2.38
Double Chance
1X
70%1.49
X2
59%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.52
No
56%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.16
Over 2.5
38%1.63
Over 3.5
19%2.50
Under 1.5
36%4.05
Under 2.5
62%2.13
Under 3.5
81%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'K. Aloe
9'T. Lang
19'M. LimbergAssist: S. Kapper
28'M. LimbergAssist: T. Pajo
34'M. Karis
40'P. MarinAssist: H. Pedmanson
44'M. LimbergAssist: T. Pajo
46'M. Vaino INKauan Pereira out
46'K. Kiidron ING. Uggeri out
46'M. Karis INR. Kallas out
54'J. Poder
63'J. Poder INR. Orm out
63'S. Viidas INV. Vallik out
74'R. OrmAssist: T. Pajo
74'H. Pedmanson INM. Miil out
76'S. Kapper INK. Kauber out
78'T. Lang INK. Karis out
87'R. Orm
90'

Team Comparison

VaprusVaprus
TammekaTammeka
1485Elo Rating 1578
1.54Attack 2.77
0.32Defense 1.74
0%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

VaprusVaprus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TammekaTammeka
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VaprusVaprus5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
TammekaTammeka1Wins · 10%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Meistriliiga13/06/2026
TammekaVaprus
00
Meistriliiga18/04/2026
VaprusTammeka
00
Meistriliiga16/09/2025
TammekaVaprus
14
Meistriliiga15/08/2025
VaprusTammeka
81
Meistriliiga17/05/2025
VaprusTammeka
21
Meistriliiga29/03/2025
TammekaVaprus
05
Meistriliiga18/09/2024
VaprusTammeka
22
Meistriliiga02/08/2024
TammekaVaprus
01
Meistriliiga23/05/2024
VaprusTammeka
11
Meistriliiga09/03/2024
TammekaVaprus
10

Recent Form

VaprusVaprus
5W1D4L
04/07/2026
PaideVaprus
31
L
26/06/2026
VaprusKuressaare
10
W
16/06/2026
VaprusFlora Tallinn
12
L
13/06/2026
TammekaVaprus
00
D
30/05/2026
VaprusKalju Nomme
31
W
24/05/2026
VaprusFC Levadia Tallinn
16
L
16/05/2026
LaagriVaprus
12
W
09/05/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
20
W
02/05/2026
VaprusNõmme United
23
L
26/04/2026
Kalju NommeVaprus
12
W
TammekaTammeka
6W1D3L
05/07/2026
TammekaLaagri
21
W
21/06/2026
TammekaTrans Narva
10
W
17/06/2026
Kalju NommeTammeka
12
W
13/06/2026
TammekaVaprus
00
D
30/05/2026
TammekaFC Levadia Tallinn
01
L
15/05/2026
TammekaNõmme United
31
W
08/05/2026
TammekaKuressaare
10
W
01/05/2026
PaideTammeka
01
W
25/04/2026
LaagriTammeka
10
L
22/04/2026
TammekaFC Levadia Tallinn
12
L

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn34276191:24+6787WWWWW
2PaidePaide341861053:41+1260LWWWL
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn341911464:49+1558LLWLL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme341761158:34+2457WWLDL
5TammekaTammeka341621648:54-650LWLLW
6LaagriLaagri341521749:50-147LWWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United341212155:76-2137WWWLL
8VaprusVaprus341071746:68-2237DLLDD
9KuressaareKuressaare341061835:53-1836DLLWW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva34552426:76-5020LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3491:2487
2PaidePaide3453:4160
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3464:4958
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3458:3457
5TammekaTammeka3448:5450
6LaagriLaagri3449:5047
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3455:7637
8VaprusVaprus3446:6837
9KuressaareKuressaare3435:5336
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3426:7620
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Vaprus vs Tammeka forecast

The forecasts for this Meistriliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vaprus and Tammeka in the Meistriliiga table

In the Meistriliiga table, Tammeka are 5th and Vaprus 8th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Vaprus 46-68, Tammeka 48-54. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.