Trans Narva vs Vaprus Prediction

Trans Narva
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Vaprus
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseHighGap+8.7%
Trans Narva Rest
7 days
Vaprus Rest
7 days

Trans Narva vs Vaprus: the result in context

Trans Narva beat Vaprus 3-1 in the Meistriliiga on 18 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Vaprus had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Trans Narva.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.90
X
28%3.40
2
38%2.15
Double Chance
1X
62%1.57
X2
66%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.19
Over 2.5
39%1.70
Over 3.5
19%2.70
Under 1.5
37%3.80
Under 2.5
61%2.00
Under 3.5
81%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'N. BaljabkinAssist: J. Doke
27'A. Gero
38'M. Seppik
40'A. Skinjov
46'J. Poder INM. Villota out
59'Elysee INEriks Santos out
59'A. Skinjov INE. Zuravljov out
61'S. Kapper
65'M. Velijev INV. Kudriashov out
80'S. Viidas INV. Vallik out
80'S. Kapper INK. Kauber out
81'J. Doke INJ. Imeh out
90+1'K. Kauber
90+3'J. Imeh

Team Comparison

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
VaprusVaprus
1429Elo Rating 1485
0.97Attack 1.54
0.53Defense 0.32
0%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VaprusVaprus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Trans NarvaTrans Narva4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
VaprusVaprus1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Meistriliiga09/05/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
20
Meistriliiga21/03/2026
Trans NarvaVaprus
21
Meistriliiga18/10/2025
Trans NarvaVaprus
11
Meistriliiga12/07/2025
VaprusTrans Narva
00
Meistriliiga11/05/2025
Trans NarvaVaprus
42
Meistriliiga23/04/2025
VaprusTrans Narva
12
Meistriliiga27/10/2024
Trans NarvaVaprus
11
Meistriliiga20/07/2024
VaprusTrans Narva
00
Meistriliiga15/06/2024
VaprusTrans Narva
14
Meistriliiga04/05/2024
Trans NarvaVaprus
00

Recent Form

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
2W1D7L
10/07/2026
LaagriTrans Narva
30
L
04/07/2026
Trans NarvaFC Levadia Tallinn
13
L
21/06/2026
TammekaTrans Narva
10
L
16/06/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
00
D
13/06/2026
Trans NarvaNõmme United
12
L
10/06/2026
Trans NarvaVana Hea Puur
100
W
30/05/2026
LaagriTrans Narva
30
L
20/05/2026
Trans NarvaPaide
10
W
16/05/2026
Trans NarvaFlora Tallinn
03
L
09/05/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
20
L
VaprusVaprus
5W1D4L
11/07/2026
VaprusTammeka
51
W
04/07/2026
PaideVaprus
31
L
26/06/2026
VaprusKuressaare
10
W
16/06/2026
VaprusFlora Tallinn
12
L
13/06/2026
TammekaVaprus
00
D
30/05/2026
VaprusKalju Nomme
31
W
24/05/2026
VaprusFC Levadia Tallinn
16
L
16/05/2026
LaagriVaprus
12
W
09/05/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
20
W
02/05/2026
VaprusNõmme United
23
L

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn34276191:24+6787WWWWW
2PaidePaide341861053:41+1260LWWWL
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn341911464:49+1558LLWLL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme341761158:34+2457WWLDL
5TammekaTammeka341621648:54-650LWLLW
6LaagriLaagri341521749:50-147LWWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United341212155:76-2137WWWLL
8VaprusVaprus341071746:68-2237DLLDD
9KuressaareKuressaare341061835:53-1836DLLWW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva34552426:76-5020LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3491:2487
2PaidePaide3453:4160
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3464:4958
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3458:3457
5TammekaTammeka3448:5450
6LaagriLaagri3449:5047
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3455:7637
8VaprusVaprus3446:6837
9KuressaareKuressaare3435:5336
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3426:7620
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Trans Narva vs Vaprus forecast

The forecasts for this Meistriliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Trans Narva and Vaprus in the Meistriliiga table

Vaprus and Trans Narva are close in the Meistriliiga table, 8th and 10th, with 17 points between them. League goal record so far: Trans Narva 26-76, Vaprus 46-68. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.