Nõmme United vs Trans Narva Prediction

Nõmme United
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Trans Narva
K. Kulljastinen 31/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
Nõmme United Rest
8 days
Trans Narva Rest
13 days

Nõmme United vs Trans Narva: the result in context

Trans Narva beat Nõmme United 2-1 in the Meistriliiga on 31 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Nõmme United had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Trans Narva.

Trans Narva have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.93
X
23%3.64
2
29%3.15
Double Chance
1X
71%1.28
X2
52%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.40
No
56%2.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.09
Over 2.5
39%1.42
Over 3.5
19%2.08
Under 1.5
37%5.25
Under 2.5
61%2.56
Under 3.5
81%1.67
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'A. GeroAssist: M. Velijev
24'H. Jarvelaid
31'M. Velijev
46'A. Radomskiy ING. Kabal out
46'E. Ounapuu INB. Chisala out
62'A. Truuvaart INB. Vain out
63'Elysee INS. Agaptsev out
63'T. Berardozzi INA. Filatov out
68'M. Palts INI. Krasnov out
72'M. Velijev INJ. Imeh out
72'J. Doke INA. Besigirskis out
79'G. Lagus
88'Eriks Santos INS. Burjanadze out
90+3'S. Burjanadze
90+4'A. Frolov

Team Comparison

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
Trans NarvaTrans Narva
1535Elo Rating 1429
1.91Attack 0.97
0.99Defense 0.53
50%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+107 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
  • No tendency data available
Trans NarvaTrans Narva
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United2Wins · 33%
Draws00%
Trans NarvaTrans Narva4Wins · 67%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Meistriliiga13/06/2026
Trans NarvaNõmme United
12
Meistriliiga11/04/2026
Nõmme UnitedTrans Narva
51
Meistriliiga21/09/2024
Nõmme UnitedTrans Narva
04
Meistriliiga26/07/2024
Trans NarvaNõmme United
21
Meistriliiga23/05/2024
Nõmme UnitedTrans Narva
13
Meistriliiga30/03/2024
Trans NarvaNõmme United
20

Recent Form

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
5W0D5L
23/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedRaplamaa
120
W
17/07/2026
Flora TallinnNõmme United
12
W
11/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
32
W
03/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedKalju Nomme
13
L
20/06/2026
LaagriNõmme United
13
W
17/06/2026
Nõmme UnitedFC Levadia Tallinn
12
L
13/06/2026
Trans NarvaNõmme United
12
W
29/05/2026
Nõmme UnitedFlora Tallinn
04
L
20/05/2026
KuressaareNõmme United
21
L
15/05/2026
TammekaNõmme United
31
L
Trans NarvaTrans Narva
3W1D6L
18/07/2026
Trans NarvaVaprus
31
W
10/07/2026
LaagriTrans Narva
30
L
04/07/2026
Trans NarvaFC Levadia Tallinn
13
L
21/06/2026
TammekaTrans Narva
10
L
16/06/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
00
D
13/06/2026
Trans NarvaNõmme United
12
L
10/06/2026
Trans NarvaVana Hea Puur
100
W
30/05/2026
LaagriTrans Narva
30
L
20/05/2026
Trans NarvaPaide
10
W
16/05/2026
Trans NarvaFlora Tallinn
03
L

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn34276191:24+6787WWWWW
2PaidePaide341861053:41+1260LWWWL
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn341911464:49+1558LLWLL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme341761158:34+2457WWLDL
5TammekaTammeka341621648:54-650LWLLW
6LaagriLaagri341521749:50-147LWWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United341212155:76-2137WWWLL
8VaprusVaprus341071746:68-2237DLLDD
9KuressaareKuressaare341061835:53-1836DLLWW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva34552426:76-5020LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3491:2487
2PaidePaide3453:4160
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3464:4958
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3458:3457
5TammekaTammeka3448:5450
6LaagriLaagri3449:5047
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3455:7637
8VaprusVaprus3446:6837
9KuressaareKuressaare3435:5336
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3426:7620
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Nõmme United vs Trans Narva forecast

The forecasts for this Meistriliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nõmme United and Trans Narva in the Meistriliiga table

In the Meistriliiga table, Nõmme United are 7th and Trans Narva 10th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Nõmme United 55-76, Trans Narva 26-76. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.