HJK Helsinki vs VPS Prediction

HJK Helsinki
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
VPS
Bolt Arena, Helsinki·Joni Hyytia, Finland 18/07/2026
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
2-1
Finished
VPSVPS

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.55
SignalSOLIDModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
HJK Helsinki Rest
7 days
VPS Rest
7 days

HJK Helsinki vs VPS: result, form and history

HJK Helsinki beat VPS 2-1 in the Veikkausliiga on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

HJK Helsinki have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Referee Joni Hyytia averages 3.41 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%1.91
X
28%3.75
2
31%3.45
Double Chance
1X
69%1.27
X2
59%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.50
No
36%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.42 = 3.22
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
64%1.55
Over 3.5
41%2.40
Under 1.5
17%4.65
Under 2.5
36%2.30
Under 3.5
59%1.54
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

30'A. Cicale INT. Mero out
35'S. LindholmFoul
45'M. GueyeFoul
45+1'S. HaaralaAssist: L. Moller
46'S. Lindholm
60'L. Moller INT. Pukki out
60'M. Gueye INJ. Kallinen out
68'S. Lindholm INX. Odhiambo out
75'T. Pukki(Penalty)
76'K. Kouassivi-Benissan INA. Raisanen out
79'P. Mentu INL. Lappalainen out
82'T. Cissokho INM. Bogicevic out
88'P. Lima INJ. Muzinga out
88'R. Simpson INM. Niemi out
89'B. Lyons-FosterUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'T. MeroFoul

Lineups

HJK Helsinki
4-3-3Coach: Joonas Rantanen
VPS
3-1-4-2Coach: Jussi Nuorela
Matej Marković44M. Marković
Kaius Simojoki13K. Simojoki
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster2B. Lyons-Foster
Till Cissokho3T. Cissokho
Leonel Montano14L. Montano
Pyry Mentu8P. Mentu
Alexander Ring4A. Ring
Mouhamed Gueye32M. Gueye
Liam Möller22L. Möller
Santeri Haarala29S. Haarala
Alfie Cicale7A. Cicale
Mamadou Jalloh41M. Jalloh
Razak Simpson3R. Simpson
Emmanuel Okereke6E. Okereke
Martti Haukioja19M. Haukioja
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi13O. Ogunniyi
Lassana Mané2L. Mané
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan27K. Kouassivi-Benissan
Paulo Lima8P. Lima
Jayden Turfkruier7J. Turfkruier
Simon Lindholm14S. Lindholm
Luka Smyth15L. Smyth

HJK Helsinki Substitutes

18Toivo Mero30'for A. Cicale90+2'
15Jere Kallinen60'replaced by M. Gueye
20Teemu Pukki60'for L. Moller75'
31Mihailo Bogićević82'for T. Cissokho
26Lassi Lappalainen79'for P. Mentu
1Jesse Öst
28Miska Ylitolva
17Martin Kirilov
10Lucas Lingman

VPS Substitutes

20Xavier Odhiambo68'for S. Lindholm
34Antti-Ville Räisänen76'for K. Kouassivi-Benissan
11Jonathan Muzinga88'for P. Lima
23Miika Niemi88'for R. Simpson
1Aleksi Piispa
33Akon Kuek
5Vilmer Ronnberg
26Rasmus Forsbacka
24Yassin Daoussi

Team Comparison

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
VPSVPS
1750Elo Rating 1574
3.82Attack 0.17
1.51Defense 1.54
77%Hit Rate 17%
15.7Shots per Game 9.9
7.4Shots on Target 2.1
3.9Corners per Game 4.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+176 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VPSVPS
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
VPSVPS3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga22/05/2026
VPSHJK Helsinki
21
Veikkausliiga05/07/2025
VPSHJK Helsinki
02
Veikkausliiga26/04/2025
HJK HelsinkiVPS
31
Veikkausliiga20/09/2024
VPSHJK Helsinki
11
Veikkausliiga01/09/2024
VPSHJK Helsinki
13
Veikkausliiga17/05/2024
HJK HelsinkiVPS
12
Veikkausliiga08/10/2023
VPSHJK Helsinki
32
Veikkausliiga19/04/2023
HJK HelsinkiVPS
40
Veikkausliiga15/04/2023
VPSHJK Helsinki
01
Veikkausliiga16/07/2022
HJK HelsinkiVPS
31

Recent Form

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
6W1D3L
11/07/2026
LahtiHJK Helsinki
20
L
01/07/2026
HJK HelsinkiIlves
21
W
27/06/2026
HJK HelsinkiKuPS
04
L
23/06/2026
MariehamnHJK Helsinki
04
W
17/06/2026
HJK HelsinkiInter Turku
33
D
13/06/2026
FF JaroHJK Helsinki
25
W
09/06/2026
HonkaHJK Helsinki
17
W
30/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiMariehamn
10
W
26/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiMyPa
111
W
22/05/2026
VPSHJK Helsinki
21
L

Referee Profile

Joni Hyytia132 matches

3.41Cards per match
3.24Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joni Hyytia3.41
Other referees4.12

3.41 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.12).

Cards come from 41 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543DDWLL
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342LWLWD
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WDWWW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DLLLD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWWLW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki30167759:36+2355WDWWW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku301510537:24+1355LWLWD
3KuPSKuPS301411546:29+1753DDWLL
4AC OuluAC Oulu301351236:37-144DWWLW
5GnistanGnistan301110944:42+243DLLLD
6VPSVPS301171231:34-340DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3059:3655
2Inter TurkuInter Turku3037:2455
3KuPSKuPS3046:2953
4AC OuluAC Oulu3036:3744
5GnistanGnistan3044:4243
6VPSVPS3031:3440
Relegation

About the HJK Helsinki vs VPS forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HJK Helsinki and VPS in the Veikkausliiga table

In the Veikkausliiga table, HJK Helsinki are 3rd and VPS 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: HJK Helsinki 36-27, VPS 29-22. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

HJK Helsinki have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.