Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki Prediction
Finland · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki: the result in context
HJK Helsinki beat Mariehamn 4-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 23 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: HJK Helsinki had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Mariehamn.
HJK Helsinki have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Mariehamn
1K. Lund
28J. Nissinen
38Y. Amankwah
2N. Nurmi
31S. Ngulube
64M. Hyvonen
10S. Dahlström
20E. Patut
16A. Huttunen
11L. Pearce
7A. Larsson
1J. Öst
28M. Ylitolva
6V. Tikkanen
3T. Cissokho
14L. Montano
10L. Lingman
15J. Kallinen
22L. Möller
4A. Ring
9M. Borchers
20T. PukkiMariehamn Substitutes
HJK Helsinki Substitutes
Team Comparison
MariehamnHJK HelsinkiAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Mariehamn- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HJK Helsinki- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Mariehamn1Wins · 10%8Wins · 80%Previous meetings
30/05/2026HJK HelsinkiMariehamn
16/01/2026HJK HelsinkiMariehamn24/08/2025HJK HelsinkiMariehamn24/05/2025MariehamnHJK Helsinki14/02/2025HJK HelsinkiMariehamn30/06/2024MariehamnHJK Helsinki20/04/2024HJK HelsinkiMariehamn26/01/2024HJK HelsinkiMariehamn05/08/2023HJK HelsinkiMariehamn27/05/2023MariehamnHJK HelsinkiRecent Form
Mariehamn
AC OuluMariehamnMariehamn
GnistanHJK HelsinkiMariehamnMariehamn
Lahti
FF JaroMariehamnMariehamn
KuPSMariehamn
PuiU HelsinkiLahtiMariehamnMariehamn
VPS
HPSMariehamnHJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
Inter TurkuFF JaroHJK Helsinki
HonkaHJK HelsinkiHJK HelsinkiMariehamnHJK Helsinki
MyPaVPSHJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
Ilves
RopsHJK Helsinki
Turku PSHJK HelsinkiHJK HelsinkiLahtiReferee Profile
Strictness
Stricter than 8% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | +15 | 43 | DDWLL |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | +13 | 42 | LWLWD |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | +9 | 37 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | +7 | 36 | DLLLD |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 | DWWLW |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | +7 | 33 | DLLWL |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | +7 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 8 | Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | +5 | 31 | LLLLD |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 | LWWDD |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 | DWDDL |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 | DDLWL |
Champion Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | +23 | 55 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 37:24 | +13 | 55 | LWLWD |
| 3 | KuPS | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 46:29 | +17 | 53 | DDWLL |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 44 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Gnistan | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 44:42 | +2 | 43 | DLLLD |
| 6 | VPS | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31:34 | -3 | 40 | DLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 30 | 59:36 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 30 | 37:24 | 55 |
| 3 | KuPS | 30 | 46:29 | 53 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 30 | 36:37 | 44 |
| 5 | Gnistan | 30 | 44:42 | 43 |
| 6 | VPS | 30 | 31:34 | 40 |
Relegration Group
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This match
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About the Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki forecast
The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Mariehamn and HJK Helsinki in the Veikkausliiga table
The table shows a wide gap: HJK Helsinki are 3rd in the Veikkausliiga, while Mariehamn sit 12th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Mariehamn 17-43, HJK Helsinki 36-27. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
HJK Helsinki have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.