Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club Prediction

Estadio Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza·Alvaro Caranza, Argentina 31/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.85
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Independ. Rivadavia Rest
4 days
Racing Club Rest
7 days

Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club: result, form and history

Independ. Rivadavia beat Racing Club 3-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 31 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 4 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.18
X
30%3.04
2
23%3.71
Double Chance
1X
77%1.28
X2
53%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.02
No
50%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 0.83 = 2.22
Over 1.5
72%1.46
Over 2.5
45%2.46
Over 3.5
22%4.63
Under 1.5
28%2.58
Under 2.5
55%1.53
Under 3.5
78%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.1 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%1.80
Over 9.5
35%2.29
Over 10.5
20%3.00
Under 8.5
47%1.92
Under 9.5
65%1.54
Under 10.5
80%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.35
Over 4.5
50%1.73
Under 3.5
31%2.82
Under 4.5
50%2.00

Match Events

9'A. Arce(Penalty missed)
18'M. ZarachoFoul
20'M. MiljevicAssist: M. Zaracho
27'S. Studer INA. Vigo out
39'G. Rios
45+3'A. ArceFoul
63'T. Conechny INA. Campo out
63'M. Zaracho INA. Fernandez out
68'L. Bucca INJ. M. Elordi out
68'M. Salas INF. Sartori out
70'F. Sartori
74'G. RiosFoul
76'U. Ortegoza IND. Vergara out
78'A. FernandezFoul
86'J. I. Florentin BobadillaFoul
89'G. Rios INA. Osella out
90'E. Cannavo INF. Fraga out
90+2'A. Arce

Match Stats

Independ. RivadaviaRacing Club
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots2
15Fouls12
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
292Total Passes398
202Passes Accurate304
69%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
Racing ClubRacing Club
1710Elo Rating 1624
0.76Attack 1.02
1.13Defense 1.83
14%Hit Rate 41%
12.6Shots per Game 11.7
3.8Shots on Target 4.3
3.8Corners per Game 4.3
2.5Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Racing ClubRacing Club
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Racing ClubRacing Club1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina26/02/2026
Racing ClubIndepend. Rivadavia
11
Liga Profesional Argentina07/10/2025
Racing ClubIndepend. Rivadavia
00
Liga Profesional Argentina28/03/2025
Independ. RivadaviaRacing Club
21
Liga Profesional Argentina10/11/2024
Racing ClubIndepend. Rivadavia
21

Referee Profile

Alvaro Caranza5 matches analysed

4.61Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 56% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WLWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WWLWL
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426LDWLL
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWWLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422LDWWD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DDLLW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DDWLD
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320LDDLL
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719WLLWW
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LDLDL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1594224:12+1231WWLWL
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1584323:19+428WWWLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1572619:14+523WLWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1565416:13+323LDWLL
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1565415:13+223DDWLD
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1563623:23021WLLWW
8HuracanHuracan1554612:16-419LDWWD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11TigreTigre1544715:16-116LDDLL
12Racing ClubRacing Club1543816:22-615DDLLW
13BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi15321016:24-811LDLDL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto15231010:21-119LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1524:1231
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1523:1928
4River PlateRiver Plate1519:1423
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1516:1323
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1515:1323
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1523:2321
8HuracanHuracan1512:1619
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11TigreTigre1515:1616
12Racing ClubRacing Club1516:2215
13BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi1516:2411
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1510:219

About the Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Independ. Rivadavia and Racing Club in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Independ. Rivadavia are 1st and Racing Club 8th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Independ. Rivadavia 29-15, Racing Club 17-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.