Independiente vs Gimnasia M. Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Independiente Rest
8 days
Gimnasia M. Rest
8 days
Independiente vs Gimnasia M.: the result in context
Gimnasia M. beat Independiente 3-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 30 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gimnasia M. had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Independiente.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.73
X24%3.46
221%5.20
Double Chance
1X79%1.14
X245%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes37%2.08
No63%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 0.83 = 1.97
Over 1.560%1.38
Over 2.529%2.25
Over 3.511%4.08
Under 1.540%2.88
Under 2.571%1.63
Under 3.589%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.2 = 10.1
Over 8.566%1.60
Over 9.553%1.99
Over 10.539%2.54
Under 8.534%2.22
Under 9.547%1.75
Under 10.561%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.9 = 4.9
Over 3.569%1.25
Over 4.552%1.52
Under 3.531%3.70
Under 4.548%2.42
Match Events
12'L. CingolaniFoul
38'L. GodoyFoul
42'E. FernandezAssist: F. Lencioni
53'F. LencioniAssist: E. Fernandez
59'J. Palais INM. Abaldo out
59'M. Gutierrez INC. Avila out
60'F. LencioniAssist: E. Fernandez
63'L. Cingolani INM. Vargas out
63'E. Fernandez INB. Andrada out
65'A. Modica INI. Sabatini out
77'L. Millan INM. Meza out
77'L. Godoy INJ. Fedorco out
79'F. Antonini INN. Barboza out
79'T. O'Connor INS. Rodriguez out
87'F. Zabala INR. Martino out
Lineups
IndependienteGimnasia M.
4-2-3-1Coach: Ariel BroggiAvg ratingAvg rating
33R. Rey
29L. Godoy
26K. Lomónaco
35J. Miguel Arrayago
22F. Zabala
14L. Millán
C23I. Marcone
7S. Montiel
28M. Gutiérrez
34F. Tempone
24J. Palais
23C. Rigamonti
32L. Paredes
C2D. Mondino
4E. Muñoz
3M. Recalde
21F. Antonini
28T. O'Connor
26F. Lencioni
30E. Fernández
7L. Cingolani
9A. ModicaIndependiente Substitutes
77Santiago Mele
39Ramiro Martino87'for F. Zabala
40Joshua Velárdez
13Juan Fedorco77'for L. Godoy
2Franco Calderón
16Mateo Perez Curci
32David Martínez
8Maxi Meza77'for L. Millan
20Facundo Cruz
19Matías Abaldo59'for J. Palais
10Luciano Cabral
6Chimy Ávila59'for M. Gutierrez
Gimnasia M. Substitutes
31Lautaro Petruchi
36Ismael Cortez
16Germán Guiffrey
42Lautaro Carrera
15Ulises Sánchez
33Brian Andrada63'for E. Fernandez
5Nahuel Barboza79'for F. Antonini
19Julian Ceballos
17Ignacio Sabatini65'for A. Modica
8Matías Vargas63'for L. Cingolani
35Valentino Simoni
11Santiago Rodríguez79'for T. O'Connor
Match Stats
IndependienteGimnasia M. 58%Ball Possession42%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots1
7Fouls15
5Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
464Total Passes330
367Passes Accurate248
79%Pass Accuracy75%
Team Comparison
IndependienteGimnasia M.1644Elo Rating 1616
0.68Attack 0.46
1.70Defense 1.73
14%Hit Rate 19%
13.9Shots per Game 12.0
3.3Shots on Target 2.1
3.0Corners per Game 2.6
2.9Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Independiente- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gimnasia M.- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Independiente1Wins · 50%Draws150%
Gimnasia M.0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
25/02/2026Gimnasia M.Independiente11
29/06/2025Gimnasia M.Independiente12
Recent Form
Independiente5W1D4L
22/08/2026Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
LanusIndependienteIndependiente
Platense
Velez SarsfieldIndependienteIndependiente
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente
IndependienteIndepend. Rivadavia00
D17/08/2026LanusIndependiente13
W13/08/2026
Atletico TucumanIndependiente
09/08/2026Atletico TucumanIndependiente40
LIndependientePlatense01
L04/08/2026Velez SarsfieldIndependiente10
L31/07/2026IndependienteNewells Old Boys10
W26/07/2026Estudiantes L.P.Independiente02
W23/05/2026
Union Santa FeIndependiente
Union Santa FeIndependiente02
W10/05/2026
Rosario CentralIndependiente
Rosario CentralIndependiente31
L02/05/2026
San LorenzoIndependiente
San LorenzoIndependiente12
WGimnasia M.6W0D4L
22/08/2026
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Instituto CordobaGimnasia M.Gimnasia M.Union Santa FeSan LorenzoGimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia M.23
W18/08/2026Gimnasia M.Talleres Cordoba31
W09/08/2026Instituto CordobaGimnasia M.10
L01/08/2026Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe20
W29/07/2026San LorenzoGimnasia M.10
L24/07/2026Gimnasia M.Central Cordoba de Santiago10
W04/05/2026Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia21
W26/04/2026Independ. RivadaviaGimnasia M.
Independ. RivadaviaGimnasia M.51
L21/04/2026Gimnasia M.Lanus
Gimnasia M.Lanus10
W15/04/2026Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia Y Tiro3040
LReferee Profile
4.82Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.82 cards a match, 0.43 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).
Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25:15 | +10 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 19 | WDDWD |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 9:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba 30/08/26
- Talleres Cordoba vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 30/08/26
- Banfield vs River Plate 30/08/26
- Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi 30/08/26
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club 31/08/26
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense 01/09/26
- Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys 01/09/26
- Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo 01/09/26
About the Independiente vs Gimnasia M. forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Independiente and Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Independiente are 5th and Gimnasia M. 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Independiente 24-20, Gimnasia M. 14-22. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Independiente and Gimnasia M. have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.