Independiente vs Platense Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.75
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Independiente Rest
5 days
Platense Rest
5 days
Independiente vs Platense: the result in context
Platense beat Independiente 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 9 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Independiente had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Platense.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Nicolas Ramirez averages 6.14 cards a game, 1.02 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
159%1.75
X22%3.25
219%5.50
Double Chance
1X81%1.14
X241%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%2.30
No53%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 0.78 = 2.34
Over 1.570%1.50
Over 2.547%2.55
Over 3.525%5.00
Under 1.530%2.50
Under 2.553%1.50
Under 3.575%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.560%1.79
Over 9.546%2.22
Over 10.532%3.08
Under 8.540%1.95
Under 9.554%1.57
Under 10.568%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.551%1.76
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.549%1.98
Match Events
15'Goal Disallowed - offsideG. Avalos
44'S. MontielFoul
46'M. Perez Curci INL. Millan out
49'I. VazquezFoul
64'F. Zapiola ING. Togni out
64'L. Heredia INK. Retamar out
65'G. Mainero
68'M. Abaldo INM. Meza out
77'L. Gimenez INH. Bobadilla out
84'K. LomonacoFoul
86'G. Mainero INN. Lopez out
86'I. Marcone INL. Cabral out
90+5'N. LopezDelay of game
Lineups
IndependientePlatense
4-2-3-1Coach: Walter ZuninoAvg ratingAvg rating
33R. Rey
4S. Arias
13J. Fedorco
26K. Lomónaco
22F. Zabala
16M. Perez Curci
C23I. Marcone
28M. Gutiérrez
7S. Montiel
19M. Abaldo
9G. Ávalos
30J. Cozzani
25J. Ignacio Saborido
C13I. Vazquez
31V. Cuesta
3T. Ariel Silva
26P. Ferreira
24M. Barrios
7G. Mainero
23L. Heredia
10F. Zapiola
20L. GiménezIndependiente Substitutes
14Lautaro Millán46'for M. Perez Curci
8Maxi Meza68'for M. Abaldo
10Luciano Cabral86'for I. Marcone
77Santiago Mele
21Fernando Closter
3Jonathan De Irastorza
35Juan Miguel Arrayago
38Luciano Barros
32David Martínez
15Imanol Machuca
18Facundo Valdéz
34Felipe Tempone
Platense Substitutes
43Nicolás Retamar64'for L. Heredia
16Gastón Togni64'for F. Zapiola
19Héctor Bobadilla77'for L. Gimenez
11Nico López86'for G. Mainero90+5'
22Nicolás Sumavil
32Santiago Quiros
34Mateo Mendia
4Agustín Lagos
18Bautista Merlini
17Felipe Bussio
27Santiago Dalmasso
33Juan Gauto
Match Stats
IndependientePlatense 66%Ball Possession34%
13Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots1
12Fouls17
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
506Total Passes272
400Passes Accurate171
79%Pass Accuracy63%
Team Comparison
IndependientePlatense1655Elo Rating 1608
0.94Attack 1.21
1.64Defense 1.98
17%Hit Rate 41%
11.3Shots per Game 17.5
2.9Shots on Target 5.0
3.3Corners per Game 8.6
2.7Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Independiente- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Platense- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Independiente2Wins · 29%Draws343%
Platense2Wins · 28%
2Wins · 28%2.1Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7
Previous meetings
08/02/2026PlatenseIndependiente01
24/10/2025IndependientePlatense30
17/02/2025PlatenseIndependiente11
19/05/2024PlatenseIndependiente00
05/02/2023IndependientePlatense12
05/07/2022IndependientePlatense13
01/08/2021PlatenseIndependiente11
Recent Form
Independiente6W1D3L
04/08/2026
Velez SarsfieldIndependienteIndependiente
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente
Velez SarsfieldIndependiente10
L31/07/2026IndependienteNewells Old Boys10
W26/07/2026Estudiantes L.P.Independiente02
W23/05/2026
Union Santa FeIndependiente
Union Santa FeIndependiente02
W10/05/2026
Rosario CentralIndependiente
Rosario CentralIndependiente31
L02/05/2026
San LorenzoIndependiente
San LorenzoIndependiente12
W24/04/2026
Deportivo RiestraIndependiente
Deportivo RiestraIndependiente20
L19/04/2026Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
IndependienteDefensa Y Justicia31
W12/04/2026
Boca JuniorsIndependiente
Boca JuniorsIndependiente11
D04/04/2026Independiente
Racing Club
IndependienteRacing Club10
WPlatense3W2D5L
04/08/2026Platense
Talleres Cordoba
Instituto CordobaPlatensePlatenseUnion Santa Fe
PlatenseTalleres Cordoba04
L30/07/2026Instituto CordobaPlatense21
L25/07/2026PlatenseUnion Santa Fe22
D28/05/2026
CorinthiansPlatense
CorinthiansPlatense02
W20/05/2026
Santa FePlatense
Santa FePlatense21
L13/05/2026Platense
San Martin S.J.
PlatenseSan Martin S.J.4030
W08/05/2026Platense
Penarol
PlatensePenarol11
D03/05/2026PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.02
L30/04/2026PlatenseSanta Fe
PlatenseSanta Fe21
W25/04/2026PlatenseSan Lorenzo
PlatenseSan Lorenzo01
LReferee Profile
6.14Cards per match
5.85Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.14 cards a match, 1.02 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).
Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin 08/08/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P. 08/08/26
- Tigre vs River Plate 08/08/26
- Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield 09/08/26
- Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia M. 09/08/26
- San Lorenzo vs Huracan 09/08/26
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys 09/08/26
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Barracas Central 09/08/26
About the Independiente vs Platense forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Independiente and Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Independiente are 5th and Platense 12th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Independiente 24-20, Platense 10-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.