San Lorenzo vs Huracan Prediction

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina Argentina · Clausura - 4
Derby
San Lorenzo
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Huracan
Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires·Dario Herrera, Argentina 09/08/2026
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
0-2
Finished
HuracanHuracan

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
San Lorenzo Rest
5 days
Huracan Rest
5 days

San Lorenzo vs Huracan: the result in context

Huracan beat San Lorenzo 2-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game. Referee Dario Herrera averages 5.87 cards a game, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.80
X
32%2.71
2
23%2.91
Double Chance
1X
77%1.38
X2
55%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.63
No
53%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.94 = 2.20
Over 1.5
68%1.83
Over 2.5
40%3.60
Over 3.5
25%8.00
Under 1.5
32%1.96
Under 2.5
60%1.28
Under 3.5
75%1.06
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.1 = 9.2
Over 8.5
53%1.79
Over 9.5
43%2.29
Over 10.5
29%3.00
Under 8.5
47%1.94
Under 9.5
57%1.56
Under 10.5
71%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 3.4 = 6
Over 3.5
81%-
Over 4.5
74%1.37
Under 3.5
19%-
Under 4.5
26%2.70

Match Events

2'M. De RitisFoul
20'L. CarrizoFoul
45+2'J. Caicedo
46'M. De Ritis INT. Rodriguez Pagano out
53'M. Rio INJ. Rattalino out
53'F. Gulli ING. del Prete out
57'J. CaicedoAssist: F. Kalinger
57'O. GillUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'J. CaicedoUnsportsmanlike conduct
62'O. GillUnsportsmanlike conduct
63'N. Blanco INJ. Devecchi out
66'J. Caicedo INI. Pussetto out
77'I. PussettoDelay of game
78'F. Kalinger INL. Mora out
90'O. Cortes INO. Romero out
90'R. AuzmendiUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

San Lorenzo
5-3-2Coach: Nestor Gorosito
Huracan
4-3-3Coach: Diego Martinez
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.99
Orlando Gill5.912O. Gill
Nicolás Blanco6.554N. Blanco
Emiliano Amor6.219E. Amor
Danilo Arboleda6.92D. Arboleda
Alejo Cordoba6.535A. Cordoba
Mathias de Ritis6.36M. de Ritis
Facundo Gulli6.910F. Gulli
Martín Rio6.527M. Rio
Nicolás TripichioC6.924N. Tripichio
Alexis Cuello7.39A. Cuello
Rodrigo Auzmendi6.729R. Auzmendi
Hernán GalíndezC7.91H. Galíndez
Lucas Blondel6.32L. Blondel
Hugo Nervo7.321H. Nervo
Lucas Carrizo7.33L. Carrizo
Máximo Palazzo6.935M. Palazzo
Facundo Kalinger7.224F. Kalinger
Rodrigo Fernández6.65R. Fernández
Leonardo Gil7.38L. Gil
Juan Bisanz6.317J. Bisanz
Jordy Caicedo8.39J. Caicedo
Oscar Cortés6.67O. Cortés

San Lorenzo Substitutes

3Teo Rodríguez Pagano46'for M. De Ritis6.6
21Gustavo del Prete53'for F. Gulli6.9
13Juan Rattalino53'for M. Rio6.5
25José Devecchi63'for N. Blanco7.3
14Agustin Ladstatter
16Guzmán Corujo
42Franco Lorenzon
15Mauricio Cardillo
5Ignacio Perruzzi
22Juan Álvarez
11Matias Reali
18Diego Herazo

Huracan Substitutes

23Ignacio Pussetto66'for J. Caicedo77'6.9
32Sebastián Meza
19Leandro Lescano
4Federico Vera
6Fabio Pereyra
34Ignacio Campo
10Óscar Romero90'for O. Cortes6.5
14Alejandro Martínez
48Santino Rayneli
11Thaiel Peralta
41Lautaro Mora78'for F. Kalinger6.5
49Tomás Uribe

Match Stats

San LorenzoHuracan
54%Ball Possession46%
2Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal8
5Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots1
10Fouls21
3Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
411Total Passes348
327Passes Accurate261
80%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
HuracanHuracan
1611Elo Rating 1650
0.91Attack 1.08
1.67Defense 1.70
50%Hit Rate 50%
12.0Shots per Game 13.8
4.1Shots on Target 3.6
4.6Corners per Game 5.7
2.7Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
HuracanHuracan
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1Wins · 11%
Draws556%
HuracanHuracan3Wins · 33%
1.4Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
11%3+ goals1 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina08/02/2026
HuracanSan Lorenzo
10
Liga Profesional Argentina30/08/2025
San LorenzoHuracan
00
Liga Profesional Argentina23/02/2025
HuracanSan Lorenzo
20
Liga Profesional Argentina20/07/2024
San LorenzoHuracan
11
Liga Profesional Argentina05/03/2023
HuracanSan Lorenzo
11
Liga Profesional Argentina01/10/2022
San LorenzoHuracan
10
Liga Profesional Argentina19/03/2022
San LorenzoHuracan
00
Liga Profesional Argentina24/10/2021
HuracanSan Lorenzo
21
Liga Profesional Argentina07/03/2021
San LorenzoHuracan
11
Full head-to-head record

Recent Form

San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
2W3D5L
04/08/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo
10
L29/07/2026
San LorenzoGimnasia M.
10
W26/07/2026
LanusSan Lorenzo
10
L
27/05/2026
San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
01
L
21/05/2026
SantosSan Lorenzo
22
D
11/05/2026
River PlateSan Lorenzo
4131
L
06/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaSan Lorenzo
00
D
02/05/2026
San LorenzoIndependiente
12
L
29/04/2026
San LorenzoSantos
11
D
25/04/2026
PlatenseSan Lorenzo
01
W
HuracanHuracan
3W3D4L
04/08/2026
HuracanAtletico Tucuman
00
D31/07/2026
Independ. RivadaviaHuracan
21
L25/07/2026
HuracanBanfield
10
W
03/06/2026
Barracas CentralHuracan
10
L
13/05/2026
Argentinos JRSHuracan
1000
L
10/05/2026
Boca JuniorsHuracan
2131
W
03/05/2026
Racing ClubHuracan
00
D
28/04/2026
HuracanArgentinos JRS
12
L
21/04/2026
TigreHuracan
11
D
12/04/2026
HuracanRosario Central
31
W

Referee Profile

Dario Herrera261 matches

5.87Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dario Herrera5.87
Other referees5.13

5.87 cards a match, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 244 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto142399:19-109LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto149:199

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About the San Lorenzo vs Huracan forecast

As a derby, this Liga Profesional Argentina meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.