Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Estadio Unico Madre De Ciudades, Santiago del Estero·Sebastian Zunino, Argentina 04/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.59
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Central Cordoba de Santiago Rest
4 days
San Lorenzo Rest
6 days

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo: the result in context

Central Cordoba de Santiago beat San Lorenzo 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 4 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%3.06
X
24%2.87
2
41%2.53
Double Chance
1X
59%1.50
X2
65%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.20
No
53%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 0.99 = 2.14
Over 1.5
66%1.59
Over 2.5
33%2.88
Over 3.5
17%6.00
Under 1.5
34%2.34
Under 2.5
67%1.40
Under 3.5
83%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.3 = 9
Over 8.5
53%1.97
Over 9.5
38%2.55
Over 10.5
29%3.50
Under 8.5
47%1.75
Under 9.5
62%1.42
Under 10.5
71%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
38%1.42
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
62%2.52

Match Events

31'M. SantosAssist: S. Moyano
41'D. BarreraFoul
46'J. Alvarez ING. del Prete out
50'M. VeraFoul
53'N. Arias INM. Cardillo out
62'M. De RitisFoul
63'S. MoyanoFoul
66'N. TripichioFoul
69'M. Reali IND. Herazo out
72'M. Santos INL. Varaldo out
78'M. Iacobellis INY. Casermeiro out
78'S. Moyano INL. Marchi out
78'H. Tijanovich INT. Cravero out
78'J. Rattalino INF. Gulli out
81'Y. CasermeiroFoul
89'L. Gonzalez INJ. Cardozo out
90+2'L. VaraldoFoul
90+5'A. CuelloFoul

Lineups

Central Cordoba de Santiago
4-2-3-1Coach: Sebastian Dominguez
San Lorenzo
4-4-2Coach: Nestor Gorosito
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.69
Javier Vallejos6.725J. Vallejos
Santiago Moyano7.233S. Moyano
Alejandro Maciel7.62A. Maciel
Facundo Mansilla7.36F. Mansilla
Fernando Martínez7.220F. Martínez
Matías Vera7.322M. Vera
Horacio Tijanovich7.211H. Tijanovich
Marco Iacobellis7.010M. Iacobellis
Lucas González7.218L. González
Diego Barrera6.57D. Barrera
Michael SantosC7.727M. Santos
Orlando Gill7.212O. Gill
Nahuel Arias7.030N. Arias
Emiliano Amor6.319E. Amor
Alejo Cordoba6.635A. Cordoba
Mathias de Ritis6.56M. de Ritis
Juan Álvarez6.322J. Álvarez
Nicolás TripichioC7.724N. Tripichio
Juan Rattalino6.913J. Rattalino
Matias Reali7.011M. Reali
Rodrigo Auzmendi6.229R. Auzmendi
Alexis Cuello6.39A. Cuello

Central Cordoba de Santiago Substitutes

9Lucas Varaldo72'for M. Santos90+2'6.3
17Yuri Casermeiro78'for M. Iacobellis81'6.5
3Leonardo Marchi78'for S. Moyano6.9
5Tiago Cravero78'for H. Tijanovich6.6
55Juan Cardozo89'for L. Gonzalez
12Máximo Álvarez
13José Goméz
30Federico Rodriguez
37Alan Laprida
47Martín Cuitiño
19Ezequiel Naya

San Lorenzo Substitutes

21Gustavo del Prete46'for J. Alvarez6.2
15Mauricio Cardillo53'for N. Arias6.6
18Diego Herazo69'for M. Reali6.3
10Facundo Gulli78'for J. Rattalino7.2
25José Devecchi
16Guzmán Corujo
42Franco Lorenzon
3Teo Rodríguez Pagano
14Agustin Ladstatter
5Ignacio Perruzzi
62Gonzalo Alassia

Match Stats

Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo
38%Ball Possession62%
3Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots4
16Fouls10
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves6
291Total Passes470
218Passes Accurate376
75%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
1540Elo Rating 1611
1.39Attack 0.91
1.05Defense 1.67
0%Hit Rate 50%
14.0Shots per Game 12.0
4.1Shots on Target 4.1
5.4Corners per Game 4.6
2.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago2Wins · 29%
Draws114%
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo4Wins · 57%
1.7Avg Goals
14%Both teams scored1 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina31/01/2026
San LorenzoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
10
Liga Profesional Argentina23/11/2025
Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo
21
Liga Profesional Argentina01/11/2024
Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo
01
Liga Profesional Argentina12/06/2023
San LorenzoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
00
Liga Profesional Argentina22/06/2022
Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo
02
Liga Profesional Argentina24/07/2021
San LorenzoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
10
Liga Profesional Argentina28/02/2021
San LorenzoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
04

Recent Form

Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
2W2D6L
31/07/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoAtletico Tucuman
02
L
24/07/2026
Gimnasia M.Central Cordoba de Santiago
10
L
02/05/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoBoca Juniors
12
L
25/04/2026
LanusCentral Cordoba de Santiago
00
D
20/04/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoPlatense
43
W
14/04/2026
Velez SarsfieldCentral Cordoba de Santiago
10
L
06/04/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoNewells Old Boys
13
L
23/03/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Central Cordoba de Santiago
50
L
18/03/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoDeportivo Riestra
10
W
12/03/2026
Defensa Y JusticiaCentral Cordoba de Santiago
11
D
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
2W4D4L
29/07/2026
San LorenzoGimnasia M.
10
W
26/07/2026
LanusSan Lorenzo
10
L
27/05/2026
San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
01
L
21/05/2026
SantosSan Lorenzo
22
D
11/05/2026
River PlateSan Lorenzo
4131
L
06/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaSan Lorenzo
00
D
02/05/2026
San LorenzoIndependiente
12
L
29/04/2026
San LorenzoSantos
11
D
25/04/2026
PlatenseSan Lorenzo
01
W
21/04/2026
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
00
D

Referee Profile

Sebastian Zunino196 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sebastian Zunino4.82
Other referees5.24

4.82 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

About the Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Central Cordoba de Santiago and San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, San Lorenzo are 7th and Central Cordoba de Santiago 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Central Cordoba de Santiago 11-21, San Lorenzo 14-14. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.