Union Santa Fe vs Lanus Prediction

Union Santa Fe
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Lanus
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz·Nicolas Lamolina, Argentina 07/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.52
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Union Santa Fe Rest
5 days
Lanus Rest
3 days

Union Santa Fe vs Lanus: result, form and history

Union Santa Fe beat Lanus 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 6 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.38
X
33%2.90
2
20%3.35
Double Chance
1X
80%1.30
X2
53%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.10
No
47%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.96 = 2.22
Over 1.5
70%1.52
Over 2.5
42%2.60
Over 3.5
24%5.25
Under 1.5
30%2.50
Under 2.5
58%1.47
Under 3.5
76%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.75
Over 9.5
47%2.23
Over 10.5
32%2.95
Under 8.5
40%1.98
Under 9.5
53%1.58
Under 10.5
68%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.8 = 5.7
Over 3.5
79%1.26
Over 4.5
61%1.55
Under 3.5
21%3.05
Under 4.5
39%2.22

Match Events

28'R. Carrera INE. Salvio out
40'A. Medina INF. Pena Biafore out
41'C. IzquierdozFoul
53'L. Menossi
59'M. Aguirre INM. Estigarribia out
60'S. MarcichFoul
69'L. Ayala INB. Pitton out
69'I. Malcorra INM. Luna Diale out
71'Y. Valois INA. Wlk out
71'L. Besozzi IND. Aquino out
71'M. Sepulveda INW. Bou out
73'F. Pena BiaforeAssist: G. Perez
76'J. MosqueiraAssist: C. Tarragona
82'L. Menossi INE. Giaccone out
83'J. Palacios INJ. Pintado out
90+2'W. BouUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Union Santa Fe
4-1-3-2Coach: Leonardo Madelon
Lanus
4-2-3-1Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.57
Matías Mansilla6.021M. Mansilla
Lautaro Vargas6.335L. Vargas
Maizon Rodriguez6.72M. Rodriguez
Juan Pablo Ludueña7.326J. Pablo Ludueña
Lucas Ayala6.918L. Ayala
Lucas Menossi7.75L. Menossi
Julián Palacios6.920J. Palacios
Joaquin Mosqueira8.017J. Mosqueira
Ignacio Malcorra6.910I. Malcorra
Cristian TarragonaC7.025C. Tarragona
Misael Aguirre6.331M. Aguirre
Nahuel Losada5.626N. Losada
Gonzalo Perez6.94G. Perez
Carlos IzquierdozC6.524C. Izquierdoz
Ronaldo De Jesus6.935R. De Jesus
Sasha Marcich5.56S. Marcich
Agustín Medina6.517A. Medina
Agustín Cardozo7.030A. Cardozo
Matías Sepúlveda6.516M. Sepúlveda
Ramiro Carrera6.323R. Carrera
Lucas Besozzi7.377L. Besozzi
Yoshan Valois6.519Y. Valois

Union Santa Fe Substitutes

19Marcelo Estigarribia59'for M. Aguirre6.7
12Bruno Pittón69'for L. Ayala6.6
11Mauro Luna69'for I. Malcorra6.7
40Lucas Meuli
44Tomás Fagioli
15Juan Pintado83'for J. Palacios6.5
36Mateo Aimar
22Brahian Cuello
29Santino Vera
46Santiago Grella
8Emilio Giaccone82'for L. Menossi6.3
43Eric Ramírez

Lanus Substitutes

11Eduardo Salvio28'for R. Carrera5.7
5Felipe Peña Biafore40'for A. Medina73'8.0
25Dylan Aquino71'for L. Besozzi6.7
20Allan Wlk71'for Y. Valois6.5
9Walter Bou71'for M. Sepulveda90+2'6.7
1Franco Petroli
33Tomás Guidara
2Luciano Romero
3Nicolás Morgantini
27Facundo Sánchez
8Franco Watson
38Benjamin Acosta

Match Stats

Union Santa FeLanus
41%Ball Possession59%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots2
6Fouls7
1Goalkeeper Saves1
335Total Passes495
238Passes Accurate410
71%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
LanusLanus
1586Elo Rating 1698
0.58Attack 1.17
1.07Defense 2.59
0%Hit Rate 56%
15.7Shots per Game 10.5
4.4Shots on Target 3.6
4.2Corners per Game 4.7
3.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LanusLanus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe2Wins · 33%
Draws350%
LanusLanus1Wins · 17%
2.8Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina29/01/2026
LanusUnion Santa Fe
21
Liga Profesional Argentina13/09/2024
LanusUnion Santa Fe
11
Liga Profesional Argentina17/06/2023
Union Santa FeLanus
11
Liga Profesional Argentina03/07/2022
Union Santa FeLanus
30
Liga Profesional Argentina31/07/2021
LanusUnion Santa Fe
11
Liga Profesional Argentina01/03/2021
Union Santa FeLanus
32

Recent Form

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
2W3D5L
01/08/2026
Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe
20
L
25/07/2026
PlatenseUnion Santa Fe
22
D
23/05/2026
Union Santa FeIndependiente
02
L
13/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaUnion Santa Fe
20
L
10/05/2026
Independ. RivadaviaUnion Santa Fe
12
W
02/05/2026
Union Santa FeTalleres Cordoba
11
D
27/04/2026
Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe
22
D
18/04/2026
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys
23
L
11/04/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Union Santa Fe
21
L
03/04/2026
Union Santa FeDeportivo Riestra
20
W
LanusLanus
3W1D6L
03/08/2026
LanusInstituto Cordoba
01
L
30/07/2026
CiencianoLanus
40
L
26/07/2026
LanusSan Lorenzo
10
W
23/07/2026
LanusCienciano
20
W
30/05/2026
Instituto CordobaLanus
21
L
27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
10
W
21/05/2026
LDU de QuitoLanus
20
L
10/05/2026
Argentinos JRSLanus
20
L
06/05/2026
Always ReadyLanus
40
L
02/05/2026
LanusDeportivo Riestra
00
D

Referee Profile

Nicolas Lamolina122 matches

5.48Cards per match
5.16Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Lamolina5.48
Other referees5.27

5.48 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

About the Union Santa Fe vs Lanus forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union Santa Fe and Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

Lanus and Union Santa Fe are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 6th and 8th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Union Santa Fe 24-20, Lanus 18-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.