Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
Boca Juniors Rest
3 days
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
4 days
Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.: the result in context
Boca Juniors beat Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 5 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.15
X32%2.91
226%3.90
Double Chance
1X75%1.25
X258%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.25
No47%1.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1 = 2.27
Over 1.570%1.57
Over 2.547%2.77
Over 3.525%5.50
Under 1.530%2.38
Under 2.553%1.40
Under 3.575%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.560%1.71
Over 9.549%2.16
Over 10.537%2.77
Under 8.540%2.02
Under 9.551%1.62
Under 10.563%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.9 = 5.3
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%1.34
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%2.70
Match Events
45+1'S. AscacibarAssist: L. Blanco
56'L. PioviFoul
60'Perez Fabricio INE. Cetre out
60'J. Burgos INB. Aguirre out
67'Miguel Merentiel INS. Villa out
68'A. Castro INF. Farias out
68'T. Palacios INGabriel Neves out
74'L. FloresFoul
78'Gabriel NevesFoul
80'T. Aranda INA. Velasco out
85'L. Flores INK. Zenon out
85'L. Paredes INC. Rey Domenech out
86'L. Piovi INL. Alario out
90'G. BenedettiFoul
Lineups
Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.
4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander MedinaAvg ratingAvg rating
1Á. Montero
17L. Lozano
2L. Di Lollo
26M. Pellegrino
3L. Blanco
C5L. Paredes
19L. Flores
25S. Ascacíbar
18M. Delgado
10T. Aranda
16M. Merentiel
1F. Iacovich
20E. Meza
4S. Núñez
24T. Palacios
13G. Benedetti
21E. Piovi
22A. Castro
29F. Pérez
10T. Palacios
17J. Tobio Burgos
C9G. CarrilloBoca Juniors Substitutes
22Sebastián Villa67'for Miguel Merentiel
12Leandro Brey
32Ayrton Costa
27Malcom Braida
24Dylan Gorosito
4Nicolás Figal
23Camilo Rey Domenech85'for L. Paredes
21Kevin Zenón85'for L. Flores
20Alan Velasco80'for T. Aranda
15Williams Alarcón
9Milton Giménez
11Ángel Romero
Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes
28Brian Aguirre60'for J. Burgos
18Edwuin Cetré60'for Perez Fabricio
8Gabriel Neves68'for T. Palacios78'
11Facundo Farías68'for A. Castro
12Rodrigo Borzone
26Ramiro Funes Mori
36Joaquin Pereyra
40Eros Mancuso
52Bautista Kociubinski
7José Sosa
19Adolfo Gaich
27Lucas Alario86'for L. Piovi
Match Stats
Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P. 61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots1
16Fouls11
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
610Total Passes381
528Passes Accurate306
87%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.1815Elo Rating 1691
2.02Attack 0.98
1.98Defense 2.21
64%Hit Rate 14%
13.7Shots per Game 13.6
3.8Shots on Target 4.1
4.9Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Boca Juniors- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Estudiantes L.P.- Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Boca Juniors4Wins · 45%Draws111%
Estudiantes L.P.4Wins · 44%
4Wins · 44%2.4Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9
Previous meetings
29/01/2026Estudiantes L.P.Boca Juniors21
02/11/2025Estudiantes L.P.Boca Juniors12
20/04/2025Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.20
27/08/2024Estudiantes L.P.Boca Juniors11
23/11/2023Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.23
16/04/2023Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.01
25/07/2022Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.31
14/03/2022Estudiantes L.P.Boca Juniors01
15/08/2021Estudiantes L.P.Boca Juniors10
Recent Form
Boca Juniors4W2D4L
02/08/2026
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
O'HigginsBoca Juniors
Deportivo RiestraBoca JuniorsBoca JuniorsO'Higgins
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors22
D31/07/2026O'HigginsBoca Juniors3140
W27/07/2026Deportivo RiestraBoca Juniors30
L24/07/2026Boca JuniorsO'Higgins10
W17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors02
W09/07/2026Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense10
W29/05/2026Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
Boca JuniorsU. Catolica01
L20/05/2026Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro11
D10/05/2026Boca Juniors
Huracan
Boca JuniorsHuracan2131
L06/05/2026
Barcelona SCBoca Juniors
Barcelona SCBoca Juniors10
LEstudiantes L.P.4W3D3L
01/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y JusticiaEstudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia30
W26/07/2026Estudiantes L.P.Independiente02
L31/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central30
W27/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente Medellin10
W21/05/2026
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.10
L10/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.Racing Club01
L07/05/2026
CuscoEstudiantes L.P.
CuscoEstudiantes L.P.11
D03/05/2026
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.02
W30/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo11
D25/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.Talleres Cordoba00
DReferee Profile
5.27Cards per match
5.01Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).
Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Platense vs Talleres Cordoba 04/08/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente 04/08/26
- Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo 04/08/26
- Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman 04/08/26
- Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba 06/08/26
- Union Santa Fe vs Lanus 07/08/26
- Rosario Central vs Aldosivi 08/08/26
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 08/08/26
About the Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Boca Juniors and Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Estudiantes L.P. are 1st in the Liga Profesional Argentina, 1 point ahead of Boca Juniors in 2nd. League goal record so far: Boca Juniors 22-9, Estudiantes L.P. 19-7. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.