Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Newells Old Boys Rest
2 days
Boca Juniors Rest
2 days
Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors: result, form and history
Newells Old Boys and Boca Juniors drew 2-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 2 Aug 2026. Boca Juniors had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Newells Old Boys.
Boca Juniors have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Referee Andres Merlos averages 4.35 cards a game, 0.95 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
127%4.30
X25%3.15
248%1.94
Double Chance
1X52%1.81
X273%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.16
No47%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.16 = 2.35
Over 1.570%1.50
Over 2.547%2.55
Over 3.525%5.00
Under 1.530%2.52
Under 2.553%1.48
Under 3.575%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.3 + 5.1 = 8.4
Over 8.553%1.70
Over 9.538%2.13
Over 10.529%2.77
Under 8.547%2.03
Under 9.562%1.66
Under 10.571%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.559%1.41
Over 4.535%1.80
Under 3.541%2.55
Under 4.565%1.91
Match Events
30'S. AscacibarAssist: S. Villa
43'L. GiannettiFoul
45+1'A. CostaFoul
50'M. CoccaroAssist: F. Guch
53'L. RegiardoFoul
59'L. RegiardoAssist: T. Rios
63'Miguel Merentiel INM. Gimenez out
66'M. Coccaro INI. Ramirez out
68'L. ParedesUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'S. Villa INA. Velasco out
75'D. Gorosito INL. Lozano out
80'A. VelascoFoul
81'A. VelascoAssist: T. Aranda
84'D. Sotelo INL. Gomez out
90+3'F. Escobar INB. Cabrera out
90+3'F. Guch INV. Acuna out
90+3'T. Rios INB. Benedetto out
Lineups
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
4-2-3-1Coach: Rodolfo ArruabarrenaAvg ratingAvg rating
30J. Reinatti
24F. Escobar
23N. Goitea
17L. Giannetti
28J. Russo
8D. Sotelo
C5L. Regiardo
7W. Mazzantti
20F. Guch
39L. Rios
9M. Cóccaro
1Á. Montero
24D. Gorosito
2L. Di Lollo
32A. Costa
3L. Blanco
C5L. Paredes
25S. Ascacíbar
19L. Flores
10T. Aranda
22S. Villa
16M. MerentielNewells Old Boys Substitutes
99Juan Ignacio Ramírez66'for M. Coccaro
21Gabriel Arias
25Bruno Cabrera90+3'for F. Escobar
2Ian Glavinovich
3Martín Luciano
10Valentino Acuña90+3'for F. Guch
18Mateo García
35Blas Benedetto90+3'for T. Rios
29Marcelo Esponda
15Alan Soñora
27Lucas Gómez84'for D. Sotelo
36Francisco Scarpeccio
Boca Juniors Substitutes
9Milton Giménez63'for Miguel Merentiel
12Leandro Brey
26Marco Pellegrino
27Malcom Braida
17Leandro Lozano75'for D. Gorosito
4Nicolás Figal
15Williams Alarcón
21Kevin Zenón
23Camilo Rey Domenech
20Alan Velasco75'for S. Villa80'81'
18Milton Delgado
11Ángel Romero
Match Stats
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors 40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal9
3Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots3
12Fouls11
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
273Total Passes403
209Passes Accurate348
77%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors1630Elo Rating 1815
0.85Attack 2.02
2.36Defense 1.98
44%Hit Rate 64%
13.5Shots per Game 13.7
4.2Shots on Target 3.8
5.1Corners per Game 4.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Newells Old Boys- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Boca Juniors- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Newells Old Boys2Wins · 25%Draws113%
Boca Juniors5Wins · 62%
5Wins · 62%2.0Avg Goals
13%Both teams scored1 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
01/02/2026Boca JuniorsNewells Old Boys20
06/10/2025Boca JuniorsNewells Old Boys50
31/03/2025Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors20
09/12/2024Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors01
25/07/2023Boca JuniorsNewells Old Boys21
16/10/2022Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors20
30/11/2021Boca JuniorsNewells Old Boys00
22/02/2021Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors01
Recent Form
Newells Old Boys4W3D3L
31/07/2026
IndependienteNewells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
IndependienteNewells Old Boys10
L25/07/2026Newells Old BoysTalleres Cordoba10
W05/05/2026
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys11
D26/04/2026Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old BoysInstituto Cordoba11
D18/04/2026
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys23
W12/04/2026Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Newells Old BoysSan Lorenzo00
D06/04/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoNewells Old Boys
Central Cordoba de SantiagoNewells Old Boys13
W30/03/2026Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
Newells Old BoysAcassuso02
L21/03/2026Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old BoysGimnasia M.10
W17/03/2026
LanusNewells Old Boys
LanusNewells Old Boys50
LBoca Juniors5W1D4L
31/07/2026
O'HigginsBoca Juniors
Deportivo RiestraBoca JuniorsBoca JuniorsO'Higgins
O'HigginsBoca Juniors3140
W27/07/2026Deportivo RiestraBoca Juniors30
L24/07/2026Boca JuniorsO'Higgins10
W17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors02
W09/07/2026Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense10
W29/05/2026Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
Boca JuniorsU. Catolica01
L20/05/2026Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro11
D10/05/2026Boca Juniors
Huracan
Boca JuniorsHuracan2131
L06/05/2026
Barcelona SCBoca Juniors
Barcelona SCBoca Juniors10
L02/05/2026Central Cordoba de SantiagoBoca Juniors
Central Cordoba de SantiagoBoca Juniors12
WReferee Profile
4.35Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.35 cards a match, 0.95 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.30).
Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia 01/08/26
- Racing Club vs Tigre 02/08/26
- Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. 02/08/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central 02/08/26
- River Plate vs Rosario Central 03/08/26
- Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba 03/08/26
- Sarmiento Junin vs Independ. Rivadavia 03/08/26
- Platense vs Talleres Cordoba 04/08/26
About the Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Newells Old Boys and Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
The table shows a wide gap: Boca Juniors are 2nd in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Newells Old Boys sit 14th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Newells Old Boys 15-27, Boca Juniors 22-9. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.