Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.56
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+14.7%
Atletico Tucuman Rest
4 days
Sarmiento Junin Rest
4 days
Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin: the result in context
Sarmiento Junin beat Atletico Tucuman 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 8 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Atletico Tucuman had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sarmiento Junin.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.85
X23%3.13
217%4.78
Double Chance
1X83%1.17
X240%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.25
No47%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 0.82 = 2.26
Over 1.570%1.50
Over 2.545%2.60
Over 3.524%5.10
Under 1.530%2.51
Under 2.555%1.47
Under 3.576%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 3.9 = 8.8
Over 8.553%1.70
Over 9.538%2.13
Over 10.529%2.78
Under 8.547%2.05
Under 9.562%1.65
Under 10.571%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.6
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.550%1.61
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.550%2.15
Match Events
38'M. MartinezFoul
61'J. Contrera INU. Gimenez out
61'J. Herrera INDiego Churin out
61'J. Insaurralde ING. Arturia out
69'J. Marabel(Penalty)
71'J. Mavilla
72'N. Franco INM. Brondo out
80'J. Mavilla ING. Gonzalez out
81'N. Lamendola INA. Canelo out
81'R. Tesuri INL. Di Placido out
81'M. Villa INR. Granillo out
81'L. VallejoAssist: C. D. Ferreira Namandu
89'J. Marabel ING. Diaz out
90'I. Galvan INR. Paunero out
90+4'S. SalleFoul
Lineups
Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin
4-4-2Coach: Facundo SavaAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Ingolotti
3M. Villa
26C. D. Ferreira Namandu
36L. Vallejo
21I. Galvan
5J. Fernandez
C11R. Tesuri
31L. Godoy
10N. Franco
23N. Lamendola
18R. Ruiz
12T. Ayala
8S. Salle
44R. Orihuela
C2J. Insaurralde
3L. Suarez
19J. Contrera
15C. Zabala
16M. Martinez
21J. Mavilla
27J. Marabel
24J. HerreraAtletico Tucuman Substitutes
25T. Durso
17J. Rodriguez
14A. Canelo81'for N. Lamendola
24L. Di Placido81'for R. Tesuri
6G. Ferrari
27R. Granillo81'for M. Villa
8E. Ham
28G. Compagnucci
45K. Ortiz
22F. Pimienta
30M. Brondo72'for N. Franco
2R. Paunero90'for I. Galvan
Sarmiento Junin Substitutes
1I. Arboleda
7P. Magnin
20U. Gimenez61'for J. Contrera
23E. Gimenez
10J. Renteria
9Diego Churin61'for J. Herrera
11G. Gonzalez80'for J. Mavilla
5M. Garcia
6G. Arturia61'for J. Insaurralde
33G. Diaz89'for J. Marabel
29T. Santamaria
35F. Alaggia
Match Stats
Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin 55%Ball Possession45%
13Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots3
12Fouls11
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
300Total Passes253
226Passes Accurate167
75%Pass Accuracy66%
Team Comparison
Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin1635Elo Rating 1624
1.25Attack 1.06
1.48Defense 1.45
27%Hit Rate 17%
11.4Shots per Game 10.8
3.8Shots on Target 2.7
4.5Corners per Game 3.5
2.6Cards per Game 3.2
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Tucuman- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sarmiento Junin- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Tucuman4Wins · 45%Draws111%
Sarmiento Junin4Wins · 44%
4Wins · 44%2.9Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9
Previous meetings
08/02/2026Sarmiento JuninAtletico Tucuman21
19/08/2025Sarmiento JuninAtletico Tucuman22
14/02/2025Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin50
04/11/2024Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin10
26/06/2023Sarmiento JuninAtletico Tucuman41
20/07/2022Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin10
10/02/2022Sarmiento JuninAtletico Tucuman10
21/08/2021Sarmiento JuninAtletico Tucuman30
03/04/2021Sarmiento JuninAtletico Tucuman12
Recent Form
Atletico Tucuman4W4D2L
04/08/2026
HuracanAtletico Tucuman
Central Cordoba de SantiagoAtletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
HuracanAtletico Tucuman00
D31/07/2026Central Cordoba de SantiagoAtletico Tucuman02
W26/07/2026Atletico TucumanIndepend. Rivadavia00
D20/05/2026
Talleres CordobaAtletico Tucuman
Talleres CordobaAtletico Tucuman03
W03/05/2026
River PlateAtletico Tucuman
River PlateAtletico Tucuman01
W27/04/2026Atletico Tucuman
Banfield
Atletico TucumanBanfield11
D19/04/2026
Argentinos JRSAtletico Tucuman
Argentinos JRSAtletico Tucuman10
L12/04/2026Atletico Tucuman
Tigre
Atletico TucumanTigre00
D05/04/2026
Rosario CentralAtletico Tucuman
Rosario CentralAtletico Tucuman21
L25/03/2026Atletico Tucuman
Sportivo Barracas
Atletico TucumanSportivo Barracas21
WSarmiento Junin4W0D6L
03/08/2026Sarmiento JuninIndepend. RivadaviaBanfieldSarmiento JuninSarmiento JuninArgentinos JRS
Sarmiento JuninIndepend. Rivadavia21
W29/07/2026BanfieldSarmiento Junin32
L24/07/2026Sarmiento JuninArgentinos JRS23
L17/07/2026Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors02
L03/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaSarmiento Junin
Belgrano CordobaSarmiento Junin40
L26/04/2026Sarmiento JuninTigre
Sarmiento JuninTigre10
W20/04/2026Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin
Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin21
L13/04/2026Sarmiento Junin
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.12
L09/04/2026Sarmiento Junin
Tristan Suarez
Sarmiento JuninTristan Suarez10
W02/04/2026
Barracas CentralSarmiento Junin
Barracas CentralSarmiento Junin12
WReferee Profile
5.08Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).
Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWLLL |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DLLWW |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DWLDW |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | DDLLD |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | +11 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | +3 | 25 | WWLLL |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | +6 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 21 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | DLDLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 21:18 | 25 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 13:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 22:21 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 9:19 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba 06/08/26
- Union Santa Fe vs Lanus 07/08/26
- Rosario Central vs Aldosivi 08/08/26
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 08/08/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P. 08/08/26
- Tigre vs River Plate 08/08/26
- Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield 09/08/26
- Independiente vs Platense 09/08/26
About the Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Tucuman and Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
Sarmiento Junin and Atletico Tucuman are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 11th and 13th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Atletico Tucuman 15-20, Sarmiento Junin 13-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.