Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. Prediction

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina Argentina · Clausura - 6
Gimnasia L.P.
2-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Gimnasia M.
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata·Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina 22/08/2026
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
2-3
Finished
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
50%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.13
SignalNEUTRALModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Gimnasia L.P. Rest
3 days
Gimnasia M. Rest
4 days

Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: the result in context

Gimnasia M. beat Gimnasia L.P. 3-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.80
X
28%3.30
2
18%4.84
Double Chance
1X
82%1.18
X2
46%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.13
No
50%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 0.81 = 2.15
Over 1.5
68%1.44
Over 2.5
37%2.40
Over 3.5
19%4.50
Under 1.5
32%2.65
Under 2.5
63%1.56
Under 3.5
81%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.1 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.60
Over 9.5
46%1.99
Over 10.5
35%2.55
Under 8.5
42%2.15
Under 9.5
54%1.73
Under 10.5
65%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 3.7 = 5.9
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
66%1.48
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
34%2.37

Match Events

17'A. ModicaAssist: T. O'Connor
39'A. Modica
43'J. Cortazzo INR. Giampaoli out
46'A. AuzmendiAssist: B. Barros Schelotto
46'N. Schelotto INM. Zalazar out
46'A. Max INL. Janson out
52'D. Mondino ING. Guiffrey out
62'M. ZalazarAssist: L. Janson
70'F. AntoniniFoul
74'F. Antonini INN. Barboza out
76'A. ModicaAssist: E. Fernandez
77'A. Colazo INF. Torres out
80'E. Fernandez INB. Andrada out
81'L. Cingolani INL. Carrera out
81'T. O'Connor INU. Sanchez out
90+1'N. BarbozaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+6'A. ModicaDelay of game

Lineups

Gimnasia L.P.
4-3-1-2Coach: Mariano Messera
Gimnasia M.
4-1-4-1Coach: Ariel Broggi
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating6.87
Nelson Insfrán6.223N. Insfrán
Bautista Barros Schelotto5.931B. Barros Schelotto
Juan Cruz Cortazzo6.335J. Cruz Cortazzo
Enzo Martínez6.221E. Martínez
Pedro Silva6.324P. Silva
Ignacio Miramón6.35I. Miramón
Augusto Max6.516A. Max
Nicolás Barros Schelotto6.910N. Barros Schelotto
Nacho FernándezC6.58N. Fernández
Agustín Auzmendi6.629A. Auzmendi
Agustín Colazo6.719A. Colazo
Cesar Rigamonti6.323C. Rigamonti
Luciano Paredes6.732L. Paredes
Diego MondinoC6.92D. Mondino
Ezequiel Muñoz6.34E. Muñoz
Matias Recalde6.93M. Recalde
Fermin Antonini6.721F. Antonini
Facundo Lencioni7.326F. Lencioni
Tomás O'Connor6.928T. O'Connor
Esteban Fernández6.330E. Fernández
Luciano Cingolani6.67L. Cingolani
Agustín Modica8.79A. Modica

Gimnasia L.P. Substitutes

4Renzo Giampaoli43'for J. Cortazzo
27Julián Kadijevic
36Lucas Lamella
22Matías Melluso
33Pablo Aguiar
11Jeremías Merlo
20Juan Pérez
18Mateo Seoane
7Manuel Panaro
26Franco Torres77'for A. Colazo
9Maximiliano Zalazar46'for N. Schelotto62'
17Lucas Janson46'for A. Max

Gimnasia M. Substitutes

31Lautaro Petruchi
16Germán Guiffrey52'for D. Mondino
36Ismael Cortez
42Lautaro Carrera81'for L. Cingolani
15Ulises Sánchez81'for T. O'Connor
33Brian Andrada80'for E. Fernandez
5Nahuel Barboza74'for F. Antonini90+1'
19Julian Ceballos
17Ignacio Sabatini
8Matías Vargas
11Santiago Rodríguez
35Valentino Simoni

Match Stats

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia M.
57%Ball Possession43%
6Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
4Fouls24
6Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
465Total Passes366
370Passes Accurate274
80%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
1733Elo Rating 1616
1.64Attack 0.46
2.13Defense 1.73
50%Hit Rate 19%
16.3Shots per Game 12.0
5.5Shots on Target 2.1
4.6Corners per Game 2.6
1.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+116 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina21/02/2026
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia L.P.
01

Recent Form

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
5W1D4L
18/08/2026
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia L.P.
4121
L
15/08/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
40
L09/08/2026
Gimnasia L.P.Barracas Central
20
W02/08/2026
AldosiviGimnasia L.P.
12
W30/07/2026
Gimnasia L.P.River Plate
10
W25/07/2026
Racing ClubGimnasia L.P.
21
L
07/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaGimnasia L.P.
13
W
05/07/2026
ZenitGimnasia L.P.
11
D
14/05/2026
River PlateGimnasia L.P.
20
L
11/05/2026
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia L.P.
01
W
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
5W1D4L
18/08/2026
Gimnasia M.Talleres Cordoba
31
W09/08/2026
Instituto CordobaGimnasia M.
10
L01/08/2026
Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe
20
W29/07/2026
San LorenzoGimnasia M.
10
L24/07/2026
Gimnasia M.Central Cordoba de Santiago
10
W
04/05/2026
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia
21
W
26/04/2026
Independ. RivadaviaGimnasia M.
51
L
21/04/2026
Gimnasia M.Lanus
10
W
15/04/2026
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia Y Tiro
3040
L
12/04/2026
PlatenseGimnasia M.
11
D

Referee Profile

Leandro Rey Hilfer211 matches

5.08Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Leandro Rey Hilfer5.08
Other referees5.15

5.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto142399:19-109LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto149:199

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About the Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gimnasia L.P. and Gimnasia M. have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.