Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina · Clausura - 5

Derby

Estudiantes L.P.

4-0

Finished

HT 1-0

Gimnasia L.P.

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata·Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina 15/08/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

4-0

Finished

Gimnasia L.P.

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

5.9 / 10

Value Analysis

52%Trust

BTTS

Both Teams to Score

2.15

SignalNEUTRALModel38%SurpriseHighGap+8.6%

Estudiantes L.P. Rest

3 days

Gimnasia L.P. Rest

5 days

Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.: the result in context

Estudiantes L.P. beat Gimnasia L.P. 4-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 15 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Gimnasia L.P. had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Estudiantes L.P..

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result

41%2.05

30%2.95

29%4.05

Double Chance

71%1.22

59%1.73

Both Teams to Score

Yes

52%2.15

48%1.64

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.98 = 2.21

Over 1.5

67%1.52

Over 2.5

44%2.60

Over 3.5

20%5.05

Under 1.5

33%2.49

Under 2.5

56%1.45

Under 3.5

80%1.14

Corners

Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.9 = 9.2

Over 8.5

53%1.70

Over 9.5

45%2.10

Over 10.5

32%2.68

Under 8.5

47%2.05

Under 9.5

55%1.67

Under 10.5

68%1.38

Cards

Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.5 = 5.2

Over 3.5

70%-

Over 4.5

57%1.37

Under 3.5

30%-

Under 4.5

43%2.70

Match Events

23'Ignacio MiramónFoul

28'Tiago PalaciosFoul

31'Gastón BenedettiFoul

34'Card upgradeAlexis Steimbach

35'Alexis SteimbachFoul

43'E. MancusoAssist: J. Burgos

45+1'Augusto MaxFoul

50'Germán ContiHandball

53'Germán ContiFoul

54'I. Miramon INJ. Cortazzo out

60'T. PalaciosAssist: A. Gaich

61'G. Benedetti INE. Meza out

61'B. Rodriguez INJ. Correa out

61'A. Gaich ING. Carrillo out

70'T. Palacios INJ. Sosa out

70'J. BurgosAssist: J. Correa

76'L. Piovi INE. Cetre out

77'N. Fernandez INM. Melluso out

77'A. Auzmendi INM. Panaro out

84'A. CastroAssist: E. Meza

85'Manuel PanaroArgument

Lineups

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander Medina

Gimnasia L.P.

4-2-3-1Coach: Mariano Messera

Avg rating7.37

Avg rating6.33

7.916F. Muslera

8.240E. Mancuso

7.34S. Nunez

7.924T. Palacios

7.213G. Benedetti

7.221L. Piovi

9.922A. Castro

6.331B. Rodriguez

7.210T. Palacios

8.317J. Burgos

6.919A. Gaich

6.923N. Insfran

5.631B. Barros Schelotto

5.613G. Conti

5.921E. Martinez

6.524P. Silva Torrejon

6.25I. Miramon

6.216A. Max

5.925A. Steimbach

C7.08N. Fernandez

6.218M. Seoane

7.329A. Auzmendi

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

1F. Iacovich

26R. Funes Mori

20E. Meza61'for G. Benedetti6.9

35V. Pierani

7J. Sosa70'for T. Palacios7.3

8Gabriel Neves

32J. Correa61'for B. Rodriguez6.9

18E. Cetre76'for L. Piovi6.3

28B. Aguirre

9G. Carrillo61'for A. Gaich6.2

27L. Alario

29Perez Fabricio

Gimnasia L.P. Substitutes

15H. Castillo

22M. Melluso77'for N. Fernandez6.3

35J. Cortazzo54'for I. Miramon6.3

42S. Villarreal

36L. Lamella

10N. Schelotto

33P. Aguiar

9M. Zalazar

7M. Panaro77'for A. Auzmendi85'6.7

26F. Torres

17L. Janson

19A. Colazo

Match Stats

Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia L.P.

77%Ball Possession23%

7Corner Kicks2

2Yellow Cards5

0Red Cards2

22Total Shots8

8Shots on Goal3

7Shots off Goal2

13Shots Inside Box6

9Shots Outside Box2

7Blocked Shots3

14Fouls15

4Offsides0

3Goalkeeper Saves4

578Total Passes175

511Passes Accurate108

88%Pass Accuracy62%

Estudiantes L.P.

Gimnasia L.P.

1691Elo Rating 1733

0.98Attack 1.64

2.21Defense 2.13

14%Hit Rate 50%

13.6Shots per Game 16.3

4.1Shots on Target 5.5

4.8Corners per Game 4.6

2.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

🔥Derby Match

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Estudiantes L.P.

Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Gimnasia L.P.

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Estudiantes L.P.3Wins · 30%

Draws660%

Gimnasia L.P.

1Wins · 10%

2.5Avg Goals

60%Both teams scored6 of 10

30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

15/02/2026

Gimnasia L.P.

Estudiantes L.P.

08/12/2025

Gimnasia L.P.

Estudiantes L.P.

19/10/2025

Estudiantes L.P.

Gimnasia L.P.

13/04/2025

Gimnasia L.P.

Estudiantes L.P.

28/07/2024

Estudiantes L.P.

Gimnasia L.P.

19/03/2023

Gimnasia L.P.

Estudiantes L.P.

05/06/2022

Estudiantes L.P.

Gimnasia L.P.

20/03/2022

Gimnasia L.P.

Estudiantes L.P.

05/12/2021

Gimnasia L.P.

Estudiantes L.P.

18/04/2021

Estudiantes L.P.

Gimnasia L.P.

Clásico platenseFull head-to-head record

Recent Form

31/05/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Rosario Central

27/05/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Independiente Medellin

21/05/2026

Flamengo

Estudiantes L.P.

10/05/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Racing Club

07/05/2026

Cusco

Estudiantes L.P.

07/07/2026

Dinamo Makhachkala

Gimnasia L.P.

05/07/2026

Zenit

Gimnasia L.P.

14/05/2026

River Plate

Gimnasia L.P.

11/05/2026

Velez Sarsfield

Gimnasia L.P.

03/05/2026

Gimnasia L.P.

Argentinos JRS

26/04/2026

Belgrano Cordoba

Gimnasia L.P.

Referee Profile

Yael Falcon Perez232 matches

5.46Cards per match

5.22Yellow cards per match

0.23Red cards per match

26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yael Falcon Perez5.46

Other referees5.09

5.46 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 178 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	WWLWW
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	WDWWD
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	DWLLW
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	WWLWD
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	WDWLL
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	LWDLW
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	DDWDL
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	LLWLD
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	LWWLW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	LLLWW
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	WDWLL
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	LDDLL
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	WLLLW
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	WDWWL
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	LLLDL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	19:7	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	22:9	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	18:12	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	17:13	26
5	Independiente	16	24:20	24
6	Lanus	16	18:15	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	14:14	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	24:20	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	17:17	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	18:21	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	14:22	19
12	Platense	16	10:15	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	11:21	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15:27	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	5:12	11

Apertura - Group B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	+14	34	DWWWW
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	+10	29	LWWWW
3	Argentinos JRS	16	8	5	3	17:13	+4	29	WLWWW
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	+4	28	WLWLW
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	DWLLD
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19:19	0	26	WWLLL
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	+4	22	DWWDD
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	+2	21	DLLWW
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	0	21	DWLDW
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	+3	20	DDLLD
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	-7	19	LLWWL
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	-2	18	DLLWL
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	-5	14	LDLWL
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	-13	8	DLDLL
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	-19	5	LLDLL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	29:15	34
2	River Plate	16	22:12	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	17:13	29
4	Rosario Central	16	20:16	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	17:13	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	19:19	26
7	Huracan	16	17:13	22
8	Racing Club	16	17:15	21
9	Barracas Central	16	15:15	21
10	Tigre	16	18:15	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	13:20	19
12	Banfield	16	17:19	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	15:20	14
14	Aldosivi	16	6:19	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	5:24	5

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Instituto Cordoba	14	10	2	2	21:10	+11	32	LWWLW
2	Velez Sarsfield	14	7	6	1	23:13	+10	27	DWLLW
3	Boca Juniors	14	7	6	1	22:14	+8	27	WDWWD
4	Defensa Y Justicia	14	8	3	3	20:13	+7	27	LLLWW
5	Lanus	14	7	3	4	17:10	+7	24	LWDLW
6	Newells Old Boys	14	5	6	3	13:10	+3	21	WDWWL
7	Gimnasia M.	14	6	2	6	16:15	+1	20	WDWLL
8	Independiente	14	5	4	5	12:14	-2	19	WDWLL
9	San Lorenzo	14	5	3	6	7:12	-5	18	DDWDL
10	Union Santa Fe	14	5	2	7	21:23	-2	17	LLWLD
11	Estudiantes L.P.	14	4	2	8	17:18	-1	14	WWLWW
12	Platense	14	3	5	6	14:20	-6	14	LDDLL
13	Deportivo Riestra	14	2	6	6	10:14	-4	12	LLLDL
14	Central Cordoba de Santiago	14	2	4	8	11:23	-12	10	WLLLW
15	Talleres Cordoba	14	2	3	9	13:22	-9	9	WWLWD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	14	21:10	32
2	Velez Sarsfield	14	23:13	27
3	Boca Juniors	14	22:14	27
4	Defensa Y Justicia	14	20:13	27
5	Lanus	14	17:10	24
6	Newells Old Boys	14	13:10	21
7	Gimnasia M.	14	16:15	20
8	Independiente	14	12:14	19
9	San Lorenzo	14	7:12	18
10	Union Santa Fe	14	21:23	17
11	Estudiantes L.P.	14	17:18	14
12	Platense	14	14:20	14
13	Deportivo Riestra	14	10:14	12
14	Central Cordoba de Santiago	14	11:23	10
15	Talleres Cordoba	14	13:22	9

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Rosario Central	14	8	4	2	22:11	+11	28	WLWLW
2	Argentinos JRS	14	8	4	2	18:11	+7	28	WLWWW
3	Gimnasia L.P.	14	7	4	3	21:18	+3	25	WWLLL
4	River Plate	14	7	2	5	19:13	+6	23	LWWWW
5	Belgrano Cordoba	14	6	4	4	14:11	+3	22	DWLLD
6	Barracas Central	14	6	4	4	13:11	+2	22	DWLDW
7	Sarmiento Junin	14	6	3	5	22:21	+1	21	LLWWL
8	Huracan	14	5	4	5	12:14	-2	19	DWWDD
9	Independ. Rivadavia	14	5	4	5	17:22	-5	19	DWWWW
10	Atletico Tucuman	14	4	5	5	13:13	0	17	LDLWL
11	Banfield	14	3	5	6	15:20	-5	14	DLLWL
12	Tigre	14	3	4	7	13:16	-3	13	DDLLD
13	Racing Club	14	3	3	8	14:21	-7	12	DLLWW
14	Aldosivi	14	3	2	9	15:22	-7	11	DLDLL
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	14	2	3	9	9:19	-10	9	LLDLL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Rosario Central	14	22:11	28
2	Argentinos JRS	14	18:11	28
3	Gimnasia L.P.	14	21:18	25
4	River Plate	14	19:13	23
5	Belgrano Cordoba	14	14:11	22
6	Barracas Central	14	13:11	22
7	Sarmiento Junin	14	22:21	21
8	Huracan	14	12:14	19
9	Independ. Rivadavia	14	17:22	19
10	Atletico Tucuman	14	13:13	17
11	Banfield	14	15:20	14
12	Tigre	14	13:16	13
13	Racing Club	14	14:21	12
14	Aldosivi	14	15:22	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	14	9:19	9

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About the Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P. forecast

As a derby, this Liga Profesional Argentina meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction

AI Best Pick

Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.: the result in context

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

Gimnasia L.P. Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Previous meetings

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Compared with other referees

League Table

Apertura - Group A

Apertura - Group B

Clausura - Group A

Clausura - Group B

Explore more predictions

This match

More Liga Profesional Argentina matches

All predictions

About the Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P. forecast

How to Read These Forecasts

About Liga Profesional Argentina

Key Factors for This Match