Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar Prediction

06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
Independiente Petrolero Rest
5 days
Bolívar Rest
4 days

Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar: result, form and history

Bolívar beat Independiente Petrolero 4-0 in the Primera División on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Bolívar have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Bolívar tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.0 for Independiente Petrolero.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%4.75
X
21%4.20
2
62%1.53
Double Chance
1X
37%2.27
X2
83%1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.48
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.83 = 2.92
Over 1.5
77%1.09
Over 2.5
55%1.41
Over 3.5
34%2.11
Under 1.5
23%5.40
Under 2.5
45%2.58
Under 3.5
66%1.66
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'G. MendozaFoul
24'Billy ArceAssist: Carlos Melgar
39'Rodrigo ZamoraFoul
43'dorny romeroAssist: Jhon velasquez
45'C. Urdininea INJefferson Carioca out
58'Gustavo Cristaldo INSaul Torres Rojas out
58'Gilbert Alvarez INAlan Mercado out
61'WillieDissent
63'Alan MercadoPersistent infringement
70'Saul Torres RojasSerious foul
73'Willie INDiego Navarro out
75'Billy ArceAssist: Dairon Asprilla
78'Jhon velasquez INCarlos Sejas out
78'Billy Arce INJohn García out
82'Dairon Asprilla INMartín Cauteruccio out
82'dorny romero INDamian Batallini out
82'Leonel Justiniano INBruno Miranda out
86'Bruno MirandaAssist: Damian Batallini

Lineups

Independiente Petrolero
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Grass
Bolívar
4-4-2Coach: A. Restrepo
Avg rating5.75
Avg rating7.33
J. Gutiérrez5.51J. Gutiérrez
R. Zamora4.977R. Zamora
W. Soleto5.728W. Soleto
L. Crescencio5.43L. Crescencio
G. Mendoza5.434G. Mendoza
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana6.114C. Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
D. Rojas6.36D. Rojas
R. Cardozo6.07R. Cardozo
Willie6.493Willie
G. Cristaldo5.819G. Cristaldo
G. Álvarez6.291G. Álvarez
C. Lampe7.11C. Lampe
E. Rivero6.735E. Rivero
S. Echeverría7.85S. Echeverría
X. Arreaga7.53X. Arreaga
Jesús Sagredo7.44J. Sagredo
D. Romero8.277D. Romero
L. Justiniano6.523L. Justiniano
C. Melgar7.780C. Melgar
J. Velásquez7.77J. Velásquez
D. Asprilla7.027D. Asprilla
B. Arce9.110B. Arce

Independiente Petrolero Substitutes

12Jhunior Vera
2S. Torres58'for Gustavo Cristaldo70'5.2
4L. Rodríguez
50Roni Santos
15J. Bejarano
99Ferreirinha45'for C. Urdininea5.9
39P. Grass
20A. Mercado58'for Gilbert Alvarez63'5.9
27D. Navarro73'for Willie5.6
5Luis Braihan Palma Escobar
22R. Rocabado
16Santiago Chavez Suarez

Bolívar Substitutes

12J. Morales
19J. García78'for Billy Arce6.8
18L. Chávez
9M. Cauteruccio82'for Dairon Asprilla6.5
99D. Batallini82'for dorny romero7.0
33F. Mena
11B. Miranda82'for Leonel Justiniano86'7.5
8L. Paz
2Jesús Sagredo7.4
20C. Sejas78'for Jhon velasquez6.9
6E. Vaca
16L. Zabala

Match Stats

Independiente PetroleroBolívar
37%Ball Possession63%
0Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards0
2Red Cards0
5Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal11
2Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots4
14Fouls10
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
266Total Passes448
198Passes Accurate390
74%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
BolívarBolívar
1478Elo Rating 1704
1.97Attack 1.27
1.99Defense 1.90
42%Hit Rate 63%
12.5Shots per Game 19.1
4.2Shots on Target 5.5
3.0Corners per Game 6.3
2.4Cards per Game 4.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
BolívarBolívar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
BolívarBolívar6Wins · 60%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División22/04/2026
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
12
Primera División07/12/2025
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
12
Copa de la División Profesional25/10/2025
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
03
Copa de la División Profesional04/10/2025
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
23
Primera División08/07/2025
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
40
Primera División26/09/2024
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
30
Primera División12/05/2024
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
01
Primera División11/11/2023
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
51
Primera División14/05/2023
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
21
Primera División02/10/2022
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
00

Recent Form

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
5W1D4L
BolívarBolívar
7W1D2L
02/09/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
01
W
30/08/2026
BolívarThe Strongest
42
W
28/08/2026
BolívarABB
41
W
23/08/2026
Real OruroBolívar
24
W
19/08/2026
Sao PauloBolívar
31
L
15/08/2026
BolívarSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
41
W
12/08/2026
BolívarSao Paulo
11
D
09/08/2026
AuroraBolívar
24
W
06/08/2026
BolívarOriente Petrolero
21
W
02/08/2026
Always ReadyBolívar
10
L

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar24183360:24+3657WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready23156255:16+3951WLWWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest24146446:28+1848WLWLW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí24109531:17+1439DLWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero24115841:30+1138DWDWW
6AuroraAurora24811535:31+435DWLDL
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí24951036:32+432DWLDL
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero24861032:40-830DWDLL
9GuabiráGuabirá24861035:49-1430LLDLW
10BloomingBlooming23610731:25+628LDLDW
11Real OruroReal Oruro24841238:57-1928DLWWL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo24831327:45-1827WWLDW
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto23631430:45-1521LWLDW
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ24481229:44-1520LWLWL
15ABBABB24621635:54-1920LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo23551316:40-2420LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2460:2457
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2355:1651
3The StrongestThe Strongest2446:2848
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2431:1739
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2441:3038
6AuroraAurora2435:3135
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2436:3232
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2432:4030
9GuabiráGuabirá2435:4930
10BloomingBlooming2331:2528
11Real OruroReal Oruro2438:5728
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2427:4527
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2330:4521
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2429:4420
15ABBABB2435:5420
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2316:4020

About the Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Independiente Petrolero and Bolívar in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Bolívar are 1st and Independiente Petrolero 8th, 27 points apart. League goal record so far: Independiente Petrolero 32-40, Bolívar 60-24. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.