Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora Prediction

05/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseHighGap+1.4%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalGOODModel33%SurpriseHighGap+8.1%
Independiente Petrolero Rest
3 days
Aurora Rest
4 days

Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora: result, form and history

Independiente Petrolero and Aurora drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 4 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Aurora tend to win more corners, 9.8 a game to 3.8 for Independiente Petrolero.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.63
X
28%3.45
2
31%2.35
Double Chance
1X
69%1.49
X2
59%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.44
No
43%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.32 = 2.89
Over 1.5
78%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.52
Over 3.5
36%2.34
Under 1.5
22%4.65
Under 2.5
41%2.28
Under 3.5
64%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'WillieAssist: G. Cristaldo
31'L. CrescencioFoul
45'R. ZamoraFoul
46'I. Vidaurre INH. Vaca out
46'Gean INJeferson Carioca out
46'R. Cardozo ING. Alvarez out
55'G. AlvarezSerious foul
68'G. Cristaldo INL. Rodriguez out
72'D. Navarro INL. Palma out
72'J. GutierrezDelay of game
77'L. BarroFoul
79'M. OrtizAssist: L. Barboza
85'D. Rojas INJ. Bejarano out
87'E. Sanchez INI. Huayhuata out
87'A. Terrazas INH. Mojica out
90+4'M. Rangel INS. Rojas out
90+5'H. VacaFoul

Team Comparison

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
AuroraAurora
1464Elo Rating 1487
1.24Attack 0.86
2.19Defense 1.16
44%Hit Rate 17%
12.8Shots per Game 20.7
2.9Shots on Target 5.4
3.8Corners per Game 9.8
1.9Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
AuroraAurora
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
AuroraAurora5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División04/11/2025
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
23
Primera División27/05/2025
Independiente PetroleroAurora
24
Primera División31/10/2024
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
20
Primera División21/07/2024
Independiente PetroleroAurora
21
Primera División19/04/2024
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
4253
Primera División16/04/2024
Independiente PetroleroAurora
01
Primera División05/08/2023
Independiente PetroleroAurora
11
Primera División05/03/2023
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
20
Primera División11/10/2022
Independiente PetroleroAurora
11
Primera División30/07/2022
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
10

Recent Form

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
2W2D6L
01/08/2026
Real OruroIndependiente Petrolero
03
W
26/07/2026
Independiente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
12
L
22/07/2026
Independiente PetroleroReal Potosí
12
L
16/07/2026
ABBIndependiente Petrolero
31
L
28/05/2026
Racing ClubIndependiente Petrolero
20
L
21/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
03
L
14/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroBlooming
31
W
10/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroAlways Ready
00
D
06/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroCaracas FC
23
L
01/05/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloIndependiente Petrolero
22
D
AuroraAurora
5W4D1L
31/07/2026
The StrongestAurora
11
D
25/07/2026
AuroraABB
32
W
19/07/2026
AuroraOriente Petrolero
22
D
10/07/2026
Nacional PotosíAurora
20
L
02/06/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
12
W
16/05/2026
Real TomayapoAurora
02
W
13/05/2026
AuroraReal Oruro
11
D
02/05/2026
AuroraGuabirá
42
W
28/04/2026
AuroraSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
31
W
22/04/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJAurora
11
D

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar23173358:23+3554WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready23156255:16+3951WLWWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest23136442:26+1645LWLWW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí24109531:17+1439DLWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero23114840:29+1137WDWWL
6AuroraAurora23810534:30+434WLDLW
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí23941035:31+431WLDLW
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero24861032:40-830DWDLL
9GuabiráGuabirá2386934:47-1330LDLWL
10BloomingBlooming23610731:25+628LDLDW
11Real OruroReal Oruro23831237:56-1927LWWLL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo23731324:43-1924WLDWL
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto23631430:45-1521LWLDW
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ23481127:40-1320WLWLL
15ABBABB23621533:51-1820LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo23551316:40-2420LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2358:2354
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2355:1651
3The StrongestThe Strongest2342:2645
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2431:1739
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2340:2937
6AuroraAurora2334:3034
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2335:3131
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2432:4030
9GuabiráGuabirá2334:4730
10BloomingBlooming2331:2528
11Real OruroReal Oruro2337:5627
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2324:4324
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2330:4521
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2327:4020
15ABBABB2333:5120
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2316:4020

About the Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Independiente Petrolero and Aurora in the Primera División table

Aurora and Independiente Petrolero are close in the Primera División table, 6th and 8th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Independiente Petrolero 32-40, Aurora 34-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.