Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest Prediction

J. Aleman 06/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Nacional Potosí Rest
2 days
The Strongest Rest
5 days

Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest: the result in context

The Strongest beat Nacional Potosí 3-2 in the Primera División on 5 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Nacional Potosí tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.8 for The Strongest.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.27
X
27%3.48
2
31%2.62
Double Chance
1X
69%1.40
X2
58%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.44
No
39%2.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.49 = 3.17
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
63%1.51
Over 3.5
37%2.27
Under 1.5
17%4.90
Under 2.5
37%2.33
Under 3.5
63%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'T. TobarAssist: O. Baldomar
23'A. TorricoAssist: M. Nunez
27'W. SaucedoFoul
45+2'J. ArrascaitaAssist: J. Cuellar
50'A. Estacio
61'W. Saucedo INC. Ventura out
61'J. Cuellar INSaavedra out
63'A. Torrico INJ. Orellana out
71'P. AzogueFoul
79'J. OrellanaFoul
82'J. Arrascaita ING. Sotomayor out
82'C. Abastoflor INL. Pavia out
82'M. Nunez INM. Tomianovic out
82'T. Tobar INW. Alvarez out
83'D. LomAssist: G. Sotomayor
90+1'R. Castro INV. Cuellar out
90+1'A. Estacio INK. Romay out
90+5'S. PenaFoul

Team Comparison

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
The StrongestThe Strongest
1555Elo Rating 1576
2.02Attack 1.03
1.50Defense 1.59
41%Hit Rate 19%
22.4Shots per Game 15.4
7.5Shots on Target 5.1
6.9Corners per Game 4.8
2.2Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.17 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
The StrongestThe Strongest
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
The StrongestThe Strongest5Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa de la División Profesional18/12/2025
Nacional PotosíThe Strongest
10
Copa de la División Profesional17/12/2025
The StrongestNacional Potosí
12
Primera División09/08/2025
Nacional PotosíThe Strongest
02
Primera División06/04/2025
The StrongestNacional Potosí
20
Primera División26/09/2024
Nacional PotosíThe Strongest
11
Primera División12/05/2024
The StrongestNacional Potosí
21
Primera División07/12/2023
The StrongestNacional Potosí
10
Primera División24/06/2023
Nacional PotosíThe Strongest
63
Primera División17/09/2022
The StrongestNacional Potosí
11
Primera División10/07/2022
Nacional PotosíThe Strongest
15

Recent Form

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
3W2D5L
03/08/2026
Oriente PetroleroNacional Potosí
10
L
27/07/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Tomayapo
41
W
21/07/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Oruro
14
L
10/07/2026
Nacional PotosíAurora
20
W
18/05/2026
GuabiráNacional Potosí
21
L
14/05/2026
BolívarNacional Potosí
11
D
02/05/2026
Always ReadyNacional Potosí
31
L
25/04/2026
Nacional PotosíGualberto Villarroel SJ
11
D
23/04/2026
BloomingNacional Potosí
21
L
11/04/2026
Nacional PotosíUniversitario de Vinto
10
W
The StrongestThe Strongest
5W5D0L
31/07/2026
The StrongestAurora
11
D
26/07/2026
BloomingThe Strongest
11
D
19/07/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJThe Strongest
00
D
16/07/2026
The StrongestOriente Petrolero
21
W
14/05/2026
Always ReadyThe Strongest
01
W
10/05/2026
The StrongestReal Potosí
00
D
03/05/2026
The StrongestABB
31
W
26/04/2026
Real OruroThe Strongest
23
W
24/04/2026
Real TomayapoThe Strongest
00
D
12/04/2026
The StrongestSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
32
W

Referee Profile

J. Aleman92 matches

5.49Cards per match
5.08Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Aleman5.49
Other referees5.93

5.49 cards a match, 0.44 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.93).

Cards come from 37 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar24183360:24+3657WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready24166258:17+4154WWLWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest24146446:28+1848WLWLW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí24109531:17+1439DLWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero24115841:30+1138DWDWW
6AuroraAurora24811535:31+435DWLDL
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí24951036:32+432DWLDL
8BloomingBlooming24710733:26+731WLDLD
9Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero24861032:40-830DWDLL
10GuabiráGuabirá24861035:49-1430LLDLW
11Real OruroReal Oruro24841238:57-1928DLWWL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo24831327:45-1827WWLDW
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto24631531:48-1721LLWLD
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ24481229:44-1520LWLWL
15ABBABB24621635:54-1920LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo24551417:42-2520LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2460:2457
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2458:1754
3The StrongestThe Strongest2446:2848
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2431:1739
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2441:3038
6AuroraAurora2435:3135
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2436:3232
8BloomingBlooming2433:2631
9Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2432:4030
10GuabiráGuabirá2435:4930
11Real OruroReal Oruro2438:5728
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2427:4527
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2431:4821
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2429:4420
15ABBABB2435:5420
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2417:4220

About the Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nacional Potosí and The Strongest in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, The Strongest are 3rd and Nacional Potosí 7th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Nacional Potosí 36-32, The Strongest 46-28. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.