İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction

Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadium, Istanbul·Resat Onur Coskunses 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
İstanbulspor Rest
20 days
Esenler Erokspor Rest
20 days

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor: result, form and history

Esenler Erokspor beat İstanbulspor 1-0 in the 1. Lig on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

İstanbulspor have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game. Esenler Erokspor tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.7 for İstanbulspor.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.48
X
27%3.50
2
46%1.91
Double Chance
1X
54%1.76
X2
73%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.62
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.7 = 2.98
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
56%1.72
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
21%4.00
Under 2.5
44%2.00
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 4.8 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.66
Over 9.5
40%2.00
Over 10.5
25%2.50
Under 8.5
47%2.13
Under 9.5
60%1.74
Under 10.5
75%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.2 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

20'Guélor KangaAssist: Mikail Okyar
58'Yusuf OzerFoul
59'Ömer Faruk Duymaz INAlieu Cham out
59'Ilian Iliev INMamadou Fall out
61'Pape Habib Gueye INYusuf Erdoğan out
61'Guélor Kanga INTugay Kaçar out
69'Elvin MendyFoul
70'Nicolas Janvier INRecep Niyaz out
70'Burak Coban INKubilay Kanatsızkuş out
77'Berk Ali Nizam INAytaç Kara out
77'Yusuf Ozer INPhellipe Cardoso Araújo out
77'Duran Şahin INKubilay Sönmez out
87'Mikail Okyar INFerhat Yazgan out

Lineups

İstanbulspor
5-4-1Coach: Olcay Demir
Esenler Erokspor
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Karaman
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating7.20
A. Tutar6.928A. Tutar
B. Nızam6.411B. Nızam
M. Ologo7.05M. Ologo
D. Sahin6.84D. Sahin
E. Uzunhan6.889E. Uzunhan
Y. Özer6.03Y. Özer
I. Iliev6.110I. Iliev
D. Aydın6.621D. Aydın
E. Mendy6.515E. Mendy
Ö. Duymaz6.252Ã. Duymaz
M. Sol5.99M. Sol
E. Canpolat6.422E. Canpolat
F. Orak7.570F. Orak
B. Öztürk7.721B. Öztürk
Luccas Claro7.74L. Claro
E. Alić7.533E. Alić
G. Kanga8.28G. Kanga
M. Okyar8.15M. Okyar
B. Çoban7.017B. Çoban
N. Janvier7.27N. Janvier
M. Faye6.711M. Faye
P. Guèye6.599P. Guèye

İstanbulspor Substitutes

18Turan Tuncer
12K. Sönmez77'for Duran Şahin6.3
1I. Dogan
30Alieu Cham59'for Ömer Faruk Duymaz6.5
7Phellipe77'for Yusuf Ozer6.2
81A. Akman
27M. Fall59'for Ilian Iliev6.7
34A. Kara77'for Berk Ali Nizam6.3
61E. Sarıalioğlu
44E. Seçgin

Esenler Erokspor Substitutes

77H. Bilazer
20M. Buljubašić
53Y. Erdoğan61'for Pape Habib Gueye6.9
9K. Kanatsızkuş70'for Burak Coban6.8
6T. Kaçar61'for Guélor Kanga6.9
39E. Kaş
10R. Niyaz70'for Nicolas Janvier7.3
27F. Yazgan87'for Mikail Okyar6.9
88A. Zeqiri
34E. Çetin

Match Stats

İstanbulsporEsenler Erokspor
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards0
7Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal4
3Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots4
9Fouls11
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
450Total Passes572
378Passes Accurate496
9Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
1536Elo Rating 1658
0.87Attack 2.35
0.39Defense 1.22
27%Hit Rate 61%
11.9Shots per Game 16.6
3.1Shots on Target 5.0
4.7Corners per Game 7.0
2.3Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

İstanbulsporİstanbulspor3Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor2Wins · 40%
4.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
100%3+ goals5 of 5

Previous meetings

1. Lig17/02/2026
İstanbulsporEsenler Erokspor
14
1. Lig24/09/2025
Esenler Eroksporİstanbulspor
50
1. Lig04/05/2025
Esenler Eroksporİstanbulspor
03
1. Lig05/01/2025
İstanbulsporEsenler Erokspor
40
Türkiye Kupası18/12/2024
Esenler Eroksporİstanbulspor
12

Recent Form

İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
3W2D5L
20/09/2026
Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
01
W
14/09/2026
Kayserisporİstanbulspor
40
L
07/09/2026
İstanbulsporIğdır FK
12
L
03/09/2026
Bursasporİstanbulspor
40
L
29/08/2026
İstanbulsporFatih Karagümrük
11
D
23/08/2026
Vanspor FKİstanbulspor
32
L
15/08/2026
İstanbulsporBodrum FK
22
D
08/08/2026
Bandırmasporİstanbulspor
30
L
01/05/2026
İstanbulsporAdana Demirspor
81
W
25/04/2026
Vanspor FKİstanbulspor
13
W
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
0W6D4L
19/09/2026
Esenler EroksporFatih Karagümrük
02
L
13/09/2026
BursasporEsenler Erokspor
22
D
07/09/2026
Esenler EroksporKayserispor
03
L
03/09/2026
Bodrum FKEsenler Erokspor
00
D
30/08/2026
Esenler EroksporIğdır FK
01
L
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
08/08/2026
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
00
D
24/05/2026
Esenler EroksporÇorum FK
02
L
02/05/2026
Esenler EroksporPendikspor
11
D

Referee Profile

Resat Onur Coskunses81 matches

4.67Cards per match
4.37Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Resat Onur Coskunses4.67
Other referees4.67

4.67 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 49 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor13101229:11+1831WWWWL
2KayserisporKayserispor1393132:9+2330WDDWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1383218:10+827DWWDW
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691373318:12+624WWLWW
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1372426:23+323LWDWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1355325:18+720LLWDW
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1361619:20-119DLWLW
8Bodrum FKBodrum FK1346316:12+418DWWWL
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1346318:20-218LWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1344516:16016LWLLD
11SarıyerSarıyer1344514:18-416LLDLD
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1336415:18-315WLWDW
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1335517:13+414LLLDW
14ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1235414:11+314WWLDW
15PendiksporPendikspor1335515:23-814WDLLL
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1334621:23-213WLLDL
17SivassporSivasspor1327416:20-413LLDDW
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1343614:22-813WWLWL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor13121010:33-235LLLLL
20BolusporBoluspor1211105:26-214LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1329:1131
2KayserisporKayserispor1332:930
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1318:1027
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691318:1224
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1326:2323
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1325:1820
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1319:2019
8Bodrum FKBodrum FK1316:1218
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1318:2018
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1316:1616
11SarıyerSarıyer1314:1816
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1315:1815
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1317:1314
14ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1214:1114
15PendiksporPendikspor1315:2314
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1321:2313
17SivassporSivasspor1316:2013
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1314:2213
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor1310:335
20BolusporBoluspor125:264
PromotionRelegation

About the İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

İstanbulspor and Esenler Erokspor in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Esenler Erokspor are 12th and İstanbulspor 19th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: İstanbulspor 10-33, Esenler Erokspor 15-18. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.