Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer Prediction

Ümraniyespor
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sarıyer
Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi, Istanbul·Erdem Mertoglu 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Ümraniyespor Rest
21 days
Sarıyer Rest
20 days

Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer: result, form and history

Ümraniyespor and Sarıyer drew 1-1 in the 1. Lig on 9 Oct 2026. Sarıyer had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Ümraniyespor.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.45
X
29%3.13
2
34%2.67
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
63%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.63 = 2.99
Over 1.5
74%1.33
Over 2.5
50%2.06
Over 3.5
29%3.75
Under 1.5
26%3.00
Under 2.5
50%1.69
Under 3.5
71%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.92
Over 9.5
42%2.49
Over 10.5
29%3.49
Under 8.5
47%1.76
Under 9.5
58%1.44
Under 10.5
71%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
52%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
48%-

Match Events

17'Tomislav GlumacFoul
23'Oguz Yildirim
45'Berat Yılmaz INAtalay Babacan out
45'Işık Kaan Arslan INErdi Dikmen out
61'Furkan Gedik INEren Karadağ out
61'Barış Alıcı INDogan Can Davas out
61'Batuhan Kor INMamadou Thiam out
61'Yunus Emre Gedik INAli Yaşar out
73'Efecan Karaca
78'Tunahan Ergul INJoseph Attamah out
78'Alejandro Blanco INKerem Sen out
78'Serkan Göksu INBengali-Fodé Koita out
79'Erdi DikmenFoul

Lineups

Ümraniyespor
4-3-3Coach: T. Albayrak
Sarıyer
4-1-4-1Coach: B. Bölükbaşı
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.76
C. Topaloğlu6.435C. Topaloğlu
O. Yıldırım7.870O. Yıldırım
M. Kartal6.958M. Kartal
T. Glumac6.444T. Glumac
E. Gedik7.388E. Gedik
S. Göksu6.08S. Göksu
A. Đokanović6.210A. Đokanović
Berat Yılmaz7.217B. Yılmaz
Álex Blanco6.511Á. Blanco
C. Soukou6.827C. Soukou
S. Hostikka6.77S. Hostikka
I. Šehić7.613I. Šehić
C. Karayel6.577C. Karayel
K. Arslan6.724K. Arslan
C. Osmanpaşa6.988C. Osmanpaşa
E. Korkmazoğlu6.95E. Korkmazoğlu
Marcos Silva7.28M. Silva
B. Alici6.27B. Alici
F. Gedik6.441F. Gedik
T. Ergül7.014T. Ergül
E. Karaca8.210E. Karaca
B. Kör6.39B. Kör

Ümraniyespor Substitutes

28O. Aydoğan
20A. Babacan45'for Berat Yılmaz6.3
9M. Bostan
55F. Koita78'for Serkan Göksu6.6
12Toheeb Kosoko
13Ö. Köklü
77T. Taşçı
66A. Yaşar61'for Yunus Emre Gedik6.9
53B. Öksüz
16K. Şen78'for Alejandro Blanco6.3

Sarıyer Substitutes

19Yagiz Sen
11E. Karadağ61'for Furkan Gedik7.1
93M. Thiam61'for Batuhan Kor7.0
90E. Eze
23Ü. Ergün
4E. Dikmen45'for Işık Kaan Arslan79'6.3
17D. Davas61'for Barış Alıcı5.8
53A. Biyogo Poko
3J. Attamah78'for Tunahan Ergul6.4
1F. Akyüz

Match Stats

ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
7Fouls5
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves6
482Total Passes596
413Passes Accurate519
5Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
SarıyerSarıyer
1603Elo Rating 1597
2.04Attack 0.87
2.52Defense 1.15
66%Hit Rate 14%
10.3Shots per Game 13.6
4.4Shots on Target 3.3
4.0Corners per Game 4.0
1.6Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SarıyerSarıyer
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
SarıyerSarıyer1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

1. Lig06/03/2026
SarıyerÜmraniyespor
12
1. Lig17/10/2025
ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
13

Recent Form

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
1W3D6L
18/09/2026
BandırmasporÜmraniyespor
01
W
12/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporAntalyaspor
12
L
05/09/2026
PendiksporÜmraniyespor
10
L
01/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporMuğlaspor
01
L
28/08/2026
KeçiörengücüÜmraniyespor
22
D
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
15/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükÜmraniyespor
21
L
08/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporMardin 1969
00
D
17/07/2026
ÜmraniyesporGalatasaray
15
L
02/05/2026
ÜmraniyesporKeçiörengücü
14
L
SarıyerSarıyer
6W2D2L
19/09/2026
SarıyerBoluspor
21
W
11/09/2026
SarıyerBandırmaspor
11
D
05/09/2026
KeçiörengücüSarıyer
30
L
01/09/2026
SarıyerPendikspor
20
W
28/08/2026
AntalyasporSarıyer
12
W
23/08/2026
SarıyerBatman Petrolspor
12
L
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
09/08/2026
SarıyerMuğlaspor
20
W
02/05/2026
Bodrum FKSarıyer
01
W
26/04/2026
SarıyerEsenler Erokspor
10
W

Referee Profile

Erdem Mertoglu100 matches

4.43Cards per match
4.23Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erdem Mertoglu4.43
Other referees4.71

4.43 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ümraniyespor and Sarıyer in the 1. Lig table

Sarıyer and Ümraniyespor are close in the 1. Lig table, 11th and 13th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Ümraniyespor 13-10, Sarıyer 14-17. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ümraniyespor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ümraniyespor and Sarıyer have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.