Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction

Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, Kalamata·S. Zampalas 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.94
SignalNEUTRALModel37%SurpriseHighGap+7.3%
Kalamata Rest
3 days
Aris Thessalonikis Rest
5 days

Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis: the result in context

Aris Thessalonikis beat Kalamata 3-2 in the Super League 1 on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Aris Thessalonikis tend to win more corners, 5.1 a game to 1.4 for Kalamata.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%3.30
X
29%3.00
2
30%2.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.57
X2
59%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.94
No
45%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.12 = 2.40
Over 1.5
68%1.42
Over 2.5
44%2.33
Over 3.5
22%4.34
Under 1.5
32%2.75
Under 2.5
56%1.58
Under 3.5
78%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'J. BolivarAssist: A. Mendes Moreira
44'P. KaloutsikidisUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'RodriguesUnsportsmanlike conduct
45'U. Racic(Penalty)
45+2'FabianoFoul
60'K. VargasAssist: J. Cataldi
66'S. Palacios INM. Alfarela out
66'G. Gianniotas INO. Boussaid out
68'K. Vargas INJ. Bonetto out
68'J. Alonso INU. Ignjatovic out
68'P. Kaloutsikidis INI. Chatzitheodoridis out
75'J. Cataldi INA. Liatsikouras out
79'I. ChatzitheodoridisFoul
81'T. Dele-Bashiru INL. Moron out
82'Rodrigues INA. Guessand out
83'J. PetrisFoul
84'U. RacicUnsportsmanlike conduct
85'J. BolivarUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'FabianoAssist: B. Garre
90+3'FabianoAssist: O. Boussaid
90+5'R. Mir INK. Galanopoulos out

Team Comparison

KalamataKalamata
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
1657Elo Rating 1651
1.82Attack 1.84
0.96Defense 1.71
63%Hit Rate 59%
11.1Shots per Game 16.7
5.2Shots on Target 4.5
1.4Corners per Game 5.1
3.0Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

KalamataKalamata
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

KalamataKalamata
8W1D1L
19/08/2026
KalamataPanetolikos
42
W
10/08/2026
Volos NFCKalamata
02
W
28/03/2026
KalamataIraklis 1908
10
W
21/03/2026
MarkoKalamata
00
D
15/03/2026
KalamataOlympiakos Piraeus II
10
W
07/03/2026
PanioniosKalamata
01
W
01/03/2026
KalamataMarko
20
W
21/02/2026
Olympiakos Piraeus IIKalamata
03
W
15/02/2026
KalamataPanionios
02
L
25/01/2026
Ellas SyrosKalamata
12
W
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
7W1D2L
17/08/2026
Anagennisi KarditsasAris Thessalonikis
02
W
12/08/2026
NapoliAris Thessalonikis
62
L
30/07/2026
MonzaAris Thessalonikis
13
W
17/05/2026
Aris ThessalonikisLevadiakos
30
W
13/05/2026
Volos NFCAris Thessalonikis
12
W
10/05/2026
Aris ThessalonikisOFI
31
W
03/05/2026
OFIAris Thessalonikis
02
W
18/04/2026
Aris ThessalonikisVolos NFC
32
W
05/04/2026
LevadiakosAris Thessalonikis
11
D
22/03/2026
Aris ThessalonikisOFI
02
L

Referee Profile

S. Zampalas13 matches

5.17Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
33.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Zampalas5.17
Other referees5.36

5.17 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.36).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos980120:4+1624WWWLW
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus971115:4+1122WWWWW
3PAOKPAOK960318:12+618WLWLW
4AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC852121:5+1617LWWWD
5Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis951313:17-416LWWWD
6OFIOFI951314:12+216WWLLD
7KifisiaKifisia932412:14-211LWLWW
8KalamataKalamata831413:17-410LWWLW
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190882339:11-29LLWDD
10PanetolikosPanetolikos93068:17-99LLLLL
11LevadiakosLevadiakos91353:11-86WDDLL
12Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis91358:17-96LDLWD
13AtromitosAtromitos70256:12-62LLLDD
14Volos NFCVolos NFC80356:13-70LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos920:424
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus915:422
3PAOKPAOK918:1218
4AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC821:517
5Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis913:1716
6OFIOFI914:1216
7KifisiaKifisia912:1411
8KalamataKalamata813:1710
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190889:119
10PanetolikosPanetolikos98:179
11LevadiakosLevadiakos93:116
12Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis98:176
13AtromitosAtromitos76:122
14Volos NFCVolos NFC86:130
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis forecast

The forecasts for this Super League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kalamata and Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1 table

In the Super League 1 table, Aris Thessalonikis are 5th and Kalamata 8th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Kalamata 13-17, Aris Thessalonikis 13-17. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aris Thessalonikis have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Kalamata and Aris Thessalonikis have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.