Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor Prediction

Keçiörengücü
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Sivasspor
Aktepe Stadium, Ankara·Mehmet Turkmen, Türkiye 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Keçiörengücü Rest
7 days
Sivasspor Rest
6 days

Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor: result, form and history

Keçiörengücü and Sivasspor drew 1-1 in the 1. Lig on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Mehmet Turkmen averages 3.81 cards a game, 1.03 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.83
X
26%3.74
2
19%3.60
Double Chance
1X
81%1.23
X2
45%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.57
No
50%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 0.88 = 2.60
Over 1.5
75%1.18
Over 2.5
53%1.61
Over 3.5
30%2.52
Under 1.5
25%4.40
Under 2.5
47%2.18
Under 3.5
70%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.58
Over 9.5
54%1.97
Over 10.5
46%2.52
Under 8.5
35%2.23
Under 9.5
46%1.75
Under 10.5
54%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%-
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
45%-
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

30'AmiltonFoul
46'H. Ayan INA. Edumondo out
48'F. EzehAssist: A. Edumondo
53'Y. KefkirFoul
58'V. Ethemi INB. Kapacak out
58'C. Celik INS. Kavrazli out
61'O. Roshi INE. Yilmaz out
66'Amilton INE. Gokay out
73'E. GokayAssist: B. Kapacak
75'E. CeesayFoul
77'I. AkdagFoul
77'O. KorkmazUnsportsmanlike conduct
78'O. KorkmazUnsportsmanlike conduct
79'F. Ezeh INM. Fofana out
87'I. Karaogul INH. Nabian out
89'Wellington NascimentoFoul
90+7'E. Ceesay INC. Yilmaz out
90+7'O. Aksoy INC. Charisis out

Lineups

Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1Coach: Osman Korkmaz
Sivasspor
4-1-4-1Coach: Ismet Tasdemir
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.76
Mehmet Erdoğan7.31M. Erdoğan
Yunus Bahadır7.32Y. Bahadır
Wellington Nascimento6.73W. Nascimento
Abdullah Çelik7.24A. Çelik
Süleyman Luş6.933S. Luş
Ishak Karaoğul7.28I. Karaoğul
İbrahim AkdağC6.914İ. Akdağ
Odise Roshi6.77O. Roshi
Halil Can Ayan6.522H. Can Ayan
Francis Ezeh7.921F. Ezeh
Mame Biram Diouf6.555M. Biram Diouf
Arda Erdursun6.316A. Erdursun
Murat Paluli6.57M. Paluli
Aaron AppindangoyéC7.22A. Appindangoyé
Okan Erdoğan7.222O. Erdoğan
Yusuf Kefkir6.977Y. Kefkir
Mert Çelik6.94M. Çelik
Amilton6.389Amilton
Oguzhan Aksoy6.766O. Aksoy
Cihat Çelik6.623C. Çelik
Valon Ethemi6.327V. Ethemi
Ebrima Ceesay6.330E. Ceesay

Keçiörengücü Substitutes

20Alcídio Raice6.2
19Enes Yilmaz61'for O. Roshi6.3
18Emre Satılmış
15Yunus Emre Metin
5Oğuzcan Çalışkan
16Oğuzhan Ayaydın
6Erkam Develi
10Jefferson
77Moryke Fofana79'for F. Ezeh6.3
45Herculano Nabian87'for I. Karaogul6.7

Sivasspor Substitutes

11Burak Kapacak58'for V. Ethemi7.3
28Salih Kavrazlı58'for C. Celik6.5
19Emre Gökay66'for Amilton73'7.6
1Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş
34Turan Tuzlacik
90Mehmet Albayrak
26Mehmet Feyzi Yıldırım
43Eymen Yurdcu
8Charis Charisis90+7'for O. Aksoy
99Yilmaz Cin90+7'for E. Ceesay

Match Stats

KeçiörengücüSivasspor
55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots10
9Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box10
9Shots Outside Box0
1Blocked Shots1
15Fouls9
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves8
425Total Passes350
373Passes Accurate292
88%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
SivassporSivasspor
1675Elo Rating 1599
1.67Attack 1.23
1.08Defense 1.19
34%Hit Rate 17%
12.0Shots per Game 9.7
3.6Shots on Target 3.2
2.8Corners per Game 2.3
3.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SivassporSivasspor
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
SivassporSivasspor2Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

1. Lig07/03/2026
SivassporKeçiörengücü
01
1. Lig19/10/2025
KeçiörengücüSivasspor
00
Türkiye Kupası18/12/2024
KeçiörengücüSivasspor
14
Türkiye Kupası18/01/2024
SivassporKeçiörengücü
32

Recent Form

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
5W3D2L
12/09/2026
Vanspor FKKeçiörengücü
11
D
05/09/2026
KeçiörengücüSarıyer
30
W
01/09/2026
BolusporKeçiörengücü
02
W
28/08/2026
KeçiörengücüÜmraniyespor
22
D
23/08/2026
BandırmasporKeçiörengücü
11
D
16/08/2026
KeçiörengücüPendikspor
41
W
08/08/2026
AntalyasporKeçiörengücü
43
L
07/05/2026
Çorum FKKeçiörengücü
10
L
02/05/2026
ÜmraniyesporKeçiörengücü
14
W
26/04/2026
KeçiörengücüManisa F.K.
21
W
SivassporSivasspor
2W4D4L
13/09/2026
SivassporMuğlaspor
11
D
06/09/2026
AntalyasporSivasspor
12
W
02/09/2026
SivassporMardin 1969
22
D
29/08/2026
Batman PetrolsporSivasspor
21
L
24/08/2026
SivassporManisa F.K.
22
D
16/08/2026
KayserisporSivasspor
20
L
08/08/2026
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
00
D
02/05/2026
BandırmasporSivasspor
10
L
26/04/2026
SivassporIğdır FK
21
W
19/04/2026
Çorum FKSivasspor
31
L

Referee Profile

Mehmet Turkmen109 matches

3.81Cards per match
3.61Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mehmet Turkmen3.81
Other referees4.84

3.81 cards a match, 1.03 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.84).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor13101229:11+1831WWWWL
2KayserisporKayserispor1393132:9+2330WDDWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1383218:10+827DWWDW
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691373318:12+624WWLWW
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1372426:23+323LWDWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1355325:18+720LLWDW
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1361619:20-119DLWLW
8Bodrum FKBodrum FK1346316:12+418DWWWL
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1346318:20-218LWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1344516:16016LWLLD
11SarıyerSarıyer1344514:18-416LLDLD
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1336415:18-315WLWDW
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1335517:13+414LLLDW
14ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1235414:11+314WWLDW
15PendiksporPendikspor1335515:23-814WDLLL
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1334621:23-213WLLDL
17SivassporSivasspor1327416:20-413LLDDW
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1343614:22-813WWLWL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor13121010:33-235LLLLL
20BolusporBoluspor1211105:26-214LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1329:1131
2KayserisporKayserispor1332:930
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1318:1027
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691318:1224
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1326:2323
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1325:1820
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1319:2019
8Bodrum FKBodrum FK1316:1218
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1318:2018
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1316:1616
11SarıyerSarıyer1314:1816
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1315:1815
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1317:1314
14ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1214:1114
15PendiksporPendikspor1315:2314
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1321:2313
17SivassporSivasspor1316:2013
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1314:2213
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor1310:335
20BolusporBoluspor125:264
PromotionRelegation

About the Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Keçiörengücü and Sivasspor in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Keçiörengücü are 6th and Sivasspor 17th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Keçiörengücü 25-18, Sivasspor 16-20. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Keçiörengücü have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.