Le Havre vs Monaco Prediction

Le Havre
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Monaco
Stade Oceane, Le Havre·Jeremie Pignard, France 23/08/2026
Le HavreLe Havre
0-1
Finished
MonacoMonaco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+14.4%
Le Havre Rest
7 days
Monaco Rest
2 days

Le Havre vs Monaco: the result in context

Monaco beat Le Havre 1-0 in the Ligue 1 on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.73
X
26%3.75
2
50%1.92
Double Chance
1X
50%1.85
X2
76%1.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.63
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.65 = 2.81
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.74
Over 3.5
33%2.76
Under 1.5
23%4.15
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
67%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.4 + 4.7 = 8.1
Over 8.5
36%1.56
Over 9.5
19%1.94
Over 10.5
7%2.47
Under 8.5
64%2.31
Under 9.5
81%1.80
Under 10.5
93%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.4 = 5
Over 3.5
72%1.54
Over 4.5
55%2.18
Under 3.5
28%2.38
Under 4.5
45%1.64

Match Events

14'E. DierAssist: Nazinho
20'Amir RichardsonFoul
26'Goal cancelledAmir Richardson
35'Fodé DoucouréFoul
40'Y. Zouaoui INE. K. Vinette out
44'Vincent SassoFoul
57'M. Coulibaly INA. Soubeir out
57'P. Brunner INM. Biereth out
64'Aleksandr GolovinArgument
66'VandersonFoul
70'F. Doucoure INE. Jelert out
70'T. Pembele INS. Nakamura out
70'A. Samatta INJ. Maja out
80'Nazinho INI. Toure out
81'S. Idumbo INO. Konate out
88'S. Ebonog INK. Mizuta out
89'Vanderson INT. Kehrer out

Lineups

Le Havre
3-4-2-1Coach: Didier Digard
Monaco
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis Filipe
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating7.18
L. Mpasi-Nzau8.277L. Mpasi-Nzau
T. Pembele6.732T. Pembele
A. Seko6.915A. Seko
V. Sasso6.323V. Sasso
F. Doucoure6.213F. Doucoure
S. Ebonog6.926S. Ebonog
J. Mwanga6.96J. Mwanga
Y. Zouaoui6.518Y. Zouaoui
R. NdiayeC7.014R. Ndiaye
A. Richardson6.27A. Richardson
A. Samatta6.525A. Samatta
L. Hradecky8.01L. Hradecky
Vanderson7.92Vanderson
S. Sane7.272S. Sane
E. Dier8.715E. Dier
Nazinho8.020Nazinho
L. Camara7.78L. Camara
D. ZakariaC7.26D. Zakaria
M. Coulibaly6.528M. Coulibaly
A. Golovin7.210A. Golovin
S. Idumbo6.617S. Idumbo
P. Brunner6.229P. Brunner

Le Havre Substitutes

99M. Diaw
12E. Jelert70'for F. Doucoure6.3
44I. Bouneb
78D. N. Mosengo
30S. Nakamura70'for T. Pembele6.2
9J. Maja70'for A. Samatta6.3
17K. Mizuta88'for S. Ebonog
27E. K. Vinette40'for Y. Zouaoui7.2
33D. Ouziad

Monaco Substitutes

16P. Kohn
5T. Kehrer89'for Vanderson
19P. Cabral
46A. Soubeir57'for M. Coulibaly6.7
49I. Toure80'for Nazinho6.6
47S. Benzahra
14M. Biereth57'for P. Brunner6.9
7M. Detourbet
42O. Konate81'for S. Idumbo6.3

Match Stats

Le HavreMonaco
50%Ball Possession50%
7Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots5
13Fouls12
3Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves3
411Total Passes434
330Passes Accurate351
80%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Le HavreLe Havre
MonacoMonaco
1581Elo Rating 1883
1.43Attack 1.57
0.00Defense 2.09
0%Hit Rate 39%
17.1Shots per Game 15.0
5.4Shots on Target 5.4
5.2Corners per Game 4.5
1.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Le HavreLe Havre
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MonacoMonaco
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Le HavreLe Havre0Wins · 0%
Draws467%
MonacoMonaco2Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 124/01/2026
Le HavreMonaco
00
Ligue 116/08/2025
MonacoLe Havre
31
Ligue 126/04/2025
Le HavreMonaco
11
Ligue 122/09/2024
MonacoLe Havre
31
Ligue 104/02/2024
MonacoLe Havre
11
Ligue 111/11/2023
Le HavreMonaco
00

Recent Form

Le HavreLe Havre
3W4D3L
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
W
04/08/2026
IpswichLe Havre
10
L
31/07/2026
Le HavreLaval
11
D
25/07/2026
Le HavreRED Star FC 93
21
W
17/07/2026
Le HavreAmiens
12
L
17/05/2026
LorientLe Havre
02
W
10/05/2026
Le HavreMarseille
01
L
03/05/2026
LilleLe Havre
11
D
26/04/2026
Le HavreMetz
44
D
18/04/2026
AngersLe Havre
11
D
MonacoMonaco
5W1D4L
20/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
23
W
14/08/2026
CoventryMonaco
20
L
09/08/2026
LiverpoolMonaco
23
W
06/08/2026
MonacoGetafe
10
W
31/07/2026
MonacoCercle Brugge
22
D
25/07/2026
Sporting CPMonaco
20
L
18/07/2026
MonacoSaint-Priest
52
W
17/05/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
54
L
10/05/2026
MonacoLille
01
L
02/05/2026
MetzMonaco
12
W

Referee Profile

Jeremie Pignard161 matches

4.44Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeremie Pignard4.43
Other referees3.93

4.43 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.93).

Cards come from 152 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
3LilleLille843111:6+515DDWLW
4MonacoMonaco843111:7+415DLDWD
5LyonLyon842213:7+614LWLWD
6Paris FCParis FC842213:9+414LWLWD
7NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
8LensLens841316:12+413WWWLD
9MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
10LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12AuxerreAuxerre831412:18-610DWLWW
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
14AngersAngers82249:15-68DLLWD
15Le MansLe Mans814311:16-57DLLWD
16StrasbourgStrasbourg821512:18-67LLLLD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes81255:16-115DLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2RennesRennes920:1916
3LilleLille811:615
4MonacoMonaco811:715
5LyonLyon813:714
6Paris FCParis FC813:914
7NiceNice913:1214
8LensLens816:1213
9MarseilleMarseille818:1312
10LorientLorient87:612
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12AuxerreAuxerre812:1810
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
14AngersAngers89:158
15Le MansLe Mans811:167
16StrasbourgStrasbourg812:187
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes85:165
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Le Havre vs Monaco forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Le Havre and Monaco in the Ligue 1 table

The table shows a wide gap: Monaco are 4th in the Ligue 1, while Le Havre sit 18th, 13 points behind. League goal record so far: Le Havre 9-20, Monaco 11-7. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monaco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.