Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. Prediction

La Arboleda 27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Libertad Asuncion Rest
4 days
Independiente F.b.c. Rest
4 days

Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.: result, form and history

Libertad Asuncion beat Independiente F.b.c. 3-1 in the Copa Paraguay on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.45
X
26%3.90
2
18%6.20
Double Chance
1X
82%1.08
X2
44%2.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'R. Villalba
38'M. Fernandez
45+2'M. Fernandez
46'R. Villalba INH. Fernandez out
60'D. Aguada INB. Diaz out
60'N. Rojas INR. Roman out
60'D. Diarra ING. Oviedo out
61'
63'J. Bogarin ING. Aguilar out
63'I. Ramirez INL. Melgarejo out
70'T. Fernandez
71'C. Burgos
74'E. Sarquis INA. Montiel out
77'M. Fernandez INE. Vera out
77'D. Dietze INR. Marecos out
83'A. Manzur INF. Carrizo out
90+2'G. Aguilar
90+4'

Team Comparison

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.
1570Elo Rating 1465
1.65Attack 1.81
2.06Defense 0.64
64%Hit Rate 31%
14.0Shots per Game -
4.6Shots on Target -
3.4Corners per Game -
2.3Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Recent Form

Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
5W2D3L
24/10/2026
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
10
W
19/10/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseLibertad Asuncion
10
L
12/10/2026
Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
22
D
05/10/2026
Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
12
W
29/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionOlimpia
01
L
23/09/2026
Fernando De La MoraLibertad Asuncion
2131
W
19/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
D
11/09/2026
2 de MayoLibertad Asuncion
02
W
06/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionRubio NU
42
W
02/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
30
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
4 de Mayo3
Fulgencio Yegros2
Independiente F.b.c.1
Sportivo Ameliano0
29 de Setiembre12
Club Sp. San Lorenzo14
On penalties
Sportivo Iteno2
Club Guarani1
1 de Marzo Pilar2
Atlético Tembetary3
Benjamín Aceval0
Nacional Asuncion2
Deportivo Obrero0
Fernando De La Mora3
Paraguari AC0
Sportivo Luqueno2
Humaitá1
2 de Mayo4
Tacuary03
Libertad Asuncion04
On penalties
General Caballero22
Rubio NU24
On penalties
SOL DE America2
Sportivo Trinidense1
Cristóbal Colón JAS3
Olimpia5
Guairena FC3
12 de Octubre2
Resistencia0
Cerro Porteno1
2 de Mayo0
SOL DE America4
Club Sp. San Lorenzo2
4 de Mayo1
Fernando De La Mora12
Libertad Asuncion13
On penalties
Atlético Tembetary2
Sportivo Iteno0
Deportivo Recoleta3
Guairena FC1
Independiente F.b.c.24
Nacional Asuncion23
On penalties
Cerro Porteno2
Rubio NU1
Olimpia12
Sportivo Luqueno14
On penalties
Atlético Tembetary2
SOL DE America3
Sportivo Luqueno0
Deportivo Recoleta2
Atlético Tembetary2
SOL DE America3
Sportivo Luqueno0
Deportivo Recoleta2

About the Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa Paraguay, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Paraguay

More Copa Paraguay fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Paraguay Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Libertad Asuncion and Independiente F.b.c. have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.