Liechtenstein vs Lithuania Prediction

Liechtenstein
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Lithuania
Ante Culina 24/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseHighGap+1.2%
Liechtenstein Rest
109 days
Lithuania Rest
107 days

Liechtenstein vs Lithuania: the result in context

Lithuania beat Liechtenstein 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 24 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Lithuania tend to win more corners, 4.2 a game to 0.5 for Liechtenstein.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
4%13.00
X
17%4.75
2
79%1.30
Double Chance
1X
21%3.40
X2
96%1.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%3.34
No
69%1.29
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.45 + 2.1 = 2.55
Over 1.5
69%1.43
Over 2.5
44%2.35
Over 3.5
26%4.40
Under 1.5
31%2.67
Under 2.5
56%1.59
Under 3.5
74%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 1.5 + 6.5 = 8
Over 8.5
56%1.92
Over 9.5
47%2.52
Over 10.5
36%3.23
Under 8.5
44%1.83
Under 9.5
53%1.46
Under 10.5
64%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 1.4 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
37%2.00
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
63%1.72

Match Events

16'Justas LasickasFoul
40'F. SaglamFoul
45'Modestas Vorobjovas INMotiejus Burba out
53'Lukas MichelbrinkAssist: A. Kučys
61'F. Saglam INAlessandro Lo Russo out
61'Eligijus Jankauskas INArtur Dolžnikov out
61'Pijus Sirvys INAdrian Lickūnas out
66'Artur DolžnikovAssist: Gvidas Gineitis
73'A. Kučys INManfredas Ruzgis out
73'Fabio Luque Notaro INkenny kindle out
73'Aron Sele INS. Schlegel out
84'Justas Lasickas INzygimantas baltrunas out
88'Marcel Büchel INAndrin·Netzer out
88'Emanuel Zünd INBruno Poitner out

Lineups

Liechtenstein
5-3-2Coach: K. Fünfstück
Lithuania
4-3-3Coach: E. Jankauskas
Avg rating6.25
Avg rating7.17
B. Büchel6.91B. Büchel
N. Hasler6.518N. Hasler
J. Weissenhofer6.05J. Weissenhofer
L. Traber6.64L. Traber
M. Goppel6.53M. Goppel
E. Zünd6.219E. Zünd
A. Sele6.78A. Sele
M. Buchel5.710M. Buchel
A. Hasler6.220A. Hasler
Fabio Luque Notaro6.17F. Luque Notaro
99F. Saglam
D. Bartkus6.823D. Bartkus
P. Širvys7.317P. Širvys
K. Kažukolovas7.65K. Kažukolovas
E. Utkus8.03E. Utkus
A. Tutyškinas7.62A. Tutyškinas
G. Gineitis7.715G. Gineitis
M. Vorobjovas7.26M. Vorobjovas
Lukas Michelbrink8.216L. Michelbrink
E. Jankauskas6.311E. Jankauskas
A. Kučys7.010A. Kučys
J. Lasickas6.213J. Lasickas

Liechtenstein Substitutes

2N. Beck
12G. Foser
23J. Hofer
13Kenny Kindle73'for Fabio Luque Notaro6.3
17L. Kranz
21L. Lo Russo61'replaced by F. Saglam
14L. Meier
15A. Netzer88'for Marcel Büchel6.3
6S. Schlegel73'for Aron Sele6.4
16Bruno Poitner88'replaced by Emanuel Zünd
11Alessandro Lo Russo61'replaced by F. Saglam
22Florian Allgäuer

Lithuania Substitutes

9M. Ruzgis73'for A. Kučys6.4
20D. Malžinskas
14V. Slivka
1E. Gertmonas
7A. Dolžnikov61'for Eligijus Jankauskas66'8.0
19I. Venckus
12T. Švedkauskas
22M. Burba45'for Modestas Vorobjovas6.8
18V. Armalas
8D. Šluta
21A. Lickūnas61'for Pijus Sirvys6.7
4Ž. Baltrūnas84'for Justas Lasickas7.0

Match Stats

LiechtensteinLithuania
27%Ball Possession73%
0Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards1
4Total Shots16
0Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal4
1Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots5
15Fouls14
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves0
291Total Passes760
213Passes Accurate676
14Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
LithuaniaLithuania
1085Elo Rating 1421
0.00Attack 0.76
0.45Defense 2.19
0%Hit Rate 19%
3.3Shots per Game 12.5
0.5Shots on Target 4.1
0.5Corners per Game 4.2
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LithuaniaLithuania
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
0W0D10L
07/06/2026
LiechtensteinCyprus
02
L
04/06/2026
AndorraLiechtenstein
20
L
18/11/2025
BelgiumLiechtenstein
70
L
15/11/2025
LiechtensteinWales
01
L
10/10/2025
KazakhstanLiechtenstein
40
L
07/09/2025
FYR MacedoniaLiechtenstein
50
L
04/09/2025
LiechtensteinBelgium
06
L
06/06/2025
WalesLiechtenstein
30
L
25/03/2025
LiechtensteinKazakhstan
02
L
22/03/2025
LiechtensteinFYR Macedonia
03
L
LithuaniaLithuania
1W3D6L
09/06/2026
EstoniaLithuania
10
L
06/06/2026
LithuaniaLatvia
5141
W
17/11/2025
NetherlandsLithuania
40
L
12/10/2025
LithuaniaPoland
02
L
09/10/2025
FinlandLithuania
21
L
07/09/2025
LithuaniaNetherlands
23
L
04/09/2025
LithuaniaMalta
11
D
07/06/2025
MaltaLithuania
00
D
24/03/2025
LithuaniaFinland
22
D
21/03/2025
PolandLithuania
10
L

Referee Profile

Ante Culina127 matches

4.70Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ante Culina4.70
Other referees4.40

4.70 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.40).

Cards come from 81 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AzerbaijanAzerbaijan31202:1+15WDD
2LithuaniaLithuania31113:2+14LDW
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein20110:2-21DL
#TeamMPGPts
1AzerbaijanAzerbaijan32:15
2LithuaniaLithuania33:24
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein20:21
Promotion

About the Liechtenstein vs Lithuania forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Nations League

More UEFA Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Liechtenstein and Lithuania have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.