Llantwit Major vs Newport City Prediction

FAW ChampionshipWales Wales · South - 13
Llantwit Major
2-3
Finished
HT 1-3
Newport City
31/10/2026
Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major
2-3
Finished
Newport CityNewport City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.0%
Llantwit Major Rest
7 days
Newport City Rest
7 days

Llantwit Major vs Newport City: the result in context

Newport City beat Llantwit Major 3-2 in the FAW Championship on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.94
X
26%3.56
2
42%2.05
Double Chance
1X
58%1.62
X2
67%1.33
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'S. Johnson
10'S. Johnson
13'T. Tweedy
42'S. Johnson
60'K. Marsh-Brown
65'T. M. Stokes

Team Comparison

Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major
Newport CityNewport City
1389Elo Rating 1428
1.41Attack 2.78
1.09Defense 0.25
41%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Newport CityNewport City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1Wins · 20%
Draws240%
Newport CityNewport City2Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

FAW Championship20/02/2026
Newport CityLlantwit Major
21
FAW Championship08/11/2025
Llantwit MajorNewport City
22
FAW Championship28/03/2025
Newport CityLlantwit Major
21
FAW Championship12/10/2024
Llantwit MajorNewport City
11
League Cup20/07/2024
Llantwit MajorNewport City
20

Recent Form

Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major
3W2D5L
23/10/2026
Caerau (Ely)Llantwit Major
02
W
17/10/2026
TrefelinLlantwit Major
41
L
10/10/2026
Llantwit MajorPontardawe Town
11
D
06/10/2026
Pontypridd TownLlantwit Major
41
L
02/10/2026
Carmarthen TownLlantwit Major
12
W
26/09/2026
Llantwit Majorllanelli AFC
20
W
12/09/2026
Treowen StarsLlantwit Major
11
D
22/08/2026
Aberystwyth TownLlantwit Major
51
L
15/08/2026
Llantwit MajorBaglan Dragons
01
L
07/08/2026
Afan LidoLlantwit Major
50
L
Newport CityNewport City
3W3D4L
23/10/2026
Newport CityPontypridd Town
44
D
17/10/2026
Carmarthen TownNewport City
45
W
09/10/2026
Caerphilly AthleticNewport City
32
L
03/10/2026
Cardiff DraconiansNewport City
11
D
25/09/2026
Afan LidoNewport City
00
D
28/08/2026
Newport CityYnyshir Albions
01
L
21/08/2026
Newport CityBaglan Dragons
01
L
15/08/2026
Pontardawe TownNewport City
04
W
08/08/2026
Newport CityCarmarthen Town
12
L
31/07/2026
llanelli AFCNewport City
14
W

League Table

FAW Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1273232:21+1124WDDWL
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1071224:10+1422WLWDW
3Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1271423:20+322WLWWW
4Swansea UniversitySwansea University1063132:15+1721LDWDW
5Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1054119:11+819WWWDD
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1252512:13-117LDWLL
7Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1244424:21+316LWWLD
8Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1151520:21-116WLLLD
9Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1243524:26-215LLDLW
10Afan LidoAfan Lido1343621:24-315LWDLD
11Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1242615:21-614LWWLL
12Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1041517:18-113WDWWL
13Newport CityNewport City1033419:15+412WDLDD
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1033414:17-312WLDDL
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1132612:24-1211LWDLW
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC1302119:40-312LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1232:2124
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1024:1022
3Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1223:2022
4Swansea UniversitySwansea University1032:1521
5Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1019:1119
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1212:1317
7Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1224:2116
8Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1120:2116
9Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1224:2615
10Afan LidoAfan Lido1321:2415
11Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1215:2114
12Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1017:1813
13Newport CityNewport City1019:1512
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1014:1712
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1112:2411
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC139:402

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About the Llantwit Major vs Newport City forecast

The forecasts for this FAW Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Llantwit Major and Newport City in the FAW Championship table

Newport City and Llantwit Major are close in the FAW Championship table, 13th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Llantwit Major 12-24, Newport City 19-15. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.