Lorient vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Lorient
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Estac Troyes
Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, Lorient·Azzedine Souifi, France 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+13.8%
Lorient Rest
7 days
Estac Troyes Rest
7 days

Lorient vs Estac Troyes: the result in context

Estac Troyes beat Lorient 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.86
X
29%3.55
2
26%4.30
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
55%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.86
No
58%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.89 = 2.49
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
43%2.06
Over 3.5
17%3.58
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
57%1.78
Under 3.5
83%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4 = 8.1
Over 8.5
36%1.73
Over 9.5
23%2.19
Over 10.5
7%2.85
Under 8.5
64%2.01
Under 9.5
77%1.60
Under 10.5
93%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
56%1.55
Over 4.5
30%2.10
Under 3.5
44%2.32
Under 4.5
70%1.67

Match Events

29'R. Ripart(Penalty)
38'L. MaronnierAssist: A. Mille
51'J. Makengo
66'G. Bernardeau INI. Jensen out
66'M. Kone INA. Tosin out
67'H. Picard INK. Diawara out
73'J. Makengo INP. Katseris out
73'T. Le Bris INS. Faye out
78'A. Mille IND. Karim out
84'N. Cadiou INN. Mbamba out
85'I. Gomis INA. Phliponeau out
85'R. Ripart INY. Kone out
86'L. Maronnier INN. Donkor out

Lineups

Lorient
3-4-2-1Coach: Alexandre Dujeux
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Dumont
Avg rating6.45
Avg rating6.67
Y. Mvogo5.738Y. Mvogo
D. Sylla6.620D. Sylla
M. Talbi6.73M. Talbi
N. Adjei6.732N. Adjei
T. Le Bris6.211T. Le Bris
A. Avom6.962A. Avom
N. Cadiou6.58N. Cadiou
K. Kouassi6.643K. Kouassi
G. Bernardeau5.933G. Bernardeau
J. Makengo7.817J. Makengo
P. Beach6.133P. Beach
L. Maronnier7.42L. Maronnier
A. Monfray7.16A. Monfray
M. Diaz7.04M. Diaz
A. Ouzenadji6.23A. Ouzenadji
A. Mille7.117A. Mille
M. Diop6.28M. Diop
M. Ifnaoui6.710M. Ifnaoui
H. Picard6.422H. Picard
I. Gomis6.311I. Gomis
R. Ripart7.320R. Ripart

Lorient Substitutes

95S. Touré
15A. Tosin66'replaced by M. Kone6.4
55N. Obaretin
72N. Mbamba84'for N. Cadiou6.0
77P. Katseris73'for J. Makengo6.1
21B. Kamara
10I. Jensen66'for G. Bernardeau6.3
2A. Georgen
19S. Faye73'for T. Le Bris6.5

Estac Troyes Substitutes

7K. Diawara67'for H. Picard6.9
5P. Gozzi
29D. Karim78'for A. Mille6.3
40H. Konaté
26A. Phliponeau85'for I. Gomis6.4
36I. Soukouna

Match Stats

LorientEstac Troyes
67%Ball Possession33%
2Corner Kicks5
15Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots4
9Fouls11
0Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves4
677Total Passes318
595Passes Accurate237
88%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

LorientLorient
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1772Elo Rating 1634
0.87Attack 0.23
2.39Defense 1.31
42%Hit Rate 0%
8.9Shots per Game 12.1
2.7Shots on Target 2.4
4.2Corners per Game 5.6
1.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+138 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LorientLorient
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

LorientLorient3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes1Wins · 17%
2.2Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 214/02/2025
Estac TroyesLorient
01
Ligue 206/12/2024
LorientEstac Troyes
20
Ligue 112/03/2023
LorientEstac Troyes
20
Ligue 123/10/2022
Estac TroyesLorient
22
Ligue 121/05/2022
LorientEstac Troyes
11
Ligue 101/12/2021
Estac TroyesLorient
20

Recent Form

LorientLorient
5W2D3L
22/08/2026
NiceLorient
00
D
15/08/2026
SV ElversbergLorient
41
L
08/08/2026
AngersLorient
21
L
04/08/2026
LorientUNFP
51
W
25/07/2026
GuingampLorient
02
W
18/07/2026
LorientNantes
10
W
11/07/2026
ConcarneauLorient
12
W
17/05/2026
LorientLe Havre
02
L
10/05/2026
MetzLorient
04
W
02/05/2026
Paris Saint GermainLorient
22
D
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5W4D1L
22/08/2026
Estac TroyesParis FC
00
D
14/08/2026
Estac TroyesPanetolikos
11
D
08/08/2026
AuxerreEstac Troyes
11
D
31/07/2026
Estac TroyesChasselay MDA
52
W
25/07/2026
GrenobleEstac Troyes
00
D
18/07/2026
Estac TroyesRED Star FC 93
10
W
11/07/2026
NancyEstac Troyes
13
W
09/05/2026
GrenobleEstac Troyes
10
L
02/05/2026
Estac TroyesLaval
40
W
25/04/2026
Saint EtienneEstac Troyes
03
W

Referee Profile

Azzedine Souifi125 matches

4.06Cards per match
3.89Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Azzedine Souifi4.06
Other referees3.94

4.06 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 66 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille953112:6+618WDDWL
3RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
4MonacoMonaco843111:7+415DLDWD
5LyonLyon842213:7+614LWLWD
6Paris FCParis FC842213:9+414LWLWD
7NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
8LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
9MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
10LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12AuxerreAuxerre831412:18-610DWLWW
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
14AngersAngers82249:15-68DLLWD
15Le MansLe Mans814311:16-57DLLWD
16StrasbourgStrasbourg821512:18-67LLLLD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes81255:16-115DLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2LilleLille912:618
3RennesRennes920:1916
4MonacoMonaco811:715
5LyonLyon813:714
6Paris FCParis FC813:914
7NiceNice913:1214
8LensLens916:1313
9MarseilleMarseille818:1312
10LorientLorient87:612
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12AuxerreAuxerre812:1810
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
14AngersAngers89:158
15Le MansLe Mans811:167
16StrasbourgStrasbourg812:187
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes85:165
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Lorient vs Estac Troyes forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lorient and Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Lorient are 10th and Estac Troyes 17th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Lorient 7-6, Estac Troyes 5-16. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.