Lugano vs Estrella Del Sur Prediction

Lugano
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Estrella Del Sur
20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-8.4%
Lugano Rest
8 days
Estrella Del Sur Rest
8 days

Lugano vs Estrella Del Sur: result, form and history

Lugano and Estrella Del Sur drew 1-1 in the Primera C on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.15
X
31%2.71
2
26%3.51
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
57%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%2.33
No
59%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.88 = 2.14
Over 1.5
60%1.59
Over 2.5
35%2.75
Over 3.5
16%5.45
Under 1.5
40%2.17
Under 2.5
65%1.35
Under 3.5
84%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'L. Torres
65'M. Gelpi(Penalty)
81'

Team Comparison

LuganoLugano
Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur
1441Elo Rating 1497
0.47Attack 1.17
1.67Defense 2.44
0%Hit Rate 61%

Game State Tendencies

LuganoLugano
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

League Table

Primera C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BerazateguiBerazategui321312740:24+1651WLWDW
2SacachispasSacachispas321481033:26+750WDLLL
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur321212833:30+348WDWDD
4Centro EspañolCentro Español321211943:30+1347LWWLD
5MercedesMercedes321211931:24+747WDWWD
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas321114726:19+747WWDWL
7LuganoLugano321113835:29+646LLDDD
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida321291139:33+645LWDWL
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3210111130:36-641WLLLL
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres32991425:34-936LLLDW
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza327141121:26-535WWLDD
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo327111423:41-1832LDDWL
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem32871730:58-2831LLWLD
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario324151330:42-1227LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BerazateguiBerazategui3240:2451
2SacachispasSacachispas3233:2650
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur3233:3048
4Centro EspañolCentro Español3243:3047
5MercedesMercedes3231:2447
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas3226:1947
7LuganoLugano3235:2946
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida3239:3345
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3230:3641
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres3225:3436
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza3221:2635
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo3223:4132
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem3230:5831
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario3230:4227
PromotionRelegation

About the Lugano vs Estrella Del Sur forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lugano and Estrella Del Sur in the Primera C table

In the Primera C table, Estrella Del Sur are 3rd and Lugano 7th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Lugano 35-29, Estrella Del Sur 33-30. The full standings are on the Primera C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lugano and Estrella Del Sur have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.