Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction

Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rest
7 days
Hapoel Tel Aviv Rest
7 days

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: the result in context

Maccabi Tel Aviv beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-1 in the Ligat Ha'al on 14 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Maccabi Tel Aviv have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Maccabi Tel Aviv tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 5.7 for Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.12
X
28%3.51
2
19%2.90
Double Chance
1X
81%1.33
X2
47%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.44
No
46%2.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.16 = 2.75
Over 1.5
79%1.16
Over 2.5
59%1.53
Over 3.5
32%2.33
Under 1.5
21%4.88
Under 2.5
41%2.33
Under 3.5
68%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Dor Peretz
33'stav torialAssist: Emmanuel Boateng
36'Osher DavidaAssist: Ester Sokler
37'stav torialArgument
37'Osher Davida
44'Goal cancelledEster Sokler
45+6'stav torial
45+11'Fernand MayemboArgument
47'Lucas de Oliveira Teodoro FalcãoFoul
66'Ester Sokler INElad Madmon out
76'douglas owusu INMor Buskila out
76'Emmanuel Boateng INOmri Altman out
76'Lucas de Oliveira Teodoro Falcão INRoy Korine out
76'James Tavernier INtyrese asante out
76'Osher Davida INHisham Layous out
83'Roee alkokin INDaniel Dappa out
84'Dor PeretzFoul
86'Andrian KraevFoul
87'Doron Leidner INShahar Piven out
88'Hisham LayousAssist: Elad Madmon
90'Gabi Kanikovski INIdo Shahar out
90+5'Elad MadmonAssist: Hélio Varela

Lineups

Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-1-4-1Coach: Kenny Miller
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4-2-3-1Coach: E. Barda
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.14
O. Melika6.71O. Melika
J. Tavernier6.42J. Tavernier
M. Camara7.15M. Camara
R. Shlomo7.013R. Shlomo
N. Ben Harush7.222N. Ben Harush
I. Sissokho6.628I. Sissokho
O. Davida8.077O. Davida
Dor Peretz7.442D. Peretz
G. Kanichowsky6.816G. Kanichowsky
Hélio Varela7.529H. Varela
E. Sokler7.39E. Sokler
A. Tzur6.522A. Tzur
M. Coco5.797M. Coco
F. Mayembo5.85F. Mayembo
Chico6.34Chico
D. Leidner6.016D. Leidner
Falcão6.198Falcão
A. Kraev6.06A. Kraev
S. Torial6.211S. Torial
D. Owusu6.135D. Owusu
R. Alkokin5.415R. Alkokin
E. Boateng6.69E. Boateng

Maccabi Tel Aviv Substitutes

36I. Shahar90'for Gabi Kanikovski
60I. Ben Simon
41I. Ben Hamo
6T. Asante76'for James Tavernier6.4
18D. Glazer
33H. Layous76'for Osher Davida88'7.4
19E. Madmon66'for Ester Sokler90+5'7.9
90R. Mishpati
30I. Noy

Hapoel Tel Aviv Substitutes

7R. Korine76'for Lucas de Oliveira Teodoro Falcão6.3
14E. Kancepolsky
44D. Dappa83'for Roee alkokin6.5
27M. Buskila76'for douglas owusu6.7
23A. Lemkin
51O. Altman76'for Emmanuel Boateng6.4
18T. Archel
1Dor Benyamini
21S. Piven87'for Doron Leidner5.8

Match Stats

Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots2
14Fouls15
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
508Total Passes318
443Passes Accurate256
14Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
1723Elo Rating 1689
2.20Attack 2.61
1.59Defense 2.30
37%Hit Rate 100%
21.5Shots per Game 16.0
6.5Shots on Target 5.8
7.8Corners per Game 5.7
2.9Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv1Wins · 10%
2.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligat Ha'al09/05/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
11
Ligat Ha'al19/04/2026
Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
10
Ligat Ha'al26/01/2026
Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
12
State Cup14/01/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
4151
Ligat Ha'al17/01/2024
Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
42
Ligat Ha'al26/09/2023
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
05
Ligat Ha'al28/01/2023
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
00
Ligat Ha'al10/10/2022
Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
30
Ligat Ha'al21/05/2022
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
02
Ligat Ha'al25/04/2022
Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
50

Recent Form

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
7W1D2L
07/09/2026
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv
14
W
31/08/2026
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Haifa
31
W
27/08/2026
Maccabi Tel AvivFC Lugano
11
D
23/08/2026
Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Tel Aviv
25
W
20/08/2026
FC LuganoMaccabi Tel Aviv
21
L
16/08/2026
Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel Aviv
01
W
13/08/2026
CSKA SofiaMaccabi Tel Aviv
13
W
06/08/2026
Maccabi Tel AvivCSKA Sofia
03
L
30/07/2026
Maccabi Tel AvivSheriff Tiraspol
10
W
23/07/2026
Sheriff TiraspolMaccabi Tel Aviv
05
W
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
5W3D2L
07/09/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Ramat Gan
40
W
03/09/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivBeitar Jerusalem
30
W
30/08/2026
Hapoel HaifaHapoel Tel Aviv
00
D
27/08/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
01
L
20/08/2026
AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
00
D
16/08/2026
Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Tel Aviv
12
W
12/08/2026
GKS KatowiceHapoel Tel Aviv
21
L
06/08/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivGKS Katowice
20
W
30/07/2026
LudogoretsHapoel Tel Aviv
22
D
23/07/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets
20
W

League Table

Ligat Ha'al 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv972029:8+2123WWDDW
2Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv971120:6+1422WWWWW
3Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva971122:12+1022WWWWW
4Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa960321:16+518LLWWW
5Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem952213:10+317DWDWW
6Bnei SakhninBnei Sakhnin93337:7012DWWDW
7Hapoel HaifaHapoel Haifa933313:16-312WLLWL
8Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Netanya925212:8+411DDWDL
9Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva930614:21-79LWLLL
10Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon922515:22-78DLLLW
11Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan92077:20-136LLWLL
12Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona91177:17-104DLLLL
13Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva91173:16-134LLLDL
14Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias92349:13-43DDLLL
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About the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv forecast

As a derby, this Ligat Ha'al meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Ligat Ha'al table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Maccabi Tel Aviv are 1st in the Ligat Ha'al, 1 point ahead of Hapoel Tel Aviv in 2nd. League goal record so far: Maccabi Tel Aviv 29-8, Hapoel Tel Aviv 20-6. The full standings are on the Ligat Ha'al Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hapoel Tel Aviv have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.