Matsumoto Yamaga vs Renofa Yamaguchi Prediction

Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-6.3%
Matsumoto Yamaga Rest
3 days
Renofa Yamaguchi Rest
3 days

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Renofa Yamaguchi: the result in context

Renofa Yamaguchi beat Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0 in the J3 League on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.58
X
28%3.15
2
36%2.43
Double Chance
1X
64%1.44
X2
64%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.25 = 2.52
Over 1.5
72%1.24
Over 2.5
50%1.83
Over 3.5
30%2.92
Under 1.5
28%3.34
Under 2.5
50%1.91
Under 3.5
70%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

64'S. Watanabe INR. Gunji out
64'K. Tanabe INT. Ito out
64'K. Nakashima INN. Nomura out
68'R. GunjiAssist: T. Itakura
70'N. Nomura
71'R. Sato INR. Yasunaga out
71'S. Tanaka INA. Inoue out
71'Y. Taguchi INK. Fujieda out
76'K. Saso INK. Kitazume out
76'H. Murakami INS. Kaneko out
76'R. Yasunaga
77'S. Yamamoto INK. Oiwa out
90'R. Gunji INK. Fujioka out
90+1'K. Oiwa

Team Comparison

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi
1386Elo Rating 1476
0.79Attack 1.61
1.91Defense 2.54
37%Hit Rate 77%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga0Wins · 0%
Draws3100%
Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi0Wins · 0%
1.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

J-League Cup13/03/2024
Matsumoto YamagaRenofa Yamaguchi
3131
J2 League21/11/2021
Matsumoto YamagaRenofa Yamaguchi
11
J2 League28/02/2021
Renofa YamaguchiMatsumoto Yamaga
00

Recent Form

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
5W1D4L
21/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaThespakusatsu Gunma
20
W
18/10/2026
Parceiro NaganoMatsumoto Yamaga
21
L
14/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
L
11/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaKagoshima United
10
W
03/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaGainare Tottori
01
L
29/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaAlbirex Niigata
10
W
26/09/2026
Tochigi SCMatsumoto Yamaga
12
W
18/09/2026
Roasso KumamotoMatsumoto Yamaga
00
D
13/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSagamihara
13
L
09/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaShonan Bellmare
4333
W
Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi
6W2D2L
21/10/2026
Ehime FCRenofa Yamaguchi
21
L
18/10/2026
Renofa YamaguchiKochi United
20
W
11/10/2026
Tochigi SCRenofa Yamaguchi
01
W
03/10/2026
FC GifuRenofa Yamaguchi
02
W
26/09/2026
Renofa YamaguchiSagamihara
22
D
20/09/2026
KanazawaRenofa Yamaguchi
12
W
12/09/2026
Renofa YamaguchiThespakusatsu Gunma
20
W
05/09/2026
Gainare TottoriRenofa Yamaguchi
03
W
02/09/2026
Renofa YamaguchiFujieda MYFC
02
L
30/08/2026
Renofa YamaguchiOsaka
00
D

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1493228:17+1130DLWWL
2Ehime FCEhime FC1482430:21+926LLWLW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1482419:11+826LWLWW
4Nara ClubNara Club1482425:21+426WLLWW
5FC GifuFC Gifu1481525:13+1225WLWWW
6SagamiharaSagamihara1474324:15+925WDLWW
7Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1466216:8+824DWWWL
8OsakaOsaka1465323:14+923LWWLD
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1472521:17+423WWWWL
10KanazawaKanazawa1462627:19+820WWLLD
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1462620:20020WLLWW
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1454521:22-119WWLWL
13Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1445515:16-117WLWLW
14Tochigi SCTochigi SC1445514:16-217WDWLL
15Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1443715:28-1315LDLDL
16Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1442827:32-514LWWLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1442818:27-914LLLLD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1441912:26-1413LWLDW
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki14221015:27-128LLWLL
20Kochi UnitedKochi United1413106:31-256LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1428:1730
2Ehime FCEhime FC1430:2126
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1419:1126
4Nara ClubNara Club1425:2126
5FC GifuFC Gifu1425:1325
6SagamiharaSagamihara1424:1525
7Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1416:824
8OsakaOsaka1423:1423
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1421:1723
10KanazawaKanazawa1427:1920
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1420:2020
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1421:2219
13Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1415:1617
14Tochigi SCTochigi SC1414:1617
15Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1415:2815
16Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1427:3214
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1418:2714
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1412:2613
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1415:278
20Kochi UnitedKochi United146:316
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About the Matsumoto Yamaga vs Renofa Yamaguchi forecast

The forecasts for this J3 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Matsumoto Yamaga and Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League table

In the J3 League table, Renofa Yamaguchi are 3rd and Matsumoto Yamaga 13th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Matsumoto Yamaga 15-16, Renofa Yamaguchi 19-11. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.