Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi Prediction

Kanseki Stadium Tochigi, Utsunomiya 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap-2.7%
Tochigi SC Rest
7 days
Renofa Yamaguchi Rest
8 days

Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi: result, form and history

Renofa Yamaguchi beat Tochigi SC 1-0 in the J3 League on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Renofa Yamaguchi had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Tochigi SC.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.54
X
28%3.13
2
38%2.47
Double Chance
1X
62%1.44
X2
66%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.69
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.42 = 2.57
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
49%1.92
Over 3.5
29%3.28
Under 1.5
28%3.28
Under 2.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
71%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'R. Higashi
50'S. YamamotoAssist: S. Watanabe
53'R. Osako
54'J. Nakamura INK. Nakano out
54'T. Igarashi INT. Myogan out
62'S. Yamamoto INS. Kubo out
63'K. Nakashima INN. Nomura out
63'S. Watanabe INR. Gunji out
67'H. Sese INY. Matsushita out
68'K. Sugimori INT. Yamaguchi out
71'K. Tanabe
75'K. Tanabe INR. Yamamoto out
82'W. I. Suzuki INR. Sakurai out
86'K. Noyori INN. Misawa out

Team Comparison

Tochigi SCTochigi SC
Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi
1361Elo Rating 1458
0.23Attack 1.54
2.64Defense 2.18
23%Hit Rate 59%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Tochigi SCTochigi SC
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Tochigi SCTochigi SC3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi2Wins · 25%
2.6Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

J2 League10/08/2024
Renofa YamaguchiTochigi SC
43
J2 League07/04/2024
Tochigi SCRenofa Yamaguchi
00
J2 League24/06/2023
Tochigi SCRenofa Yamaguchi
00
J2 League08/04/2023
Renofa YamaguchiTochigi SC
11
J2 League23/07/2022
Tochigi SCRenofa Yamaguchi
21
J2 League30/04/2022
Renofa YamaguchiTochigi SC
21
J2 League05/09/2021
Tochigi SCRenofa Yamaguchi
32
J2 League04/04/2021
Renofa YamaguchiTochigi SC
01

Recent Form

Tochigi SCTochigi SC
2W3D5L
04/10/2026
Kamatamare SanukiTochigi SC
00
D
26/09/2026
Tochigi SCMatsumoto Yamaga
12
L
19/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedTochigi SC
31
L
13/09/2026
Parceiro NaganoTochigi SC
11
D
09/09/2026
Tochigi SCMontedio Yamagata
01
L
05/09/2026
Tochigi SCKochi United
20
W
29/08/2026
FC GifuTochigi SC
41
L
26/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTochigi SC
31
L
22/08/2026
Tochigi SCKitakyushu
22
D
19/08/2026
Tochigi SCUrayasu
20
W
Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi
5W2D3L
03/10/2026
FC GifuRenofa Yamaguchi
02
W
26/09/2026
Renofa YamaguchiSagamihara
22
D
20/09/2026
KanazawaRenofa Yamaguchi
12
W
12/09/2026
Renofa YamaguchiThespakusatsu Gunma
20
W
05/09/2026
Gainare TottoriRenofa Yamaguchi
03
W
02/09/2026
Renofa YamaguchiFujieda MYFC
02
L
30/08/2026
Renofa YamaguchiOsaka
00
D
22/08/2026
Nara ClubRenofa Yamaguchi
31
L
19/08/2026
Kagoshima UnitedRenofa Yamaguchi
21
L
15/08/2026
Renofa YamaguchiFC Ryukyu
10
W

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1392227:16+1129LWWLW
2Ehime FCEhime FC1382330:19+1126LWLWW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1382319:9+1026WLWWW
4OsakaOsaka1365223:13+1023WWLDL
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1365215:7+823WWWLD
6Nara ClubNara Club1372423:21+223LLWWW
7FC GifuFC Gifu1371524:13+1122LWWWL
8SagamiharaSagamihara1364321:14+722DLWWW
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1362516:15+120WWWLL
10KanazawaKanazawa1352623:19+417WLLDW
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1352617:19-217LLWWL
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1344519:22-316WLWLW
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1343613:23-1015DLDLW
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1342726:29-314WWLDL
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1335512:15-314LWLWL
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1335512:16-414DWLLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1342717:24-714LLLDD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1341812:22-1013WLDWL
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1322915:25-108LWLLD
20Kochi UnitedKochi United131395:28-236DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1327:1629
2Ehime FCEhime FC1330:1926
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1319:926
4OsakaOsaka1323:1323
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1315:723
6Nara ClubNara Club1323:2123
7FC GifuFC Gifu1324:1322
8SagamiharaSagamihara1321:1422
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1316:1520
10KanazawaKanazawa1323:1917
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1317:1917
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1319:2216
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1313:2315
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1326:2914
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1312:1514
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1312:1614
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1317:2414
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1312:2213
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1315:258
20Kochi UnitedKochi United135:286
PromotionRelegation

About the Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tochigi SC and Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League table

In the J3 League table, Renofa Yamaguchi are 3rd and Tochigi SC 16th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Tochigi SC 12-16, Renofa Yamaguchi 19-9. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.