Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai Prediction

Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre, Meizhou 05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+10.6%
Meizhou Kejia Rest
8 days
Changchun Yatai Rest
8 days

Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai: the result in context

Changchun Yatai beat Meizhou Kejia 3-1 in the League One on 5 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meizhou Kejia have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.70
X
26%3.35
2
42%2.30
Double Chance
1X
58%1.50
X2
68%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.50
No
56%2.29
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.19
Over 2.5
39%1.65
Over 3.5
19%2.55
Under 1.5
37%4.13
Under 2.5
61%2.11
Under 3.5
81%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'V. TribouletAssist: H. Sakhi
20'Yu Wai-LimOG
38'Tan LongAssist: O. Omoijuanfo
39'Feng Gang INJ. Lai out
65'C. Benhaddouche INJiang Zilei out
66'Du Kaile INZhou Dadi out
71'JIng Boxi INChen Guoliang out
73'J. SalazarAssist: O. Omoijuanfo
76'Wang Haoran INZhang Enqi out
76'Yang Chaosheng INLi Jiarun out
83'Chen Xuhuang INTudi Dilyimit out
83'J. Salazar INSun Xipeng out
84'T. Pellenard INSun Xiaobin out

Team Comparison

Meizhou KejiaMeizhou Kejia
Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai
1336Elo Rating 1477
0.41Attack 1.90
0.69Defense 1.63
0%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Meizhou KejiaMeizhou Kejia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Meizhou KejiaMeizhou Kejia5Wins · 63%
Draws00%
Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai3Wins · 37%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Super League16/08/2025
Changchun YataiMeizhou Kejia
10
Super League11/04/2025
Meizhou KejiaChangchun Yatai
13
Super League17/08/2024
Meizhou KejiaChangchun Yatai
21
Super League26/04/2024
Changchun YataiMeizhou Kejia
01
Super League08/08/2023
Meizhou KejiaChangchun Yatai
42
Super League10/05/2023
Changchun YataiMeizhou Kejia
24
Super League23/12/2022
Meizhou KejiaChangchun Yatai
10
Super League29/10/2022
Changchun YataiMeizhou Kejia
10

Recent Form

Meizhou KejiaMeizhou Kejia
3W2D5L
27/06/2026
Nantong ZhiyunMeizhou Kejia
13
W
14/06/2026
Wuxi WugouMeizhou Kejia
11
D
30/05/2026
Meizhou KejiaHeilongjiang Lava Spring
22
D
24/05/2026
Hebei KungfuMeizhou Kejia
01
W
16/05/2026
Rizhao YuqiMeizhou Kejia
21
L
09/05/2026
Nanjing CityMeizhou Kejia
20
L
03/05/2026
Meizhou KejiaShenzhen Juniors
14
L
25/04/2026
Meizhou KejiaNingbo Professional
03
L
19/04/2026
Guangzhou E-PowerMeizhou Kejia
30
L
11/04/2026
Meizhou KejiaGuangxi Hengchen
21
W
Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai
4W1D5L
27/06/2026
Changchun YataiGuangxi Hengchen
12
L
13/06/2026
Changchun YataiDalian Huayi
21
W
30/05/2026
Yanbian LongdingChangchun Yatai
22
D
24/05/2026
Changchun YataiShenzhen Juniors
04
L
16/05/2026
Xi'an RonghaiChangchun Yatai
4131
L
09/05/2026
Heilongjiang Lava SpringChangchun Yatai
23
W
03/05/2026
Ningbo ProfessionalChangchun Yatai
31
L
26/04/2026
Changchun YataiGuangzhou E-Power
12
L
18/04/2026
Dongguan UnitedChangchun Yatai
13
W
11/04/2026
Changchun YataiShaanxi Union
21
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Guangzhou E-PowerGuangzhou E-Power28187356:27+2961DLWWW
2Nantong ZhiyunNantong Zhiyun28159437:20+1754WWWWW
3Guangxi HengchenGuangxi Hengchen28138745:33+1247LDDLW
4Shenzhen JuniorsShenzhen Juniors281210642:32+1046LDDLD
5Shaanxi UnionShaanxi Union28136951:30+2145LWWWW
6Yanbian LongdingYanbian Longding28119841:30+1142WWLDL
7Hebei KungfuHebei Kungfu281171029:28+140WLDWW
8Wuxi WugouWuxi Wugou281161143:33+1039WLWDW
9Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai281161145:45035WDDDL
10Dalian HuayiDalian Huayi288101035:41-634WDDLL
11Ningbo ProfessionalNingbo Professional28971230:35-531LDDLL
12Suzhou DongwuSuzhou Dongwu287111032:40-829DDDDD
13Nanjing CityNanjing City28771427:39-1228WWDLL
14Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring285121139:51-1227LWLDD
15Meizhou KejiaMeizhou Kejia28741726:58-3216LLLDL
16Dongguan UnitedDongguan United28371828:64-3616LLLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Guangzhou E-PowerGuangzhou E-Power2856:2761
2Nantong ZhiyunNantong Zhiyun2837:2054
3Guangxi HengchenGuangxi Hengchen2845:3347
4Shenzhen JuniorsShenzhen Juniors2842:3246
5Shaanxi UnionShaanxi Union2851:3045
6Yanbian LongdingYanbian Longding2841:3042
7Hebei KungfuHebei Kungfu2829:2840
8Wuxi WugouWuxi Wugou2843:3339
9Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai2845:4535
10Dalian HuayiDalian Huayi2835:4134
11Ningbo ProfessionalNingbo Professional2830:3531
12Suzhou DongwuSuzhou Dongwu2832:4029
13Nanjing CityNanjing City2827:3928
14Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring2839:5127
15Meizhou KejiaMeizhou Kejia2826:5816
16Dongguan UnitedDongguan United2828:6416
PromotionRelegation

About the Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Meizhou Kejia and Changchun Yatai in the League One table

In the League One table, Changchun Yatai are 9th and Meizhou Kejia 15th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Meizhou Kejia 26-58, Changchun Yatai 45-45. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.