Merthyr Town vs Morecambe Prediction
England · National League North - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Merthyr Town vs Morecambe: the result in context
Morecambe beat Merthyr Town 3-1 in the National League - North on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Morecambe had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Merthyr Town.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Merthyr Town
MorecambeAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Merthyr Town- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Morecambe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
King's Lynn Town
Darlington 1883Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
Marine
Truro CityMerthyr TownMerthyr TownTruro City
Scarborough AthleticMerthyr Town
ChesterMerthyr TownMerthyr Town
Macclesfield
BuxtonMerthyr TownMerthyr Town
ChorleyMorecambe
AFC Rushden & DiamondsMorecambe
Worksop TownMorecambeMorecambeDarlington 1883
Oxford CityMorecambeMorecambe
SouthportMorecambe
Brackley TownSouthportMorecambeMorecambeBuxtonChesterMorecambeMorecambe
AFC Telford UnitedLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oxford City | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25:8 | +17 | 27 | WDWDW |
| 2 |  Hereford | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24:8 | +16 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 3 |  South Shields | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | +4 | 26 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 24 | LWWDD |
| 5 | Chester | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 23 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Buxton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26:23 | +3 | 23 | WWDLL |
| 7 |  Bedford Town | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | +1 | 22 | WWLDL |
| 8 |  Hednesford Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:20 | +3 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 9 | King's Lynn Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 10 | Morecambe | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WWLDW |
| 11 | Chorley | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 20 | WLWWL |
| 12 | Worksop Town | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 | WDDWL |
| 13 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 | DLLDW |
| 14 |  Spalding United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:13 | +3 | 18 | DLLLW |
| 15 | Marine | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 | LDWWW |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 | LDWLD |
| 17 | AFC Telford United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 | WDWLL |
| 18 | Brackley Town | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:26 | -9 | 16 | DLLWW |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | +1 | 15 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Merthyr Town | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | LLDDL |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 15 | LWWWL |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 11 | LWLDD |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12:27 | -15 | 7 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oxford City | 13 | 25:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Hereford | 13 | 24:8 | 26 |
| 3 | South Shields | 13 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 12 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Chester | 13 | 17:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Buxton | 14 | 26:23 | 23 |
| 7 | Bedford Town | 13 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 8 | Hednesford Town | 14 | 23:20 | 21 |
| 9 | King's Lynn Town | 14 | 22:21 | 21 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 13 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 11 | Chorley | 13 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Worksop Town | 14 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 13 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Spalding United | 13 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 15 | Marine | 13 | 15:15 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough Town | 13 | 12:16 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Telford United | 14 | 14:20 | 16 |
| 18 | Brackley Town | 14 | 17:26 | 16 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 20 | Merthyr Town | 14 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 14 | 16:24 | 15 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 14 | 17:25 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 13 | 12:27 | 7 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More National League - North matches
- AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883 17/10/26
- Buxton vs Worksop Town 17/10/26
- Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town 17/10/26
- Southport vs Radcliffe 17/10/26
- AFC Telford United vs Hebburn Town 24/10/26
- Brackley Town vs Radcliffe 24/10/26
- Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town 24/10/26
- Harborough Town vs Worksop Town 24/10/26
About the Merthyr Town vs Morecambe forecast
The forecasts for this National League - North match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Merthyr Town and Morecambe in the National League - North table
In the National League - North table, Morecambe are 10th and Merthyr Town 20th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Merthyr Town 15-19, Morecambe 19-12. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Merthyr Town and Morecambe have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.