Miramar vs La Luz Prediction

Miramar
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
La Luz
Parque Palermo, Montevideo 27/07/2026
MiramarMiramar
0-1
Finished
La LuzLa Luz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel32%SurpriseHighGap+11.8%
Miramar Rest
0 days
La Luz Rest
13 days

Miramar vs La Luz: the result in context

La Luz beat Miramar 1-0 in the Segunda División on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.74
X
32%2.87
2
25%2.60
Double Chance
1X
75%1.40
X2
57%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.06
No
53%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 0.96 = 2.26
Over 1.5
64%1.50
Over 2.5
37%2.52
Over 3.5
18%4.50
Under 1.5
36%2.41
Under 2.5
63%1.44
Under 3.5
82%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'

Team Comparison

MiramarMiramar
La LuzLa Luz
1491Elo Rating 1479
1.25Attack 2.01
1.49Defense 2.33
42%Hit Rate 81%

Game State Tendencies

MiramarMiramar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
La LuzLa Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MiramarMiramar0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
La LuzLa Luz1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División30/07/2022
MiramarLa Luz
11
Segunda División08/05/2022
La LuzMiramar
31

Recent Form

MiramarMiramar
3W3D4L
26/07/2026
Cashmere TechnicalMiramar
21
L
12/07/2026
CerritoMiramar
10
L
06/07/2026
MiramarAtenas
11
D
28/06/2026
PaysanduMiramar
23
W
19/06/2026
MiramarSportivo Huracan
01
L
13/06/2026
Uruguay MontevideoMiramar
13
W
08/06/2026
MiramarOriental
22
D
31/05/2026
ColónMiramar
13
W
25/05/2026
MiramarFenix
11
D
17/05/2026
RentistasMiramar
10
L
La LuzLa Luz
3W4D3L
13/07/2026
La LuzTacuarembo
20
W
04/07/2026
Plaza ColoniaLa Luz
10
L
28/06/2026
CA River PlateLa Luz
00
D
21/06/2026
La LuzCerrito
20
W
14/06/2026
AtenasLa Luz
40
L
06/06/2026
La LuzPaysandu
12
L
31/05/2026
Sportivo HuracanLa Luz
11
D
24/05/2026
La LuzUruguay Montevideo
20
W
18/05/2026
OrientalLa Luz
00
D
09/05/2026
La LuzColón
00
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313LWWWD
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712WWLDW
3FenixFenix632113:7+611DWLDW
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310DLWWD
5ColónColón62318:5+39LWWDW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WWDDL
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLDLL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WLDDL
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34LWWDL
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWLDW
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74LLDDW
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas24135635:22+1344DWLDW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia24107730:24+637WWLDW
3RentistasRentistas24107732:27+537WWDDL
4ColónColón24106828:27+136LWWDW
5CerritoCerrito25810732:29+334DDLLW
6PaysanduPaysandu241041032:31+134LWWDL
7La LuzLa Luz2497824:25-134WLDLL
8CA River PlateCA River Plate2496936:31+533LLDDW
9OrientalOriental2489733:29+433LWWWD
10FenixFenix25710828:30-231DWLDW
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan25871025:33-831DLWWD
12MiramarMiramar2478925:30-529WLDDL
13TacuaremboTacuarembo24671118:27-925DLLLW
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2435:2244
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2430:2437
3RentistasRentistas2432:2737
4ColónColón2428:2736
5CerritoCerrito2532:2934
6PaysanduPaysandu2432:3134
7La LuzLa Luz2424:2534
8CA River PlateCA River Plate2436:3133
9OrientalOriental2433:2933
10FenixFenix2528:3031
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2525:3331
12MiramarMiramar2425:3029
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2418:2725
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the Miramar vs La Luz forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Miramar and La Luz in the Segunda División table

La Luz and Miramar are close in the Segunda División table, 9th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Miramar 3-7, La Luz 5-6. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Miramar and La Luz have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.