Uruguay Montevideo vs CA River Plate Prediction

18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.37
SignalHIGHModel27%SurpriseHighGap+9.8%
Uruguay Montevideo Rest
6 days
CA River Plate Rest
6 days

Uruguay Montevideo vs CA River Plate: result, form and history

Uruguay Montevideo and CA River Plate drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 18 Jul 2026. CA River Plate had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Uruguay Montevideo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.82
X
25%3.05
2
36%2.40
Double Chance
1X
64%1.49
X2
61%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.85
No
42%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.49 = 2.86
Over 1.5
76%1.37
Over 2.5
56%2.19
Over 3.5
35%3.85
Under 1.5
24%2.75
Under 2.5
44%1.60
Under 3.5
65%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'F. Perez
85'

Team Comparison

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
CA River PlateCA River Plate
1379Elo Rating 1475
1.10Attack 1.28
1.16Defense 1.41
27%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals

Game State Tendencies

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
CA River PlateCA River Plate
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
2W2D6L
12/07/2026
Uruguay MontevideoOriental
11
D
06/07/2026
ColónUruguay Montevideo
10
L
27/06/2026
Uruguay MontevideoFenix
32
W
21/06/2026
RentistasUruguay Montevideo
10
L
13/06/2026
Uruguay MontevideoMiramar
13
L
07/06/2026
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
10
L
30/05/2026
Uruguay MontevideoPlaza Colonia
20
W
24/05/2026
La LuzUruguay Montevideo
20
L
16/05/2026
Uruguay MontevideoCerrito
22
D
09/05/2026
AtenasUruguay Montevideo
21
L
CA River PlateCA River Plate
5W2D3L
11/07/2026
CA River PlatePlaza Colonia
32
W
05/07/2026
OrientalCA River Plate
12
W
28/06/2026
CA River PlateLa Luz
00
D
20/06/2026
ColónCA River Plate
21
L
14/06/2026
CA River PlateCerrito
64
W
06/06/2026
FenixCA River Plate
31
L
31/05/2026
CA River PlateAtenas
02
L
23/05/2026
RentistasCA River Plate
12
W
16/05/2026
CA River PlatePaysandu
10
W
10/05/2026
MiramarCA River Plate
11
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313LWWWD
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712WWLDW
3FenixFenix632113:7+611WLDWL
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310LWWDW
5ColónColón62318:5+39LWWDW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29DLDLL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WWDDL
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DLLWD
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLDLL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WLDDL
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34LWWDL
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWLDW
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74LLDDW
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas24135635:22+1344DWLDW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia24107730:24+637WWLDW
3RentistasRentistas24107732:27+537WWDDL
4ColónColón24106828:27+136LWWDW
5PaysanduPaysandu241041032:31+134LWWDL
6La LuzLa Luz2497824:25-134WLDLL
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2496936:31+533LLDDW
8OrientalOriental2489733:29+433LWWWD
9CerritoCerrito2489731:28+333DLLWD
10FenixFenix2479827:29-230WLDWL
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan24861025:33-830LWWDW
12MiramarMiramar2478925:30-529WLDDL
13TacuaremboTacuarembo24671118:27-925DLLLW
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo24561323:36-1321DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2435:2244
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2430:2437
3RentistasRentistas2432:2737
4ColónColón2428:2736
5PaysanduPaysandu2432:3134
6La LuzLa Luz2424:2534
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2436:3133
8OrientalOriental2433:2933
9CerritoCerrito2431:2833
10FenixFenix2427:2930
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2425:3330
12MiramarMiramar2425:3029
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2418:2725
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2423:3621

About the Uruguay Montevideo vs CA River Plate forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Uruguay Montevideo and CA River Plate in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Uruguay Montevideo are 6th and CA River Plate 13th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Uruguay Montevideo 7-5, CA River Plate 6-13. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Uruguay Montevideo and CA River Plate have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.