Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 19
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Mirassol Rest
48 days
Gremio Rest
5 days
Mirassol vs Gremio: result, form and history
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%1.91
X31%3.39
225%4.03
Double Chance
1X75%1.22
X256%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.90
No46%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.07 = 2.34
Over 1.571%1.36
Over 2.544%2.12
Over 3.522%3.87
Under 1.529%3.10
Under 2.556%1.70
Under 3.578%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.554%1.47
Over 9.541%1.83
Over 10.528%2.25
Under 8.546%2.40
Under 9.559%1.90
Under 10.572%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.7 = 5.4
Over 3.581%1.29
Over 4.559%1.54
Under 3.519%3.23
Under 4.541%2.22
Match Events
16'Bruno SantosAssist: Igor Formiga
38'DenilsonHolding
40'Edson CariocaAssist: Denilson
41'Walter KannemannHolding
46'M. Villasanti INL. Perez out
46'Gabriel Mec INM. Braithwaite out
46'F. Amuzu INWillian out
46'Caio Paulista INPedro Gabriel out
65'Gustavo MartinsRoughing
72'Edson Carioca INCarlos Eduardo out
75'Bruno Santos INAndre Luis out
76'Japa INShaylon out
77'Carlos ViniciusAssist: C. Pavon
79'L. Perez
80'J. Nardoni INRiquelme out
83'Denilson INChico Kim out
83'Alesson INFernandinho out
86'Tete INMarcos Rocha out
Lineups
MirassolGremio
4-3-3Coach: Luis CastroAvg ratingAvg rating
22Walter
32I. Formiga
C34J. Victor
44G. Knesowitsch
6Reinaldo
8Denilson
21J. Aldo
5Japa
95E. Carioca
30B. Santos
77Alesson
1Weverton
7C. Pavón
6G. Martins
C4W. Kannemann
38C. Paulista
5J. Nardoni
20M. Villasanti
37G. Mec
21Tetê
95C. Vinícius
9F. AmuzuMirassol Substitutes
96Carlos Eduardo72'replaced by Edson Carioca
9André Luis75'for Bruno Santos
7Shaylon76'for Japa
10Chico83'for Denilson
17Fernandinho83'for Alesson
1Georgemy
90Thomazella
2Lucas Oliveira
18Elias
12Victor Luis
20Daniel Borges
27Antonio Galeano
Gremio Substitutes
54Pedro Gabriel46'for Caio Paulista
10Willian46'for F. Amuzu
33Leonel Pérez46'for M. Villasanti79'
22Martin Braithwaite46'for Gabriel Mec
65Riquelme Freitas80'for J. Nardoni
14Marcos Rocha86'for Tete
12Gabriel Grando
43Luis Guedes
3Wagner Leonardo
17Dodi
19Erick Noriega
11Miguel Monsalve
Match Stats
MirassolGremio 45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
14Fouls9
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
340Total Passes445
273Passes Accurate371
80%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
MirassolGremio1649Elo Rating 1653
0.76Attack 1.46
1.93Defense 1.91
19%Hit Rate 50%
11.9Shots per Game 16.9
2.9Shots on Target 5.1
3.9Corners per Game 7.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Mirassol- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gremio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Mirassol3Wins · 100%Draws00%
Gremio0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
13/09/2025GremioMirassol01
17/04/2025MirassolGremio41
02/03/2022MirassolGremio32
Recent Form
Mirassol6W1D3L
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol10
L27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
LanusMirassol10
L24/05/2026Mirassol
Fluminense
MirassolFluminense10
W20/05/2026
Always ReadyMirassol
Always ReadyMirassol12
W16/05/2026
Atletico-MGMirassol
Atletico-MGMirassol31
L14/05/2026Mirassol
RB Bragantino
MirassolRB Bragantino21
W10/05/2026Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
MirassolChapecoense-sc11
D08/05/2026Mirassol
LDU de Quito
MirassolLDU de Quito20
W04/05/2026Mirassol
Corinthians
MirassolCorinthians21
W30/04/2026MirassolAlways Ready
MirassolAlways Ready20
WGremio4W3D3L
12/07/2026Gremio
Cruzeiro
GremioCruzeiro13
L30/05/2026GremioCorinthians
GremioCorinthians13
L27/05/2026Gremio
Atletico Torque
GremioAtletico Torque22
D24/05/2026Gremio
Santos
GremioSantos32
W21/05/2026Gremio
Palestino
GremioPalestino20
W17/05/2026
BahiaGremio
BahiaGremio11
D15/05/2026
ConfiançaGremio
ConfiançaGremio03
W11/05/2026Gremio
Flamengo
GremioFlamengo01
L06/05/2026
Deportivo RiestraGremio
Deportivo RiestraGremio03
W03/05/2026Atletico ParanaenseGremio
Atletico ParanaenseGremio00
DReferee Profile
5.65Cards per match
5.43Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.65 cards a match, 0.48 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).
Cards come from 199 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68:28 | +40 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | +6 | 57 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50:40 | +10 | 54 | LDLWD |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44:39 | +5 | 50 | LLWWD |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 37 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 68:28 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 50:40 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 44:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 37:47 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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About the Mirassol vs Gremio forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Mirassol and Gremio in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Mirassol (16th) and Gremio (15th) are level on 37 points. League goal record so far: Mirassol 37-47, Gremio 37-44. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.