Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction

K's Denki Stadium Mito, Mito·Koei Koya 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Mito Hollyhock Rest
2 days
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rest
2 days

Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the result in context

Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Mito Hollyhock 3-0 in the J1 League on 31 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Mito Hollyhock.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 2.6 for Mito Hollyhock.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%7.50
X
22%4.91
2
67%1.37
Double Chance
1X
33%2.96
X2
89%1.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.99 + 2.05 = 3.04
Over 1.5
81%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.61
Over 3.5
39%2.50
Under 1.5
19%4.48
Under 2.5
40%2.27
Under 3.5
61%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.1 + 6.5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
60%1.59
Over 9.5
48%2.00
Over 10.5
36%2.53
Under 8.5
40%2.21
Under 9.5
52%1.73
Under 10.5
64%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.1 = 2.6
Over 3.5
25%-
Over 4.5
12%-
Under 3.5
75%-
Under 4.5
88%-

Match Events

6'Yasuki Kimoto INRei Ieizumi out
21'Takumi Mase
25'Patryck Ferreira INKeisuke Tada out
30'Akito SuzukiAssist: Shuto Nakano
45'Motoki Nishihara INChihiro Kato out
45'Shimon Kobayashi INKusini Yengi out
54'Shuto NakanoAssist: Naoto Arai
65'Yotaro Nakajima INTaishi Matsumoto out
65'Shun Ayukawa INTakuma Asano out
65'Kaito Taniguchi INShota Yamashita out
65'Jin Okumura INHayata Yamamoto out
77'Naoto Arai INSota Koshimichi out
77'Shunki Higashi INDaiki Suga out
81'Shota YamashitaFoul
83'Daiki SugaAssist: Kusini Yengi
86'Hayato Araki INRento Noguchi out

Lineups

Mito Hollyhock
3-4-2-1Coach: N. Mori
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Avg rating5.79
Avg rating7.10
J. Słowik6.127J. Słowik
Y. Kimoto5.915Y. Kimoto
K. Itakura6.517K. Itakura
Y. Tamura5.716Y. Tamura
T. Mase4.925T. Mase
T. Semba6.019T. Semba
K. Osaki5.13K. Osaki
M. Nishihara5.844M. Nishihara
K. Taniguchi5.522K. Taniguchi
J. Okumura5.830J. Okumura
Patryck Ferreira5.933P. Ferreira
K. Osako7.01K. Osako
S. Nakano8.415S. Nakano
H. Araki7.24H. Araki
Kim Ju-Sung7.337K. Ju-Sung
N. Arai7.75N. Arai
H. Kawabe7.06H. Kawabe
Y. Nakajima6.835Y. Nakajima
S. Higashi7.27S. Higashi
S. Kobayashi6.545S. Kobayashi
A. Suzuki7.810A. Suzuki
S. Ayukawa6.523S. Ayukawa

Mito Hollyhock Substitutes

20Y. Funabashi
38Leonardo Hugo
50R. Ieizumi6'for Yasuki Kimoto6.2
8C. Kato45'for Motoki Nishihara5.4
9R. Nemoto
34K. Nishikawa
29K. Tada25'for Patryck Ferreira6.1
39H. Yamamoto65'for Jin Okumura6.3
53Shota Yamashita65'for Kaito Taniguchi81'5.6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Substitutes

9K. Yengi45'for Shimon Kobayashi7.1
21Y. Tanaka
50Narumi Takahashi
18D. Suga77'for Shunki Higashi83'7.3
99I. Ouchi
46R. Noguchi86'for Hayato Araki6.6
14T. Matsumoto65'for Yotaro Nakajima6.9
32S. Koshimichi77'for Naoto Arai6.7
29T. Asano65'for Shun Ayukawa6.6

Match Stats

Mito HollyhockSanfrecce Hiroshima
23%Ball Possession77%
0Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
3Total Shots17
0Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal5
0Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots5
6Fouls6
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves0
265Total Passes883
187Passes Accurate794
6Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
1436Elo Rating 1695
0.41Attack 2.36
0.26Defense 1.14
14%Hit Rate 54%
6.9Shots per Game 18.6
2.0Shots on Target 5.3
2.6Corners per Game 8.6
0.6Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
3W0D7L
28/10/2026
Mito HollyhockCerezo Osaka
13
L
25/10/2026
FC TokyoMito Hollyhock
60
L
21/10/2026
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
20
L
17/10/2026
Mito HollyhockUrawa
01
L
14/10/2026
Mito HollyhockFC Tokyo
10
W
11/10/2026
Mito HollyhockShimizu S-pulse
12
L
29/09/2026
Fukushima UnitedMito Hollyhock
07
W
19/09/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
20
L
12/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
01
L
09/09/2026
Parceiro NaganoMito Hollyhock
1040
W
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
8W0D2L
28/10/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosSanfrecce Hiroshima
43
L
24/10/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-pulse
40
W
21/10/2026
V-varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima
40
L
17/10/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
30
W
14/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
W
11/10/2026
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
02
W
07/10/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaIwaki
40
W
29/09/2026
Tochigi CitySanfrecce Hiroshima
02
W
19/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
W
12/09/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka
61
W

Referee Profile

Koei Koya137 matches

2.63Cards per match
2.49Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koei Koya2.63
Other referees2.52

2.63 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.52).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1393131:8+2330WWDWW
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1392232:10+2229WWLWW
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1384130:10+2028DDWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1391329:19+1028WWDLW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382321:12+926WDLWL
6KashimaKashima1372429:22+723WLDWW
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1364327:22+522LWWWL
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1356220:14+621WDDDD
9UrawaUrawa1370621:27-621LWWWL
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1351715:21-616LLWLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1342715:21-614LDDWW
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1335513:23-1014LDDLD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1342710:22-1214LLLDW
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1334617:23-613WDDLL
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1333716:21-512LLWLD
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1326514:21-712DDWDL
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1325611:22-1111WWDLL
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1324715:24-910WDLDD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1323812:25-139LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka13211013:24-117LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1331:830
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1332:1029
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1330:1028
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1329:1928
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1321:1226
6KashimaKashima1329:2223
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1327:2222
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1320:1421
9UrawaUrawa1321:2721
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1315:2116
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1315:2114
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1313:2314
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1310:2214
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1317:2313
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1316:2112
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1314:2112
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1311:2211
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1315:2410
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1312:259
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1313:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mito Hollyhock and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League table

The table shows a wide gap: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2nd in the J1 League, while Mito Hollyhock sit 19th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Mito Hollyhock 12-25, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32-10. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mito Hollyhock and Sanfrecce Hiroshima have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.