Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse Prediction

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima·Futoshi Nakamura 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.39
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rest
2 days
Shimizu S-pulse Rest
2 days

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse: result, form and history

Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Shimizu S-pulse 4-0 in the J1 League on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Shimizu S-pulse.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Sanfrecce Hiroshima tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 4.2 for Shimizu S-pulse.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.39
X
19%4.78
2
12%7.40
Double Chance
1X
88%1.09
X2
31%2.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.76
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.94 + 0.84 = 2.78
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.58
Over 3.5
36%2.42
Under 1.5
20%4.80
Under 2.5
42%2.30
Under 3.5
64%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 2.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.41
Over 9.5
48%1.71
Over 10.5
37%2.13
Under 8.5
40%2.65
Under 9.5
52%2.02
Under 10.5
63%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.9 = 3
Over 3.5
36%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
64%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

17'Takumu Kawamura INHayao Kawabe out
27'Masaki Yumiba INKei Koizumi out
41'Taishi MatsumotoAssist: Daiki Suga
45'Mutsuki Kato INTakuma Asano out
45'Capixaba INTomoya Fujii out
49'Kosuke Kinoshita INOh Se-hun out
49'Taiki Hirato INKazuki Kozuka out
50'Takuma AsanoAssist: Daiki Suga
62'Ryo GermainFoul
69'Akito SuzukiAssist: Taishi Matsumoto
70'Akito Suzuki INKusini Yengi out
70'Daiki Suga INShunki Higashi out
75'Sodai HasukawaOG
82'Shun Ayukawa INShimon Kobayashi out
87'Yudai Shimamoto INRinsei Ohata out
90+3'Hayato ArakiFoul

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Shimizu S-pulse
4-3-3Coach: T. Yoshida
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating5.86
K. Osako6.51K. Osako
S. Nakano7.115S. Nakano
H. Araki7.84H. Araki
Kim Ju-Sung7.637K. Ju-Sung
N. Arai6.25N. Arai
T. Matsumoto9.014T. Matsumoto
T. Kawamura6.68T. Kawamura
D. Suga8.318D. Suga
M. Kato6.911M. Kato
A. Suzuki8.210A. Suzuki
S. Ayukawa6.323S. Ayukawa
T. Umeda5.516T. Umeda
H. Sugai5.524H. Sugai
Park Seung-Wook5.714P. Seung-Wook
S. Hasukawa4.94S. Hasukawa
Mateus Brunetti6.625M. Brunetti
Y. Shimamoto5.947Y. Shimamoto
M. Yumiba6.317M. Yumiba
T. Hirato5.418T. Hirato
R. Germain4.913R. Germain
K. Kinoshita6.419K. Kinoshita
Capixaba5.87Capixaba

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Substitutes

99I. Ouchi
9K. Yengi70'for Akito Suzuki6.4
29T. Asano45'for Mutsuki Kato50'7.7
7S. Higashi70'for Daiki Suga6.7
6H. Kawabe17'for Takumu Kawamura7.2
45S. Kobayashi82'for Shun Ayukawa6.9
32S. Koshimichi
35Y. Nakajima
46R. Noguchi

Shimizu S-pulse Substitutes

39Haruto Hidaka
37K. Koizumi27'for Masaki Yumiba6.2
81K. Kozuka49'for Taiki Hirato6.8
97R. Ohata87'for Yudai Shimamoto5.8
9Oh Se-Hun49'for Kosuke Kinoshita6.2
1Y. Oki
41Keigo Suzuki
28Y. Yoshida
50T. Fujii45'for Capixaba5.9

Match Stats

Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-pulse
59%Ball Possession41%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots3
16Fouls12
2Goalkeeper Saves3
515Total Passes356
414Passes Accurate270
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
1708Elo Rating 1483
2.11Attack 0.84
2.08Defense 0.00
77%Hit Rate 14%
17.3Shots per Game 9.2
5.1Shots on Target 3.0
7.8Corners per Game 4.2
1.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+225 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse4Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League11/04/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-pulse
5141
J1 League22/03/2026
Shimizu S-pulseSanfrecce Hiroshima
31
J1 League10/08/2025
Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-pulse
00
Emperor Cup06/08/2025
Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-pulse
30
J1 League26/02/2025
Shimizu S-pulseSanfrecce Hiroshima
11
J1 League03/09/2022
Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-pulse
20
J-League Cup18/05/2022
Shimizu S-pulseSanfrecce Hiroshima
21
J1 League29/04/2022
Shimizu S-pulseSanfrecce Hiroshima
22
J-League Cup26/03/2022
Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-pulse
12
J1 League20/11/2021
Shimizu S-pulseSanfrecce Hiroshima
10

Recent Form

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
8W0D2L
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
5W2D3L
21/10/2026
Shimizu S-pulseMachida Zelvia
05
L
17/10/2026
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
22
D
14/10/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse
21
L
11/10/2026
Mito HollyhockShimizu S-pulse
12
W
07/10/2026
Shimizu S-pulseV-varen Nagasaki
2111
W
29/09/2026
KanazawaShimizu S-pulse
02
W
19/09/2026
Shimizu S-pulseJEF United Chiba
21
W
12/09/2026
Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka
10
W
06/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
31
L
02/09/2026
Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
11
D

Referee Profile

Futoshi Nakamura169 matches

2.76Cards per match
2.64Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Futoshi Nakamura2.76
Other referees2.53

2.76 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.53).

Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd and Shimizu S-pulse 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29-10, Shimizu S-pulse 10-20. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.