Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction

Gamba Osaka
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita·Koichiro Fukushima 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Gamba Osaka Rest
2 days
Kyoto Sanga Rest
2 days

Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga: result, form and history

Gamba Osaka and Kyoto Sanga drew 2-2 in the J1 League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Koichiro Fukushima averages 1.36 cards a game, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.95
X
26%3.73
2
24%3.58
Double Chance
1X
76%1.28
X2
50%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.04 = 2.66
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.68
Over 3.5
34%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.10
Under 2.5
44%2.15
Under 3.5
66%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.46
Over 9.5
52%1.80
Over 10.5
41%2.28
Under 8.5
36%2.49
Under 9.5
48%1.93
Under 10.5
59%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.7 = 2.9
Over 3.5
32%-
Over 4.5
16%-
Under 3.5
68%-
Under 4.5
84%-

Match Events

31'Takashi Usami
32'Kyo SatoFoul
39'Haruki AraiAssist: Shimpei Fukuoka
45'Weverton Silva de Andrade INTakumi Kato out
53'Jun Ichimori
57'Koshiro Sumi INMasaaki Higashiguchi out
65'Issam Jebali
66'Tokuma Suzuki INShuto Abe out
66'Takashi Usami INShogo Sasaki out
69'Hiroto Morooka INRafael Papagaio out
69'Alex Souza INFuchi Honda out
75'Yusuke Ishida INMarco Túlio out
80'Kyo Sato INRyosuke Yamanaka out
90'Rin Mito INRyo Hatsuse out
90+1'Ryoya Yamashita INRyotaro Meshino out
90+2'Takumi Kato
90+7'Issam JebaliFoul

Lineups

Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Kyoto Sanga
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Popović
Avg rating6.17
Avg rating6.53
J. Ichimori4.422J. Ichimori
T. Kishimoto6.615T. Kishimoto
S. Nakatani6.04S. Nakatani
S. Fukuoka6.12S. Fukuoka
S. Nakano5.747S. Nakano
T. Suzuki6.216T. Suzuki
R. Mito6.527R. Mito
R. Yamashita6.317R. Yamashita
T. Usami7.67T. Usami
K. Sumi5.839K. Sumi
I. Jebali8.211I. Jebali
Halls6.790Halls
Weverton6.243Weverton
Y. Suzuki6.350Y. Suzuki
K. Nagata6.515K. Nagata
Y. Ishida6.440Y. Ishida
S. Fukuoka6.810S. Fukuoka
H. Morooka5.924H. Morooka
K. Sato6.144K. Sato
R. Nakano6.648R. Nakano
H. Arai6.977H. Arai
Alex Negueba6.317A. Negueba

Gamba Osaka Substitutes

41Y. Toshida
97Welton Felipe
13S. Abe66'for Tokuma Suzuki5.9
20E. Adams
28S. Fujiwara
21R. Hatsuse90'for Rin Mito
1M. Higashiguchi57'for Koshiro Sumi5.0
8R. Meshino90+1'for Ryoya Yamashita
67S. Sasaki66'for Takashi Usami6.1

Kyoto Sanga Substitutes

23T. Kato45'for Weverton Silva de Andrade90+2'8.2
11Marco Túlio75'for Yusuke Ishida6.7
1G. Ota
9Rafael Elias69'for Hiroto Morooka6.8
62T. Shichi
5H. Tawiah
60R. Yamanaka80'for Kyo Sato6.2
25Yoon Sung-Jun
99F. Honda69'for Alex Souza6.0

Match Stats

Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls15
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
379Total Passes429
273Passes Accurate327
15Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
1609Elo Rating 1548
1.87Attack 2.34
1.61Defense 1.12
34%Hit Rate 41%
16.0Shots per Game 14.7
5.7Shots on Target 6.4
6.1Corners per Game 5.5
1.5Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga3Wins · 30%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League29/04/2026
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
5141
J1 League04/04/2026
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
20
J1 League28/06/2025
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
31
J1 League29/04/2025
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
21
J1 League22/09/2024
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
22
J1 League03/04/2024
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
00
J1 League08/07/2023
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
10
J-League Cup24/05/2023
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
01
J1 League15/04/2023
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
21
J-League Cup08/03/2023
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
13

Recent Form

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
4W1D5L
21/10/2026
Avispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
12
W
17/10/2026
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
22
D
13/10/2026
Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka
13
W
09/10/2026
KashimaGamba Osaka
20
L
03/10/2026
Kashiwa ReysolGamba Osaka
5343
L
23/09/2026
Gamba OsakaTokushima Vortis
50
W
20/09/2026
Gamba OsakaVissel Kobe
01
L
15/09/2026
Gamba OsakaCông An Nhân Dân
41
W
12/09/2026
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
02
L
06/09/2026
JEF United ChibaGamba Osaka
20
L

Referee Profile

Koichiro Fukushima182 matches

1.36Cards per match
1.29Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koichiro Fukushima1.36
Other referees2.58

1.36 cards a match, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.58).

Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1393131:8+2330WWDWW
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1392232:10+2229WWLWW
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1384130:10+2028DDWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1391329:19+1028WWDLW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382321:12+926WDLWL
6KashimaKashima1372429:22+723WLDWW
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1364327:22+522LWWWL
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1356220:14+621WDDDD
9UrawaUrawa1370621:27-621LWWWL
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1351715:21-616LLWLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1342715:21-614LDDWW
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1335513:23-1014LDDLD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1342710:22-1214LLLDW
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1334617:23-613WDDLL
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1333716:21-512LLWLD
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1326514:21-712DDWDL
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1325611:22-1111WWDLL
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1324715:24-910WDLDD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1323812:25-139LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka13211013:24-117LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1331:830
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1332:1029
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1330:1028
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1329:1928
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1321:1226
6KashimaKashima1329:2223
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1327:2222
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1320:1421
9UrawaUrawa1321:2721
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1315:2116
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1315:2114
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1313:2314
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1310:2214
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1317:2313
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1316:2112
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1314:2112
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1311:2211
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1315:2410
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1312:259
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1313:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gamba Osaka and Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League table

Kyoto Sanga and Gamba Osaka are close in the J1 League table, 14th and 16th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Gamba Osaka 14-21, Kyoto Sanga 17-23. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.