Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 5
IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka 02/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Shimizu S-pulse Rest
4 days
FC Tokyo Rest
4 days
Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo: result, form and history
Shimizu S-pulse and FC Tokyo drew 1-1 in the J1 League on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. FC Tokyo tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 4.2 for Shimizu S-pulse.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
122%4.25
X26%3.45
252%1.82
Double Chance
1X48%1.91
X278%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.80
No37%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.42 = 2.84
Over 1.582%1.29
Over 2.555%1.95
Over 3.533%3.38
Under 1.518%3.27
Under 2.545%1.80
Under 3.567%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5.5 = 10.6
Over 8.564%1.41
Over 9.557%1.72
Over 10.542%2.10
Under 8.536%2.56
Under 9.543%2.00
Under 10.558%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.546%-
Over 4.531%-
Under 3.554%-
Under 4.569%-
Match Events
45'Yuto Tsuji INTomoya Fujii out
50'Soma AnzaiAssist: Motoki Nagakura
53'Kosuke Kinoshita
64'Ryo Germain INOh Se-hun out
71'Penalty cancelledSoma Anzai
77'Kosuke Kinoshita INKazuki Kozuka out
77'Marcelo INKein Sato out
77'Shion Homma INKota Tawaratsumida out
86'Takahiro Ko INKento Hashimoto out
89'Yudai Shimamoto INKanta Chiba out
Lineups
Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
4-4-2Coach: R. MatsuhashiAvg ratingAvg rating
16T. Umeda
24H. Sugai
3Y. Takahashi
51J. Sumiyoshi
28Y. Yoshida
47Y. Shimamoto
13R. Germain
17M. Yumiba
21K. Matsuzaki
19K. Kinoshita
38Y. Tsuji
81K. Seung-Gyu
22H. Ishihara
24A. Scholz
3M. Morishige
42K. Hashimoto
7S. Anzai
27K. Tokiwa
8T. Ko
19S. Homma
26M. Nagakura
9M. RyanShimizu S-pulse Substitutes
23K. Chiba89'for Yudai Shimamoto
50T. Fujii45'for Yuto Tsuji
4S. Hasukawa
81K. Kozuka77'for Kosuke Kinoshita
9Oh Se-Hun64'for Ryo Germain
97R. Ohata
1Y. Oki
70S. Takagi
7Capixaba
FC Tokyo Substitutes
33K. Tawaratsumida77'for Shion Homma
1H. Tanaka
39T. Nakagawa
5Y. Nagatomo
2S. Muroya
10K. Sato77'for Marcelo
4H. Inamura
18K. Hashimoto86'for Takahiro Ko
71F. Yamada
Match Stats
Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo 44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks3
8Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots7
13Fouls10
1Offsides5
4Goalkeeper Saves1
339Total Passes441
254Passes Accurate350
75%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo1483Elo Rating 1696
0.84Attack 2.82
0.00Defense 2.83
14%Hit Rate 61%
9.2Shots per Game 20.7
3.0Shots on Target 7.1
4.2Corners per Game 6.4
1.3Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
Game State Tendencies
Shimizu S-pulse- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC Tokyo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Shimizu S-pulse3Wins · 50%Draws117%
FC Tokyo2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%2.7Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6
Previous meetings
04/10/2025Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo11
29/04/2025FC TokyoShimizu S-pulse02
07/08/2022FC TokyoShimizu S-pulse02
25/05/2022Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo03
03/11/2021FC TokyoShimizu S-pulse40
26/05/2021Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo30
Recent Form
Shimizu S-pulse3W2D5L
29/08/2026Shimizu S-pulse
Kashiwa ReysolShimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse
Shimizu S-pulseKashiwa Reysol01
L26/08/2026Shimizu S-pulse
Osaka
Shimizu S-pulseOsaka2111
W22/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse
15/08/2026Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse10
LShimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos01
L08/08/2026Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse01
W18/07/2026
Karlsruher SCShimizu S-pulse
Karlsruher SCShimizu S-pulse11
D14/07/2026
PolessyaShimizu S-pulse
PolessyaShimizu S-pulse13
W06/06/2026Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse30
L31/05/2026Shimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos11
D24/05/2026Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka12
LFC Tokyo4W2D4L
29/08/2026
V-varen NagasakiFC TokyoFC Tokyo
JEF United ChibaFC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
V-varen NagasakiFC Tokyo03
W26/08/2026FC Tokyo
Parceiro Nagano
21/08/2026FC TokyoParceiro Nagano60
WFC TokyoJEF United Chiba20
W15/08/2026
Vissel KobeFC Tokyo
08/08/2026Vissel KobeFC Tokyo22
DFC TokyoMachida Zelvia15
L01/08/2026FC Tokyo
Borussia Dortmund
FC TokyoBorussia Dortmund01
L21/07/2026FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus21
W06/06/2026FC TokyoCerezo Osaka
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka13
L30/05/2026Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo
Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo22
D23/05/2026
KashimaFC Tokyo
KashimaFC Tokyo10
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31:8 | +23 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 29 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 28 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27:22 | +5 | 22 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | +6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 |  Urawa | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 14 | LDDWW |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 14 | LLLDW |
| 14 |  Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 | WDDLL |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 | LLWLD |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | DDWDL |
| 17 |  Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 11 | WWDLL |
| 18 | JEF United Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 10 | WDLDD |
| 19 |  Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 31:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 32:10 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 29:19 | 28 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 29:22 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa | 13 | 21:27 | 21 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 15:21 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 10:22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 13 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 13 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 18 | JEF United Chiba | 13 | 15:24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 13:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba 29/08/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama 29/08/26
- Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos 29/08/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima 29/08/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa 02/09/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol 02/09/26
- JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama 02/09/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale 02/09/26
About the Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Shimizu S-pulse and FC Tokyo in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, FC Tokyo are 1st and Shimizu S-pulse 13th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Shimizu S-pulse 10-22, FC Tokyo 31-8. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.