FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
FC Tokyo Rest
6 days
JEF United Chiba Rest
6 days
FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba: result, form and history
FC Tokyo beat JEF United Chiba 2-0 in the J1 League on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%1.50
X24%4.10
220%6.15
Double Chance
1X80%1.11
X244%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.90
No51%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.92 = 2.88
Over 1.581%1.25
Over 2.554%1.85
Over 3.534%3.00
Under 1.519%3.60
Under 2.546%1.93
Under 3.566%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.3 = 9.3
Over 8.560%1.47
Over 9.549%1.86
Over 10.536%2.30
Under 8.540%2.44
Under 9.551%1.85
Under 10.564%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.544%-
Over 4.527%-
Under 3.556%-
Under 4.573%-
Match Events
34'Shion HommaFoul
66'Masaru Hidaka INTakahiro Iida out
66'Kazuki Tanaka INMakoto Himeno out
67'Shion Homma INSoma Anzai out
67'Marcelo Ryan INTeruhito Nakagawa out
72'Takahiro Ko
79'Hayato Inamura INMasato Morishige out
79'Hirokazu Ishihara INKashif Bangnagande out
79'Takumi Tsukui INNaoki Tsubaki out
79'Taishi Taguchi INEduardo out
85'Soma AnzaiAssist: Teruhito Nakagawa
86'Indio INKen Yamura out
88'Takahiro Ko INKyota Tokiwa out
Lineups
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
4-4-2Coach: Yoshiyuki KobayashiAvg ratingAvg rating
81K. Seung-gyu
C2S. Muroya
24A. Scholz
4H. Inamura
22H. Ishihara
10K. Sato
18K. Hashimoto
8T. Ko
19S. Homma
9M. Ryan
26M. Nagakura
19J. Aurelio Suárez
39R. Ishio
66D. Hall
28T. Kawano
67M. Hidaka
7K. Tanaka
C4T. Taguchi
25Indio
8T. Tsukui
20D. Ishikawa
99ErisonFC Tokyo Substitutes
7Soma Anzai67'for Shion Homma85'
39Teruhito Nakagawa67'for Marcelo Ryan
6Kashif Bangnagande79'for Hirokazu Ishihara
3Masato Morishige79'for Hayato Inamura
27Kyota Tokiwa88'for Takahiro Ko
1Hayate Tanaka
15Rio Omori
71Fuki Yamada
25Tsuna Kominato
JEF United Chiba Substitutes
22Takahiro Iida66'for Masaru Hidaka
37Makoto Himeno66'for Kazuki Tanaka
14Naoki Tsubaki79'for Takumi Tsukui
6Eduardo79'for Taishi Taguchi
29Ken Yamura86'for Indio
23Ryota Suzuki
24Koji Toriumi
5Yusuke Kobayashi
9Hiroto Goya
Match Stats
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba 63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards0
22Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots2
11Fouls5
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
578Total Passes337
482Passes Accurate231
83%Pass Accuracy69%
Team Comparison
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba1685Elo Rating 1411
1.98Attack 1.02
2.81Defense 1.27
54%Hit Rate 0%
19.6Shots per Game 15.2
5.2Shots on Target 3.2
6.2Corners per Game 6.3
1.5Cards per Game 3.8
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+275 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
FC Tokyo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
JEF United Chiba- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
FC Tokyo1Wins · 34%Draws133%
JEF United Chiba1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
06/05/2026FC TokyoJEF United Chiba03
18/03/2026JEF United ChibaFC Tokyo12
10/07/2024FC TokyoJEF United Chiba1121
Recent Form
FC Tokyo3W2D5L
15/08/2026
Vissel KobeFC Tokyo
08/08/2026Vissel KobeFC Tokyo22
DFC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia15
L01/08/2026FC Tokyo
Borussia Dortmund
FC TokyoBorussia Dortmund01
L21/07/2026FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus21
W06/06/2026FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka13
L30/05/2026Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo
Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo22
D23/05/2026
KashimaFC Tokyo
KashimaFC Tokyo10
L16/05/2026
UrawaFC Tokyo
UrawaFC Tokyo90100
W10/05/2026FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
FC TokyoTokyo Verdy21
W06/05/2026FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba03
LJEF United Chiba1W2D7L
15/08/2026JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia
Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia04
L08/08/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba30
L01/08/2026JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United ChibaKashiwa Reysol0000
D06/06/2026JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United ChibaAvispa Fukuoka12
L30/05/2026Avispa FukuokaJEF United Chiba
Avispa FukuokaJEF United Chiba22
D23/05/2026Kashiwa ReysolJEF United Chiba
Kashiwa ReysolJEF United Chiba42
L17/05/2026JEF United ChibaKashima
JEF United ChibaKashima02
L10/05/2026JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia02
L06/05/2026FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba03
W02/05/2026UrawaJEF United Chiba
UrawaJEF United Chiba20
LReferee Profile
2.70Cards per match
2.58Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
2.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.53).
Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 29:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia 15/08/26
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga 15/08/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka 15/08/26
- Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki 21/08/26
- Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy 22/08/26
- Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock 22/08/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka 22/08/26
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale 22/08/26
About the FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Tokyo and JEF United Chiba in the J1 League table
The table shows a wide gap: FC Tokyo are 2nd in the J1 League, while JEF United Chiba sit 20th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Tokyo 27-8, JEF United Chiba 12-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.