Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima·Yuzo Sutani, Japan 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rest
7 days
Kawasaki Frontale Rest
7 days

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale: result, form and history

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale drew 1-1 in the J1 League on 22 Aug 2026. Sanfrecce Hiroshima had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for Kawasaki Frontale.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Yuzo Sutani averages 2.05 cards a game, 0.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.63
X
17%3.95
2
18%4.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.18
X2
35%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.60
No
48%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.17 + 0.94 = 3.11
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
55%1.61
Over 3.5
34%2.49
Under 1.5
18%4.60
Under 2.5
45%2.27
Under 3.5
66%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.47
Over 9.5
49%1.84
Over 10.5
36%2.36
Under 8.5
40%2.39
Under 9.5
51%1.85
Under 10.5
64%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

15'T. ShiotaniFoul
29'M. KatoAssist: S. Higashi
45+1'M. KatoFoul
46'T. Shiotani INN. Arai out
56'Y. Nakajima INT. Matsumoto out
56'S. Haller INT. Kawamura out
58'Y. YamamotoAssist: R. Yamahara
59'A. Sasaki INS. Miura out
59'T. Ito INY. Ozeki out
59'Marcinho INR. Osa out
72'L. RomanicFoul
73'L. Romanic INR. Homma out
81'K. Tachibanada INS. Kawahara out
83'M. Kato INS. Kobayashi out
90'H. Kawabe INT. Yamasaki out

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1Coach: Shigetoshi Hasebe
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.84
Issei Ouchi7.999I. Ouchi
Shiotani Tsukasa6.933S. Tsukasa
Hayato Araki7.04H. Araki
Sho SasakiC6.919S. Sasaki
Shuto Nakano6.715S. Nakano
Hayao Kawabe7.26H. Kawabe
Yotaro Nakajima7.235Y. Nakajima
Higashi Shunki7.77H. Shunki
Mutsuki Kato7.311M. Kato
Akito Suzuki5.910A. Suzuki
Sébastien Haller6.322S. Haller
Svend Brodersen7.249S. Brodersen
Reon Yamahara6.529R. Yamahara
Pedro Romano6.94P. Romano
Hiroto Taniguchi7.33H. Taniguchi
Asahi Sasaki6.35A. Sasaki
Kento Tachibanada6.98K. Tachibanada
Yuki Yamamoto8.36Y. Yamamoto
Tatsuya Ito6.317T. Ito
Yasuto WakizakaC6.714Y. Wakizaka
Marcinho7.323Marcinho
Lazar Romanić6.39L. Romanić

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Substitutes

5Arai Naoto46'for T. Shiotani6.9
8Takumu Kawamura56'for S. Haller6.3
14Taishi Matsumoto56'for Y. Nakajima6.9
45Shimon Kobayashi83'replaced by M. Kato6.3
3Taichi Yamasaki90'for H. Kawabe
1Keisuke Osako
16Takaaki Shichi
18Daiki Suga
23Shun Ayukawa

Kawasaki Frontale Substitutes

13Sota Miura59'for A. Sasaki6.9
16Yuto Ozeki59'for T. Ito6.6
34Ryuki Osa59'for Marcinho6.6
36Rin Homma73'for L. Romanic6.5
19So Kawahara81'for K. Tachibanada6.9
1Louis Yamaguchi
22Filip Uremović
18Kazuya Konno
20Kyosuke Mochiyama

Match Stats

Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
6Fouls10
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves6
536Total Passes425
472Passes Accurate357
88%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
1695Elo Rating 1671
2.36Attack 2.61
1.14Defense 2.24
54%Hit Rate 100%
18.6Shots per Game 10.5
5.3Shots on Target 4.5
8.6Corners per Game 3.0
1.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League06/06/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
J1 League30/05/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
21
J1 League30/11/2025
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
12
J1 League31/05/2025
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
12
J1 League29/06/2024
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
11
J1 League28/04/2024
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
22
J1 League19/08/2023
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
32
J1 League11/06/2023
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
10
J1 League10/09/2022
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
40
J1 League19/03/2022
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
02

Recent Form

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
9W0D1L
15/08/2026
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima
14
W
08/08/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba
30
W
28/07/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaVerspah Oita
40
W
14/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima
13
W
11/07/2026
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
41
L
06/06/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
W
30/05/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
21
W
23/05/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
42
W
17/05/2026
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
04
W
10/05/2026
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
W
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
3W3D4L
15/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga
22
D
09/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
11
D
16/07/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleVanraure Hachinohe
00
D
06/06/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
L
30/05/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
21
L
24/05/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
13
W
17/05/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
5141
W
10/05/2026
Kashiwa ReysolKawasaki Frontale
10
L
06/05/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
10
W
02/05/2026
FC TokyoKawasaki Frontale
20
L

Referee Profile

Yuzo Sutani24 matches

2.05Cards per match
1.84Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yuzo Sutani2.05
Other referees2.69

2.05 cards a match, 0.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.69).

Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1393131:8+2330WWDWW
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1392232:10+2229WWLWW
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1391329:19+1028WWDLW
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382321:12+926WDLWL
6KashimaKashima1372429:22+723WLDWW
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1364327:22+522LWWWL
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1356220:14+621WDDDD
9UrawaUrawa1370621:27-621LWWWL
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1351715:21-616LLWLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1342715:21-614LDDWW
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1335513:23-1014LDDLD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1342710:22-1214LLLDW
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1334617:23-613WDDLL
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1323812:25-139LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1331:830
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1332:1029
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1329:1928
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1321:1226
6KashimaKashima1329:2223
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1327:2222
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1320:1421
9UrawaUrawa1321:2721
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1315:2116
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1315:2114
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1313:2314
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1310:2214
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1317:2313
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1312:259
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2nd and Kawasaki Frontale 7th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32-10, Kawasaki Frontale 27-22. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kawasaki Frontale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.