Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction

Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo·Takafumi Mikuriya, Japan 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Tokyo Verdy Rest
64 days
Kawasaki Frontale Rest
24 days

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale: result, form and history

Tokyo Verdy and Kawasaki Frontale drew 1-1 in the J1 League on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 7 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.17
X
30%3.17
2
43%2.33
Double Chance
1X
57%1.58
X2
73%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.86
No
50%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.23 = 2.32
Over 1.5
61%1.38
Over 2.5
40%2.20
Over 3.5
25%4.00
Under 1.5
39%2.85
Under 2.5
60%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.6 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.53
Over 9.5
48%1.88
Over 10.5
37%2.41
Under 8.5
42%2.31
Under 9.5
52%1.80
Under 10.5
63%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

46'S. MizoguchiAssist: I. Someno
61'K. Mochiyama INL. Romanic out
61'K. Konno INMarcinho out
64'Y. Matsuhashi INS. Nakayama out
64'K. Suzuki INR. Inoue out
68'T. ItoFoul
73'S. Meshino INI. Kumatoriya out
76'K. Tachibanada INA. Sasaki out
76'S. Miura INY. Ozeki out
80'Y. Fukuda INY. Arai out
80'S. Mizoguchi INR. Shirai out
86'Y. Yamamoto INT. Miyagi out
90+6'L. Romanic

Lineups

Tokyo Verdy
3-4-2-1Coach: Jofuku Hiroshi
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1Coach: Shigetoshi Hasebe
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.76
Matheus Vidotto7.21M. Vidotto
Kaito Suzuki6.915K. Suzuki
Naoki HayashiC6.64N. Hayashi
Kazuya Miyahara6.66K. Miyahara
Yosuke Uchida7.022Y. Uchida
Rei Hirakawa6.516R. Hirakawa
Soma Meshino6.920S. Meshino
Shuhei Mizoguchi7.218S. Mizoguchi
Yuan Matsuhashi6.77Y. Matsuhashi
Yuya Fukuda6.914Y. Fukuda
Itsuki Someno7.59I. Someno
Svend Brodersen6.649S. Brodersen
Reon Yamahara6.729R. Yamahara
Pedro Romano6.74P. Romano
Hiroto Taniguchi7.33H. Taniguchi
Sota Miura6.513S. Miura
Kento Tachibanada6.98K. Tachibanada
Yuki Yamamoto7.36Y. Yamamoto
Kazuya Konno6.218K. Konno
Yasuto WakizakaC6.614Y. Wakizaka
Tatsuya Ito6.717T. Ito
Kyosuke Mochiyama6.020K. Mochiyama

Tokyo Verdy Substitutes

5Inoue Ryota64'for K. Suzuki6.5
24Shion Nakayama64'for Y. Matsuhashi6.7
25Issei Kumatoriya73'for S. Meshino6.7
40Yuta Arai80'for Y. Fukuda6.7
27Ryosuke Shirai80'for S. Mizoguchi6.3
21Yuya Nagasawa
29Maaya Sako
28Joi Yamamoto
45Shimon Teranuma

Kawasaki Frontale Substitutes

23Marcinho61'for K. Konno6.5
9Lazar Romanić61'for K. Mochiyama90+6'7.3
5Asahi Sasaki76'for K. Tachibanada7.3
16Yuto Ozeki76'for S. Miura6.9
24Ten Miyagi86'for Y. Yamamoto6.7
1Louis Yamaguchi
22Filip Uremović
34Ryuki Osa
19So Kawahara

Match Stats

Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
31%Ball Possession69%
4Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal8
11Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls9
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
290Total Passes642
208Passes Accurate559
72%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
1464Elo Rating 1649
1.27Attack 2.68
1.16Defense 1.94
27%Hit Rate 83%
8.3Shots per Game 12.7
3.3Shots on Target 5.1
3.3Corners per Game 3.3
1.8Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy2Wins · 29%
Draws228%
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale3Wins · 43%
2.0Avg Goals
14%Both teams scored1 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

J1 League06/05/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
10
J1 League18/03/2026
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
02
J1 League29/06/2025
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
10
J1 League20/04/2025
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
00
J1 League30/11/2024
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
45
J1 League20/04/2024
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
00
Emperor Cup22/06/2022
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
01

Recent Form

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
4W1D5L
06/06/2026
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka
24
L
30/05/2026
Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy
11
D
24/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyYokohama F. Marinos
06
L
16/05/2026
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy
01
W
13/05/2026
Machida ZelviaTokyo Verdy
4020
L
10/05/2026
FC TokyoTokyo Verdy
21
L
06/05/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
10
L
03/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
10
W
29/04/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashima
21
W
18/04/2026
Tokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
10
W
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
4W1D5L
16/07/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleVanraure Hachinohe
00
D
06/06/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
L
30/05/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
21
L
24/05/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
13
W
17/05/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
5141
W
10/05/2026
Kashiwa ReysolKawasaki Frontale
10
L
06/05/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
10
W
02/05/2026
FC TokyoKawasaki Frontale
20
L
29/04/2026
UrawaKawasaki Frontale
20
L
25/04/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba
21
W

Referee Profile

Takafumi Mikuriya131 matches

2.34Cards per match
2.23Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Takafumi Mikuriya2.34
Other referees2.68

2.34 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.68).

Cards come from 64 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tokyo Verdy and Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kawasaki Frontale are 6th and Tokyo Verdy 18th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Tokyo Verdy 9-21, Kawasaki Frontale 25-18. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kawasaki Frontale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.