Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction

Kyoto Sanga
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Mito Hollyhock
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka·Harm Osmers, Germany 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.37
SignalSTRONGModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
Kyoto Sanga Rest
7 days
Mito Hollyhock Rest
7 days

Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock: result, form and history

Mito Hollyhock beat Kyoto Sanga 3-1 in the J1 League on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.07
X
29%3.30
2
30%3.50
Double Chance
1X
70%1.28
X2
59%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.87
No
37%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.25 = 2.82
Over 1.5
80%1.37
Over 2.5
53%2.15
Over 3.5
33%4.00
Under 1.5
20%2.90
Under 2.5
47%1.67
Under 3.5
67%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
60%1.50
Over 9.5
49%1.89
Over 10.5
36%2.44
Under 8.5
40%2.31
Under 9.5
51%1.80
Under 10.5
64%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

17'T. MaseAssist: Y. Funabashi
31'Y. KimotoAssist: Y. Funabashi
46'T. Hirato INEverton Maceio out
46'Weverton INK. Nagata out
63'A. Watanabe INC. Kato out
68'C. KatoAssist: T. Semba
73'K. Sato INR. Yamanaka out
73'H. Arai INS. Nagasawa out
77'K. Uchino INH. Yamamoto out
77'Y. Torikai INR. Nemoto out
82'R. NakanoAssist: S. Nagasawa
85'Y. Funabashi INS. Yamashita out
86'K. Taniguchi INA. Kawazura out
86'Joao Pedro INF. Honda out

Lineups

Kyoto Sanga
4-2-3-1Coach: Ranko Popovic
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2Coach: Daisuke Kimori
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.89
Gakuji Ota6.21G. Ota
Shinnosuke Fukuda6.22S. Fukuda
Weverton6.543Weverton
Yoshinori Suzuki7.550Y. Suzuki
Kyo Sato6.344K. Sato
João Pedro6.66J. Pedro
Sung-jun Yoon6.725S. Yoon
Ryuma Nakano7.548R. Nakano
Taiki Hirato6.339T. Hirato
Haruki Arai6.377H. Arai
Rafael EliasC6.79R. Elias
Konosuke Nishikawa7.334K. Nishikawa
Takumi Mase7.625T. Mase
Yasuki Kimoto7.915Y. Kimoto
Kenta Itakura7.217K. Itakura
Sho Omori6.67S. Omori
Yoshiki Torikai6.911Y. Torikai
Taishi Semba7.319T. Semba
Yu Funabashi7.920Y. Funabashi
Kaito Taniguchi6.722K. Taniguchi
Kotaro Uchino5.618K. Uchino
Arata WatanabeC6.710A. Watanabe

Kyoto Sanga Substitutes

15Kodai Nagata46'for Weverton7.6
38Maceió46'for T. Hirato6.9
60Ryosuke Yamanaka73'for K. Sato7.0
93Shun Nagasawa73'for H. Arai6.6
99Fuchi Honda86'for Joao Pedro6.7
21Kentaro Kakoi
5Hisashi Appiah Tawiah
10Shimpei Fukuoka
23Takumi Kato

Mito Hollyhock Substitutes

8Chihiro Kato63'for A. Watanabe68'7.2
39Yamamota Hayata77'for K. Uchino6.2
9Ryo Nemoto77'for Y. Torikai6.2
53Shota Yamashita85'for Y. Funabashi6.3
4Akinari Kawazura86'for K. Taniguchi6.6
21Shuhei Matsubara
50Rei Ieizumi
87Kishin Gokita
33Patryck Ferreira

Match Stats

Kyoto SangaMito Hollyhock
58%Ball Possession42%
1Corner Kicks7
15Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots7
9Fouls4
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
555Total Passes401
460Passes Accurate324
83%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
1520Elo Rating 1460
1.16Attack 1.35
1.28Defense 1.90
17%Hit Rate 34%
10.2Shots per Game 4.9
3.3Shots on Target 2.1
3.5Corners per Game 2.6
1.1Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

J2 League22/08/2021
Mito HollyhockKyoto Sanga
02
J2 League16/05/2021
Kyoto SangaMito Hollyhock
10

Recent Form

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
2W1D7L
15/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga
22
D
09/08/2026
V-varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga
21
L
17/07/2026
Kyoto SangaShonan Bellmare
14
L
06/06/2026
Kashiwa ReysolKyoto Sanga
01
W
30/05/2026
Kyoto SangaKashiwa Reysol
26
L
23/05/2026
Kyoto SangaV-varen Nagasaki
10
W
17/05/2026
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
04
L
13/05/2026
Vissel KobeKyoto Sanga
10
L
10/05/2026
Nagoya GrampusKyoto Sanga
30
L
06/05/2026
Avispa FukuokaKyoto Sanga
5141
L
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
1W1D8L
15/08/2026
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
11
D
08/08/2026
Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
21
L
06/06/2026
Mito HollyhockV-varen Nagasaki
01
L
30/05/2026
V-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
10
L
24/05/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
13
L
16/05/2026
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy
01
L
09/05/2026
Mito HollyhockUrawa
14
L
06/05/2026
KashimaMito Hollyhock
30
L
02/05/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
1131
W
29/04/2026
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
3242
L

Referee Profile

Harm Osmers197 matches

4.38Cards per match
4.17Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Harm Osmers4.38
Other referees4.30

4.38 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 189 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League table

Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock are close in the J1 League table, 16th and 17th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Kyoto Sanga 15-23, Mito Hollyhock 12-22. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.