Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 5
Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka 02/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
2.02
SignalNEUTRALModel39%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
Cerezo Osaka Rest
4 days
Kashiwa Reysol Rest
4 days
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol: the result in context
Cerezo Osaka beat Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 in the J1 League on 2 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Kashiwa Reysol had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Cerezo Osaka.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%3.30
X29%3.54
235%2.10
Double Chance
1X65%1.69
X264%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.61
No52%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.18 = 2.57
Over 1.567%1.23
Over 2.545%1.76
Over 3.525%2.83
Under 1.533%3.92
Under 2.555%2.02
Under 3.575%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.9 = 9.5
Over 8.561%1.41
Over 9.550%1.70
Over 10.537%2.09
Under 8.539%2.60
Under 9.550%2.00
Under 10.563%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.536%-
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.564%-
Match Events
20'Solomon SakuragawaAssist: Hayato Okuda
42'Jackson IrvineTime wasting
45'Yuki Kakita INMao Hosoya out
45'Hinata Yamauchi INYusuke Segawa out
45'Koki Kumasaka INYudai Konishi out
55'Keita Endo INKenshin Yuba out
56'Shinji Kagawa INKosei Okazawa out
56'Thiago Andrade INYumeki Yokoyama out
68'Solomon Sakuragawa(Penalty)
69'Yoshio Koizumi INKoya Yuruki out
79'Ricardo Rodríguez SuárezDissent
80'Solomon Sakuragawa INPablo Sabbag out
Lineups
Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
3-4-2-1Coach: Ricardo RodríguezAvg ratingAvg rating
23K. Nakamura
27D. Cools
44S. Hatanaka
4R. Inoue
16H. Okuda
36J. Irvine
10S. Tanaka
66A. Ohata
8S. Kagawa
11T. Andrade
9S. Sakuragawa
25R. Kojima
42W. Harada
4T. Koga
26D. Sugioka
24T. Kubo
27K. Kumasaka
39N. Nakagawa
5K. Endo
8Y. Koizumi
87H. Yamauchi
18Y. KakitaCerezo Osaka Substitutes
31K. Abe
45K. Nagasoe
2T. Nakamura
6K. Noborizato
28K. Okazawa56'for Shinji Kagawa
19P. Sabbag80'for Solomon Sakuragawa
97T. Takahashi
7S. Uejo
14Y. Yokoyama56'for Thiago Andrade
Kashiwa Reysol Substitutes
16K. Yuruki69'for Yoshio Koizumi
44K. Yuba55'for Keita Endo
77T. Wakahara
20Y. Segawa45'for Hinata Yamauchi
2H. Mitsumaru
21Y. Konishi45'for Koki Kumasaka
9M. Hosoya45'for Yuki Kakita
40R. Harakawa
88S. Baba
Match Stats
Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol 48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots2
5Fouls4
1Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves1
472Total Passes506
378Passes Accurate424
80%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol1591Elo Rating 1661
1.59Attack 2.39
1.42Defense 1.43
34%Hit Rate 58%
10.5Shots per Game 13.0
3.2Shots on Target 4.9
2.7Corners per Game 4.3
3.7Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cerezo Osaka- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Kashiwa Reysol- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cerezo Osaka2Wins · 20%Draws550%
Kashiwa Reysol3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%1.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10
Previous meetings
20/09/2025Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol11
26/02/2025Kashiwa ReysolCerezo Osaka21
28/09/2024Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol00
03/04/2024Kashiwa ReysolCerezo Osaka11
12/08/2023Kashiwa ReysolCerezo Osaka11
23/04/2023Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol10
08/10/2022Kashiwa ReysolCerezo Osaka00
05/04/2022Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol01
07/11/2021Kashiwa ReysolCerezo Osaka10
27/02/2021Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol20
Recent Form
Cerezo Osaka7W1D2L
29/08/2026
Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka
Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka10
L26/08/2026Cerezo Osaka
FC Gifu
Cerezo OsakaFC Gifu31
W22/08/2026Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
15/08/2026Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse10
W
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka30
L08/08/2026Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama21
W29/07/2026Cerezo Osaka
Borussia Dortmund
Cerezo OsakaBorussia Dortmund10
W15/07/2026Cerezo Osaka
Tochigi City
Cerezo OsakaTochigi City10
W06/06/2026
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka13
W30/05/2026Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo
Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo22
D24/05/2026Fagiano OkayamaCerezo Osaka
Fagiano OkayamaCerezo Osaka23
WKashiwa Reysol8W1D1L
29/08/2026Shimizu S-pulseKashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
Shimizu S-pulseKashiwa Reysol01
W26/08/2026Kashiwa Reysol
Senshu University
21/08/2026Kashiwa ReysolSenshu University21
WKashiwa ReysolV-varen Nagasaki42
W14/08/2026Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol13
W08/08/2026Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock21
W01/08/2026
JEF United ChibaKashiwa Reysol
JEF United ChibaKashiwa Reysol0000
D06/06/2026Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa ReysolKyoto Sanga01
L30/05/2026Kyoto SangaKashiwa Reysol
Kyoto SangaKashiwa Reysol26
W23/05/2026Kashiwa ReysolJEF United Chiba
Kashiwa ReysolJEF United Chiba42
W16/05/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. MarinosKashiwa Reysol01
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 |  Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 29:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba 29/08/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama 29/08/26
- Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos 29/08/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima 29/08/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa 02/09/26
- JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama 02/09/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale 02/09/26
- Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima 02/09/26
About the Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol forecast
The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cerezo Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Kashiwa Reysol are 4th and Cerezo Osaka 12th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Cerezo Osaka 12-19, Kashiwa Reysol 25-19. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Kashiwa Reysol have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.