Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction

J1 LeagueJapan Japan · Regular Season - 4
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Fagiano Okayama
Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 29/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
2-1
Finished
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap-0.4%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.97
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap+11.1%
Nagoya Grampus Rest
3 days
Fagiano Okayama Rest
3 days

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: result, form and history

Nagoya Grampus beat Fagiano Okayama 2-1 in the J1 League on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.2 goals a game across 5 matches. Fagiano Okayama tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.9 for Nagoya Grampus.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.50
X
28%3.35
2
31%2.72
Double Chance
1X
69%1.43
X2
59%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.69
No
37%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.43 = 2.71
Over 1.5
74%1.28
Over 2.5
55%1.93
Over 3.5
33%3.25
Under 1.5
26%3.44
Under 2.5
45%1.85
Under 3.5
67%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
61%1.41
Over 9.5
50%1.72
Over 10.5
37%2.15
Under 8.5
39%2.60
Under 9.5
50%2.00
Under 10.5
63%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
28%-
Over 4.5
20%-
Under 3.5
72%-
Under 4.5
80%-

Match Events

38'Yoshitake SuzukiAssist: Lucas Marcos Meireles
40'Penalty confirmedRyuji Izumi
43'Sho Inagaki(Penalty)
60'Na Sang-HoFoul
62'Na Sang-Ho INLéo Gaúcho out
66'Yuya AsanoFoul
67'Yuya YamagishiFoul
70'Yuki Nogami INYota Sato out
70'Léo GaúchoFoul
76'Lucas Marcos Meireles INKota Kawano out
76'Ataru Esaka INKamiya Yuta out
83'Ryuji Izumi INKensuke Nagai out
83'Towa Yamane INNoah Kenshin Browne out
83'Yoshitake Suzuki INIkedo Shu out
83'Yuya Yamagishi INHidemasa Koda out
86'Eiji MiyamotoFoul
90+1'Katsuhiro Nakayama

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1Coach: Michael Petrovic
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1Coach: Takashi Kiyama
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.18
A. Pisano6.735A. Pisano
Y. Nogami6.32Y. Nogami
H. Fujii6.413H. Fujii
S. Tokumoto7.455S. Tokumoto
Y. Asano6.29Y. Asano
S. Inagaki7.215S. Inagaki
T. Takamine6.631T. Takamine
K. Nakayama7.527K. Nakayama
R. Izumi5.87R. Izumi
Y. Kimura6.322Y. Kimura
Y. Yamagishi6.411Y. Yamagishi
L. Moser5.81L. Moser
H. Omori6.36H. Omori
Y. Tatsuta5.548Y. Tatsuta
Y. Suzuki7.543Y. Suzuki
K. Shirai6.151K. Shirai
E. Miyamoto6.041E. Miyamoto
Oberdan6.580Oberdan
T. Yamane6.488T. Yamane
Na Sang-Ho6.610N. Sang-Ho
A. Esaka5.28A. Esaka
Lucão6.699Lucão

Nagoya Grampus Substitutes

33T. Kikuchi
19H. Koda83'for Yuya Yamagishi6.5
58T. Koyamatsu
37Harumu Kubo
18K. Nagai83'for Ryuji Izumi6.8
41M. Ono
3Y. Sato70'for Yuki Nogami6.7
30S. Sugiura
16Y. Takeda

Fagiano Okayama Substitutes

18D. Tagami
26H. Motoyama
13Shun Matsuda
9Léo Gaúcho62'for Na Sang-Ho70'6.1
20K. Kawano76'for Lucas Marcos Meireles6.4
33Y. Kamiya76'for Ataru Esaka6.3
24I. Fujita
79N. Browne83'for Towa Yamane6.0
5I. Shu83'for Yoshitake Suzuki5.7

Match Stats

Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama
65%Ball Possession35%
6Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots6
10Fouls17
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
485Total Passes260
391Passes Accurate187
81%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
1562Elo Rating 1553
1.61Attack 1.37
1.72Defense 1.10
17%Hit Rate 23%
15.3Shots per Game 15.0
4.8Shots on Target 3.5
3.9Corners per Game 6.5
0.7Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2Wins · 40%
Draws360%
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama0Wins · 0%
1.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
0%3+ goals0 of 5

Previous meetings

J1 League29/04/2026
Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama
4151
J1 League01/03/2026
Fagiano OkayamaNagoya Grampus
5141
J1 League13/09/2025
Fagiano OkayamaNagoya Grampus
01
J1 League06/05/2025
Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama
00
Emperor Cup02/08/2021
Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama
10

Recent Form

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
1W1D8L
26/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusGainare Tottori
13
L
22/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
31
W15/08/2026
KashimaNagoya Grampus
21
L08/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse
01
L
25/07/2026
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus
10
L
21/07/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
21
L
06/06/2026
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
2010
L
30/05/2026
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
22
D
23/05/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
42
L
17/05/2026
Cerezo OsakaNagoya Grampus
61
L
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
4W2D4L
26/08/2026
Fagiano OkayamaBeluga Rosso Iwami
30
W
22/08/2026
Fagiano OkayamaTokyo Verdy
00
D
15/08/2026
Fagiano OkayamaV-varen Nagasaki
10
W
08/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
21
L
25/07/2026
FC Schalke 04Fagiano Okayama
31
L
22/07/2026
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama
20
L
21/07/2026
Metalist 1925 KharkivFagiano Okayama
12
W
14/07/2026
SV WehenFagiano Okayama
20
L
06/06/2026
UrawaFagiano Okayama
02
W
31/05/2026
Fagiano OkayamaUrawa
11
D

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1393131:8+2330WWDWW
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1392232:10+2229WWLWW
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1384130:10+2028DDWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1391329:19+1028WWDLW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382321:12+926WDLWL
6KashimaKashima1372429:22+723WLDWW
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1364327:22+522LWWWL
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1356220:14+621WDDDD
9UrawaUrawa1370621:27-621LWWWL
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1351715:21-616LLWLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1342715:21-614LDDWW
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1335513:23-1014LDDLD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1342710:22-1214LLLDW
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1334617:23-613WDDLL
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1333716:21-512LLWLD
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1326514:21-712DDWDL
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1325611:22-1111WWDLL
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1324715:24-910WDLDD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1323812:25-139LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka13211013:24-117LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1331:830
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1332:1029
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1330:1028
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1329:1928
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1321:1226
6KashimaKashima1329:2223
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1327:2222
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1320:1421
9UrawaUrawa1321:2721
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1315:2116
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1315:2114
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1313:2314
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1310:2214
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1317:2313
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1316:2112
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1314:2112
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1311:2211
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1315:2410
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1312:259
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1313:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

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About the Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League table

Fagiano Okayama and Nagoya Grampus are close in the J1 League table, 10th and 11th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Nagoya Grampus 15-21, Fagiano Okayama 15-21. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.