Molde vs Brann Prediction

Molde
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Brann
Aker Stadion, Molde·Marius Lien, Norway 18/07/2026
MoldeMolde
1-2
Finished
BrannBrann

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+13.6%
Molde Rest
7 days
Brann Rest
6 days

Molde vs Brann: the result in context

Brann beat Molde 2-1 in the Eliteserien on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Molde have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Referee Marius Lien averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.10
X
26%3.80
2
31%3.05
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
57%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.40
No
43%2.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.32 = 2.86
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
57%1.45
Over 3.5
30%2.13
Under 1.5
19%5.25
Under 2.5
43%2.57
Under 3.5
70%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.6 = 10.4
Over 8.5
67%1.30
Over 9.5
55%1.50
Over 10.5
46%1.85
Under 8.5
33%3.15
Under 9.5
45%2.34
Under 10.5
54%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

8'D. De Roeve
20'S. Kabini
35'V. Hoff IND. Daga out
35'K. EriksenAssist: U. Mathisen
45+2'M. Lovik
46'O. Spiten-Nysaeter INS. Diop out
46'I. Amundsen INB. Risa out
54'K. Eriksen
63'N. Holm INJ. Sorensen out
63'D. De Roeve INV. Dragsnes out
63'K. M. Ingason INN. Castro out
69'U. Mathisen INS. Magnusson out
76'M. Lovik INV. Bender out
78'S. Hansen
82'J. Abdullai INT. Kone-Doherty out
83'N. Wassberg INB. Finne out
83'V. Bender
88'S. DiopAssist: E. Breivik

Lineups

Molde
4-2-3-1Coach: Sindre Tjelmeland
Brann
4-3-3Coach: Eirik Horneland
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.91
Albert Posiadała6.322A. Posiadała
Mathias Løvik6.58M. Løvik
Sivert Sira Hansen6.94S. Sira Hansen
Isak Helstad Amundsen6.06I. Helstad Amundsen
Samukelo Kabini7.026S. Kabini
Emil BreivikC7.910E. Breivik
Vebjørn Hoff6.515V. Hoff
Eirik Hestad7.95E. Hestad
Sondre Milian Granaas7.223S. Milian Granaas
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter6.221O. Spiten-Nysæter
Jalal Abdullai6.39J. Abdullai
Mathias Dyngeland7.01M. Dyngeland
Denzel De Roeve7.621D. De Roeve
Fredrik Pallesen KnudsenC7.03F. Pallesen Knudsen
Thore Pedersen6.923T. Pedersen
Joachim Soltvedt7.717J. Soltvedt
Kristian Eriksen7.316K. Eriksen
Niklas Jensen Wassberg6.925N. Jensen Wassberg
Felix Horn Myhre7.08F. Horn Myhre
Ulrik Mathisen7.314U. Mathisen
Noah Jean Holm6.329N. Jean Holm
Kristall Máni Ingason6.610K. Máni Ingason

Molde Substitutes

30Daniel Daga35'for V. Hoff6.6
33Birk Risa46'for I. Amundsen7.0
29Seydina Mohamed Diop
28Viktor Bender76'for M. Lovik83'6.7
24Trent Kone Doherty82'for J. Abdullai6.3
12Peder Hoel Lervik
19Eirik Haugan
20Mads Enggård
11Caleb Zady Sery

Brann Substitutes

20Vetle Dragsnes63'for D. De Roeve6.3
18Jacob Lungi Sørensen63'for N. Holm6.7
9Niklas Castro63'for K. M. Ingason6.7
22Sævar Atli Magnússon69'for U. Mathisen6.9
11Bård Finne83'for N. Wassberg6.3
12Simen Vidtun Nilsen
15Jonas Torsvik
6Cheick Mbacke Diop
32Markus Haaland

Match Stats

MoldeBrann
47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots4
13Fouls15
0Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
495Total Passes582
417Passes Accurate490
84%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

MoldeMolde
BrannBrann
1738Elo Rating 1707
3.87Attack 2.22
1.69Defense 1.48
69%Hit Rate 61%
20.8Shots per Game 18.6
10.6Shots on Target 6.9
6.2Corners per Game 8.7
2.3Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MoldeMolde
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BrannBrann
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

MoldeMolde7Wins · 88%
Draws00%
BrannBrann1Wins · 12%
3.3Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8

Previous meetings

Eliteserien22/11/2025
MoldeBrann
40
Eliteserien29/05/2025
BrannMolde
03
Eliteserien23/11/2024
MoldeBrann
21
Eliteserien26/05/2024
BrannMolde
13
Eliteserien21/10/2023
BrannMolde
32
Eliteserien09/07/2023
MoldeBrann
20
Eliteserien28/11/2021
BrannMolde
01
Eliteserien16/05/2021
MoldeBrann
40

Recent Form

MoldeMolde
5W1D4L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
05/07/2026
RosenborgMolde
21
L
28/06/2026
MoldeBodo/Glimt
14
L
21/06/2026
MoldeKFUM Oslo
51
W
30/05/2026
MoldeSandefjord
21
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
L
16/05/2026
MoldeKristiansund BK
10
W
10/05/2026
TromsoMolde
20
L
04/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtMolde
01
W
26/04/2026
MoldeValerenga
51
W
BrannBrann
5W0D5L
12/07/2026
BrannStart
21
W
03/07/2026
BrannKristiansund BK
12
L
26/06/2026
Aarhus FremadBrann
12
W
29/05/2026
BrannSarpsborg 08 FF
12
L
24/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtBrann
31
L
20/05/2026
AalesundBrann
21
L
16/05/2026
BrannKFUM Oslo
21
W
09/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtBrann
4222
L
02/05/2026
BrannFredrikstad
31
W
29/04/2026
TromsoBrann
05
W

Referee Profile

Marius Lien117 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.50Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Lien2.65
Other referees3.41

2.65 cards a match, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.41).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Molde vs Brann forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Molde and Brann in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Molde are 3rd and Brann 9th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Molde 57-36, Brann 42-40. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Molde have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.