Viking vs Sandefjord Prediction

Viking
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sandefjord
Lyse Arena, Stavanger·Ola Hobber Nilsen, Norway 18/07/2026
VikingViking
2-1
Finished
SandefjordSandefjord

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.89
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Viking Rest
5 days
Sandefjord Rest
6 days

Viking vs Sandefjord: result, form and history

Viking beat Sandefjord 2-1 in the Eliteserien on 18 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Viking had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sandefjord.

Viking have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game. Viking tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.0 for Sandefjord.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.25
X
16%6.00
2
8%9.50
Double Chance
1X
92%1.06
X2
24%3.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.67
No
46%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.42 + 0.94 = 3.36
Over 1.5
91%1.10
Over 2.5
74%1.36
Over 3.5
43%1.88
Under 1.5
9%6.15
Under 2.5
26%3.00
Under 3.5
57%1.89
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.3 + 3.2 = 10.5
Over 8.5
67%1.17
Over 9.5
55%1.34
Over 10.5
46%1.61
Under 8.5
33%3.50
Under 9.5
45%2.86
Under 10.5
54%2.15
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.8 = 4.2
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

9'Z. Tripic(Penalty)
45+3'K. Askildsen
45+4'M. Melchior
46'H. Falchener INA. Baertelsen out
54'E. Patoulidis
59'N. Fuglestad INE. Austbo out
61'Z. Tripic
66'B. Berntsen
68'B. Berntsen INJ. Dunsby out
68'N. Moller INS. Mathisen out
75'S. Mathisen
75'K. Askildsen INO. Visted out
75'T. Moi INJ. Bell out
79'E. Austbo
79'E. Austbo
80'E. Patoulidis INM. Sauer out
89'F. Pedersen INR. Holten out
90+1'Z. Tripic INH. J. Haugen out

Lineups

Viking
4-1-4-1Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim
Sandefjord
4-1-4-1Coach: Andreas Tegstrom
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.73
Ľubomír Belko6.630Ľ. Belko
Henrik Heggheim7.25H. Heggheim
Gianni Stensness7.26G. Stensness
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener6.925H. Sælebakke Falchener
Kristoffer Haugen6.728K. Haugen
Tobias Moi6.329T. Moi
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad6.923N. Kemp Fuglestad
Kristoffer Askildsen7.37K. Askildsen
Simen Kvia-Egeskog7.326S. Kvia-Egeskog
Zlatko TripićC7.910Z. Tripić
Peter Christiansen6.920P. Christiansen
Elias Hadaya6.930E. Hadaya
Fredrik Carson Pedersen6.94F. Carson Pedersen
Xander Lambrix6.344X. Lambrix
Stian Kristiansen7.047S. Kristiansen
Vetle Walle Egeli6.23V. Walle Egeli
Sander Risan MörkC6.96S. Risan Mörk
Evangelos Patoulidis7.27E. Patoulidis
Edvard Pettersen7.014E. Pettersen
Marcus Melchior6.720M. Melchior
Bendik Berntsen6.519B. Berntsen
Nikolaj Möller6.911N. Möller

Viking Substitutes

21Anders Baertelsen46'for H. Falchener6.7
17Edvin Austbø59'for N. Fuglestad79'79'7.5
8Joe Bell75'for T. Moi6.7
15Ola Visted75'for K. Askildsen6.7
2Herman Johan Haugen90+1'for Z. Tripic
1Arild Østbø
18Sondre Flem Bjørshol
24Vetle Auklend
11Romano Postema

Sandefjord Substitutes

27Jakob Maslo Dunsby68'for B. Berntsen6.5
24Sebastian Holm Mathisen68'for N. Moller75'6.5
18Mathias Sauer80'for E. Patoulidis6.7
13Rasmus Holten89'for F. Pedersen
1Alf Grønneberg
2Martin Hellan
22Devon Koswal
32Daniel Skaarud

Match Stats

VikingSandefjord
45%Ball Possession55%
6Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots4
22Fouls10
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
395Total Passes488
306Passes Accurate391
77%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

VikingViking
SandefjordSandefjord
1878Elo Rating 1605
2.30Attack 1.20
1.15Defense 1.81
54%Hit Rate 36%
9.9Shots per Game 14.8
3.9Shots on Target 5.2
5.8Corners per Game 3.0
1.4Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+273 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.36 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

VikingViking
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
SandefjordSandefjord
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VikingViking7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
SandefjordSandefjord2Wins · 20%
3.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
100%3+ goals10 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien10/08/2025
SandefjordViking
12
Eliteserien16/05/2025
VikingSandefjord
31
Eliteserien02/11/2024
VikingSandefjord
32
Eliteserien20/05/2024
SandefjordViking
03
Eliteserien24/09/2023
VikingSandefjord
43
Eliteserien13/05/2023
SandefjordViking
12
Eliteserien07/08/2022
SandefjordViking
22
Eliteserien19/06/2022
VikingSandefjord
12
Eliteserien02/10/2021
VikingSandefjord
21
Eliteserien19/06/2021
SandefjordViking
30

Recent Form

VikingViking
8W1D1L
12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
L
03/07/2026
SonderjyskeViking
11
D
24/05/2026
Kristiansund BKViking
12
W
16/05/2026
VikingStart
63
W
10/05/2026
KFUM OsloViking
02
W
01/05/2026
VikingRosenborg
30
W
25/04/2026
FredrikstadViking
12
W
18/04/2026
VikingBrann
32
W
11/04/2026
VikingBodo/Glimt
50
W
06/04/2026
ValerengaViking
01
W
SandefjordSandefjord
4W3D3L
12/07/2026
SandefjordHam-Kam
22
D
30/05/2026
MoldeSandefjord
21
L
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
LillestromSandefjord
31
L
10/05/2026
SandefjordKristiansund BK
20
W
03/05/2026
SandefjordAalesund
10
W
26/04/2026
TromsoSandefjord
31
L
18/04/2026
SandefjordRosenborg
00
D
12/04/2026
BrannSandefjord
01
W
07/04/2026
KFUM OsloSandefjord
12
W

Referee Profile

Ola Hobber Nilsen117 matches

3.14Cards per match
3.07Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ola Hobber Nilsen3.14
Other referees3.36

3.14 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.36).

Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Viking vs Sandefjord forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Viking and Sandefjord in the Eliteserien table

The table shows a wide gap: Viking are 1st in the Eliteserien, while Sandefjord sit 13th, 35 points behind. League goal record so far: Viking 62-23, Sandefjord 22-31. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.